New York, February 11, 2026, 13:12 EST — Regular session
- Barrett Business Services shares dropped in early afternoon, lagging behind the broader market, which held steady.
- HR outsourcing and payroll stocks took a hit after Insperity posted results and new U.S. jobs figures landed.
- Investors have their eyes on cost pressures and are also bracing for Friday’s U.S. inflation numbers.
Shares of Barrett Business Services, Inc. dropped 7.6% to $32.77 early Wednesday afternoon, hitting their lowest point of the session as selling in HR outsourcing and payroll names gathered pace. Insperity was down 12.1%. Paychex lost 4.4%. ADP slipped 2.5%.
This is significant—the industry’s fortunes are tightly linked to payroll trends. Professional employer organizations (PEOs) take care of HR duties such as payroll and employee benefits for their clients. That arrangement can backfire if hiring dries up or if medical expenses start climbing.
Investors are wrestling with a muddled labor market signal—a robust headline figure but shakier data in the revisions. Smaller, more economically sensitive stocks, particularly those with heavy exposure to staffing levels, usually feel it first.
BBSI handles outsourced payroll, employee benefits, and workers’ comp, plus risk management and workplace safety, for over 8,100 PEO clients nationwide. The company operates in all 50 states. 1
No clear BBSI headline explains the decline. Investor relations pages offer nothing on upcoming events, with the latest press release and SEC filings both posted Jan. 5. 2
Peer read-through dominated the tape. Insperity swung to a fourth-quarter net loss of $33 million, with gross profit down 21%—benefits costs remained high. Revenue edged up 3% to $1.7 billion. CEO Paul Sarvadi sounded an optimistic note, saying Insperity is set up “for a significant recovery in profitability this year.” 3
Macro conditions stayed tough. January’s nonfarm payrolls gained 130,000, with unemployment ticking down to 4.3%, per the Labor Department. But revised 2025 figures painted a weaker hiring story than first thought. “The only jobs being filled in January are in health care and social assistance,” said Christopher Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBONDS, highlighting how concentrated the growth was. 4
Wall Street’s benchmarks struggled for direction, with traders processing a jobs report that could delay hoped-for rate cuts. “The expectations are very high,” said Mel Casey, senior portfolio manager at FBB Capital Partners, in remarks to Reuters. 5
BBSI investors are left weighing whether this drop is simply a case of sympathy selling, or if it’s hinting that clients are starting to act more cautiously. PEO firms earn their keep from payroll volume, but their margins can get squeezed fast if benefit or claims costs start moving the wrong way.
If the labor market softens beyond what the top-line payroll figure shows, small and mid-sized firms may cut jobs and clamp down further on expenses. That drags on fee growth and turns pricing battles with rivals even uglier.
Inflation’s up next. The Consumer Price Index lands Friday, Feb. 13, at 8:30 a.m. ET, and that report could jolt rate bets yet again, keeping payroll and HR outsourcing names on edge through week’s end. 6
