Vertiv (VRT) Stock: Latest News, Price Forecast and AI Data Center Outlook

Vertiv Holdings Co (NYSE: VRT) continues to be one of the purest public-market plays on the artificial intelligence (AI) data center boom. After a multi-year rally of more than 1,200% and a near-60% jump in 2025 alone, the stock is still attracting analyst upgrades, fresh institutional money and bullish technical signals as of December 6, 2025. ^[1]

This article walks through the latest Vertiv stock news, forecasts and analyses dated around December 6, 2025, and what they may mean for investors watching the AI infrastructure story unfold.

Vertiv stock today: price and recent performance

As of the latest trade on December 6, 2025, Vertiv stock is changing hands around $189 per share, with an intraday high near $190 and a low around $180. Volume is elevated at roughly 7.4 million shares.

Performance has been extraordinary over multiple time frames:

Over the past three years, Vertiv shares have climbed roughly 1,290%, according to Simply Wall St, reflecting how aggressively the market has re-rated the AI data center theme. ^[2]
The stock is up about 60% year to date and nearly 60% in the last six months, far outpacing both the broader tech sector and AI infrastructure peers. ^[3]
Over the last year, the share price has risen more than 40%, with about half of the past 30 trading days closing higher, underlining persistent buying interest. ^[4]

Despite the rally, short-term trading has become more volatile. Technical sites note that Vertiv has posted nearly a 10% gain over the last week, pushing the stock deeper into overbought territory on several momentum indicators. ^[5]

Fresh December 6 news: new institutional buying and insider selling

The most concrete new development dated December 6, 2025 comes from an institutional ownership update:

Fisher Asset Management LLC disclosed a new position of 21,766 Vertiv shares, valued at roughly $2.8 million in its latest 13F filing. ^[6]
Other asset managers, including Panagora Asset Management, have also increased positions, bringing institutional ownership to about 89.9% of the float, according to MarketBeat’s summary. ^[7]

High institutional ownership is generally seen as a vote of confidence in the business model and liquidity profile, but it can also mean more sensitivity to shifts in institutional sentiment.

At the same time, recent filings highlight meaningful insider selling:

Executive VP Stephen Liang sold around 5,500 shares for roughly $938,000, reducing his stake by more than half.
Director Jakki L. Haussler sold about 15,700 shares for nearly $1.94 million, cutting her holdings by more than three-quarters. ^[8]

Insiders still own a small slice of the company (about 2.6%), but the sales are a reminder that management is taking some profits after the huge run.

December 6 valuation analysis: DCF says “undervalued,” multiples say “premium”

Also dated December 6, 2025, Simply Wall St published a deep-dive on Vertiv’s valuation after its 1,290% three‑year gain. Key takeaways: ^[9]

Their discounted cash flow (DCF) model estimates an intrinsic value of around $214 per share, implying that, at roughly $189, Vertiv trades at about an 11–12% discount to fair value.
On that cash-flow framework, they classify the stock as “underpriced” rather than overhyped.
However, on more traditional valuation checks, Vertiv scores only 1 out of 6 on their internal valuation tests. In particular:
- The stock trades at a price/earnings (P/E) multiple near 70x, more than double the average for the broader electrical equipment industry and above its peer group.
- Their “fair” P/E for Vertiv, given its growth and risk profile, is closer to 58x, meaning the market multiple is ahead of what that model would justify.

In other words, cash-flow-based models still see some upside, but earnings- and peer-based metrics point to a stretched valuation. That tension is core to the current Vertiv debate.

Fundamental backdrop: Q3 2025 beat and raised guidance

The latest quarter remains the foundation for the stock’s momentum.

Third-quarter 2025 results

For the quarter ended September 30, 2025, Vertiv reported: ^[10]

Net sales of about $2.68 billion, up 29% year over year, led by:
- Americas revenue growth over 40%
- APAC revenue growth around 20%
GAAP EPS of $1.22–$1.24, beating consensus estimates around $0.99 by roughly a quarter per share.
Net margin in the low double digits and return on equity above 50%, reflecting strong operating leverage.

Backlog and orders signal that this is not a one‑off spike:

Organic orders in the trailing 12 months climbed about 21%, with a book‑to‑bill ratio of 1.4x, meaning new orders exceed current sales.
Backlog reached about $9.5 billion, roughly equivalent to a full year of recent revenue, driven largely by AI and high-density data center projects. ^[11]

2025 guidance and Street estimates

Management has raised full‑year expectations, and analysts have followed:

Vertiv now expects 2025 revenue between $10.16 billion and $10.24 billion, implying 26–28% organic sales growth. ^[12]
Guidance for Q4 2025 calls for:
- Revenue in the $2.81–$2.89 billion range (high‑teens to low‑20s growth). ^[13]
- Non‑GAAP EPS in the mid‑$1.20s per share. ^[14]
Zacks’ consensus estimates currently sit at about $10.21 billion in 2025 revenue (up roughly 27% year over year) and $4.11 in 2025 EPS, which would be an increase of more than 44% from 2024. ^[15]

Using the latest price near $189 and that 2025 EPS estimate, Vertiv trades at roughly 46x forward earnings, even after the beat‑and‑raise quarter.

