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Visa crushes earnings estimates on holiday spending — but the stock still slips after hours
29 January 2026
2 mins read

Visa crushes earnings estimates on holiday spending — but the stock still slips after hours

San Francisco, January 29, 2026, 13:38 PST

  • Visa posted adjusted EPS of $3.17 for its fiscal first quarter, with revenue hitting $10.9 billion—both figures exceeded expectations.
  • Payments volume grew 8% in constant dollars; cross-border transactions jumped 12%.
  • Shares dropped roughly 1.4% in after-hours trading.

Visa (NYSE: V) beat expectations with its fiscal first-quarter earnings and revenue, buoyed by stronger cardholder spending, though shares dipped in after-hours trading. The payments giant posted adjusted earnings of $3.17 per share on revenue of $10.9 billion, topping estimates. Still, the stock fell roughly 1.4% following the release.

The report arrives as investors seek clear signals on consumer activity. Visa’s network, used by billions daily, serves as a barometer for spending. Its payments volume often provides a fast snapshot of cash flow through households and businesses.

The payments sector remains in focus as peers report earnings. Mastercard (NYSE: MA) posted solid results and announced plans to reduce its global workforce by about 4%. Investors now turn to American Express (NYSE: AXP), which is set to report on Friday.

Visa reported net income of roughly $5.9 billion, or $3.03 per share, for the quarter ending Dec. 31. On a non-GAAP basis, profit hit $6.1 billion, or $3.17 per share. Net revenue climbed 15% to $10.9 billion, or 13% when adjusted for currency fluctuations. CEO Ryan McInerney highlighted “resilient consumer spending and a strong holiday season.” Q4 CDN

Payments volume on the network increased 8% in constant dollars. Total cross-border volume—card spending outside the country of issuance—grew 12%, with cross-border excluding Europe up 11%. Processed transactions jumped 9% to 69.4 billion, according to the company.

Visa’s revenue remained heavily weighted toward processing and service fees. Data processing revenue climbed 17% to $5.5 billion, while service revenue grew 13% to $4.8 billion. Client incentives, which cover rebates and payments to banks and partners for promoting Visa cards, rose 12% to $4.3 billion.

Costs took a hit. Operating expenses jumped 27% to $4.2 billion, pushed mainly by a $707 million litigation reserve related to interchange multidistrict litigation—a protracted merchant dispute over card “swipe” fees. Visa also logged a $333 million deferred tax benefit, stemming from a shift in U.S. tax rules on some foreign earnings.

Visa announced it reached a superseding and amended settlement agreement on Nov. 10 to settle injunctive-relief class claims tied to the interchange litigation, pending court approval. The company also disclosed a $500 million deposit into its litigation escrow account last December, part of a plan designed to protect both itself and Class A shareholders from specific case liabilities.

During the quarter, the company handed back $5.1 billion to shareholders via share buybacks and dividends. About $3.8 billion of that went to repurchasing nearly 11 million shares, each averaging $342.13. The board also announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.670 per share, set for payment on March 2 to those holding shares by Feb. 10.

There are clear risks, though. Tariff-driven cost hikes could pinch middle-income buyers, and Washington’s toying with ideas that might upend credit economics, even if Visa itself isn’t setting rates. Barclays managing director Michael Miller called a proposed credit-card interest rate cap “an unlikely outcome that it sticks.” Airline-loyalty expert Pooja Gardemal added that a 10% ceiling would wipe out “a huge chunk of profit.” Reuters

Visa’s executive team will hold a webcast on Thursday to review the quarter. Investors are keenly watching for updates on travel-related cross-border trends and the pace of ongoing incentives and legal expenses.

Stock Market Today

  • Three Dividend Stock ETFs to Navigate Bond Market Slump
    May 20, 2026, 1:40 PM EDT. Dividend stock ETFs have outperformed bonds in 2024 as the stock market remains resilient amid economic uncertainties. Investors seeking steady income are turning to dividend-focused exchange-traded funds, which offer potential for higher yields compared to traditional bond investments. With bond prices falling due to rising interest rates, dividend ETFs provide an alternative to preserve income streams. This shift reflects ongoing market volatility and concerns about bond market downturns. Financial advisors recommend dividend ETFs as a strategy to balance income generation and risk management in current market conditions.

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