Strategic moves: AI cooling, acquisitions and partnerships

A big part of the Vertiv story is about owning the picks-and-shovels behind generative AI – specifically, the power and cooling gear that hyperscale data centers need to run GPU‑dense workloads.

Recent moves underscore that positioning:

In August 2025, Vertiv completed the roughly $200 million acquisition of Great Lakes Data Racks & Cabinets, expanding its presence in racks, cabinets and integrated infrastructure for critical facilities. ^[16]
In November 2025, the company announced a $1.0 billion cash deal (plus up to $250 million earn‑out) to acquire Purge Rite Intermediate, a specialist in liquid cooling and thermal management for AI and high‑performance data centers. ^[17]
Vertiv has also highlighted a strategic alliance with Caterpillar, combining Vertiv’s power and cooling products with Caterpillar’s generation and combined cooling, heat and power (CCHP) technologies. The goal is to provide integrated, modular energy systems for AI data centers that need rapid deployment and high efficiency. ^[18]

On the capex side, TD Cowen notes that Vertiv plans to spend roughly $250 million on capital expenditures in 2025, with further increases expected in 2026 to expand capacity and meet demand. ^[19]

All of this is being driven by what multiple analysts describe as an AI data center super‑cycle, with major customers such as Oracle, OpenAI, Google and Meta driving U.S. data center leasing to record levels. ^[20]

Wall Street sentiment: overwhelmingly bullish, but not unanimous

Most equity research houses remain positive on Vertiv, even at today’s elevated price, though the tone has shifted from undisputed bargain to “great business at a demanding valuation.”

Consensus ratings and targets

MarketBeat’s aggregation of 29 analysts shows: ^[21]

Consensus rating: “Moderate Buy”
Breakdown:
- 2 Strong Buy
- 21 Buy
- 5 Hold
- 1 Sell
Average 12‑month price target: $178.38
- High target: $216
- Low target: $75

With the stock around $189, that average target actually implies about 5–6% downside from current levels, reflecting how the share price has run ahead of many existing models.

Recent upgrades and “Top Pick” calls

Recent commentary has nonetheless skewed bullish:

TD Cowen reiterated Vertiv as its “Top Pick” in AI infrastructure, nudging its price target up to $211 and highlighting strong free cash flow, rising data center leasing, and leadership in liquid cooling. ^[22]
Mizuho raised its target from $165 to $198 and maintained an “outperform” rating, while other brokers like KGI Securities have upgraded the stock to “outperform” as well. ^[23]
Zacks currently rates Vertiv a Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and has featured it as both a “Trending Stock” and “Bull of the Day,” citing accelerating AI-driven demand, strong bookings and steady estimate revisions. ^[24]

More cautious voices

Not everyone is all‑in:

CFRA downgraded Vertiv from “Strong Buy” to “Buy” in early October, even as it raised its price target from $165 to $180, noting that the shares were trading near 52‑week highs and that valuation risk was rising. ^[25]
Melius Research shifted its rating from “Buy” to “Hold” in January 2025, though at the time it still saw meaningful upside from then‑current levels. ^[26]

The net picture: Wall Street still likes Vertiv a lot, but the easy valuation call is gone, and some analysts are gently tapping the brakes.

Technical and quantitative forecasts as of December 6–7, 2025

Short-term price forecasts and technical dashboards are almost uniformly positive, albeit with hints of near‑term consolidation risk.

Technical sentiment

CoinCodex’s automated technical model, updated late on December 6, shows: ^[27]

Overall sentiment: “Bullish”, with 26 technical indicators flashing bullish and none bearish.
All commonly watched daily and weekly SMAs and EMAs (from 3‑day to 200‑day) are in “BUY” territory, confirming the strong uptrend.

Intellectia AI’s moving-average analysis on December 7 similarly reports: ^[28]

Four positive moving-average signals, with the 20‑day simple moving average above the 60‑day, and the 60‑day above the 200‑day – a classic sign of a strong, established uptrend.
However, several oscillators (stochastic, CCI, Williams %R) are deeply in overbought territory, which often precedes pullbacks or sideways consolidation.

Short‑term price path

CoinCodex’s short‑term price path (model‑based, not a guarantee) projects: ^[29]

December 7, 2025: around $189.02 (roughly flat vs today).
Over the next 5 trading days, a mild drift lower toward the low‑$180s, with a projected level near $182.82 by day five (about 3% below the current price).

These models essentially say: trend strongly up, but expect choppiness – and don’t be shocked by a modest pullback after such a sharp run.

S&P 500 index speculation: from “candidate” to “not this time”

Index inclusion has been another storyline for Vertiv in recent days:

A Barron’s piece this week highlighted Vertiv, along with CRH, Ares Management and Alnylam, as one of the leading candidates for the next S&P 500 rebalancing, based on market cap and profitability. ^[30]
However, when S&P Global actually announced the December changes, Carvana (CVNA), Comfort Systems (FIX) and CRH (CRH) were selected for inclusion – and Vertiv was left out, with some coverage specifically calling Vertiv and SoFi “notable exclusions.” ^[31]

Some outlets had earlier framed Vertiv’s rally as being linked to index inclusion, but the most recent official updates make it clear that Vertiv is not entering the S&P 500 in the December 2025 rebalance. Even so, the fact that it is consistently mentioned as a candidate underscores its scale and liquidity, and keeps the door open for future inclusion if fundamentals stay strong.

Valuation picture: quality at a high price

Different frameworks are painting different pictures of the same stock.

Multiples vs peers

Zacks’ analysis via Nasdaq notes that Vertiv: ^[32]

Trades at a price/book ratio around 19.5x, versus about 10.7x for the broader computer and technology sector.
Commands a trailing P/E above 70x and a price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio around 1.45, both at the high end of the peer range.

Using the consensus 2025 EPS of $4.11 and the latest price near $189, Vertiv’s forward P/E is roughly 46x, and its price/sales multiple is around 7x based on 2025 revenue guidance.

Cash-flow and growth narratives

By contrast, cash‑flow and structural growth arguments are more forgiving:

Simply Wall St’s DCF model values Vertiv at about $214 per share, seeing the current price as a moderate discount to fair value. ^[33]
TD Cowen’s $211 target similarly suggests further upside is possible if the AI data center build‑out continues at current pace and Vertiv executes on its backlog and capex plans. ^[34]
Zacks concludes that while Vertiv looks expensive on traditional value scores (it assigns a “Value Score” of F), its rich partner ecosystem, acquisitions and AI exposure justify a premium multiple in their view. ^[35]

In short, Vertiv looks expensive on static metrics but more reasonable when you factor in its growth runway and cash-generation potential. Whether that trade‑off is attractive depends heavily on your risk tolerance and time horizon.

Key risks to watch

Even with the positive backdrop, recent analysis highlights several risks that investors are watching closely:

Valuation and multiple compression
- If AI or data center capex slows versus current expectations, Vertiv’s high multiples could compress quickly, even if earnings continue to grow. This risk is one reason some firms (CFRA, Melius) have dialed back their enthusiasm. ^[36]
AI capex and macro volatility
- The story is tightly linked to hyperscale spending by a relatively small group of mega‑customers. Any pause in AI infrastructure capex, either from cyclical worries or efficiency gains, could hit orders and backlog.
Execution and integration risk
- Large acquisitions such as Purge Rite and Great Lakes Data Racks & Cabinets must be integrated smoothly to deliver the expected cooling and white-space synergies. ^[37]
- At the same time, Vertiv is ramping internal capex, which raises the stakes for project execution and return on invested capital. ^[38]
Competition and technological shifts
- Vertiv faces rivals in power, cooling and modular data center solutions. Rapid shifts toward new architectures (for example, immersion cooling standards or alternative power topologies) could change the competitive landscape faster than expected.
Index and flow risk
- The latest S&P 500 decision illustrates that index inclusion is not guaranteed, and trading around rumors can cut both ways. Vertiv’s stock dipped modestly when investors realized it would not be added this quarter. ^[39]

What the December 6, 2025 picture means for Vertiv stock watchers

Putting the latest news and analysis together:

Business momentum remains very strong. Q3 results, raised 2025 guidance, a record backlog, and expanding AI‑focused acquisitions and partnerships all reinforce Vertiv’s position as a core beneficiary of the AI data center build‑out. ^[40]
Institutional confidence is high. Large asset managers continue to add Vertiv, and institutional ownership is approaching 90%, even as some insiders lock in gains. ^[41]
Analysts are bullish but cautious on valuation. Most rating changes over the past week have been upgrades or target hikes, yet the average price target now sits slightly below the current share price, signaling that a lot of good news is already priced in. ^[42]
Technical and quantitative models are overwhelmingly positive, calling the trend bullish while flagging short‑term overbought readings that could set up pullbacks or sideways trading. ^[43]

For investors following Vertiv, the December 6, 2025 snapshot is of a company firing on nearly all fundamental cylinders, trading at valuations that assume the AI data center super‑cycle continues for years. Whether the stock fits in a given portfolio will depend on individual risk tolerance, time horizon and views on AI infrastructure spending.

As always, this article is for informational and news purposes only and should not be taken as personalized investment advice. Anyone considering Vertiv stock should evaluate their own financial situation and, if needed, consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

References

Vertiv (VRT) Stock: Latest News, Price Forecast and AI Data Center Outlook – December 6, 2025