Woodside Energy (ASX: WDS) Share Price Slides Post-Market on Oil Dip — Latest News, Forecasts and Outlook (16 December 2025)

Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) finished Tuesday’s session lower as a broader energy-sector pullback and softer crude prices weighed on sentiment. In post-market trading terms for the ASX close on 16 December 2025, Woodside ended the day at A$23.99, down 2.28%, after trading between A$23.92 and A$24.40 on volume of about 2.79 million shares. ^[1]

That move mirrors what many investors saw across the sector: energy stocks struggled as crude prices slipped toward multi-week lows, tightening the near-term earnings narrative for oil- and LNG-levered producers—even those with long-dated growth pipelines like Woodside.

Woodside Energy share price today: ASX close snapshot (16.12.2025)

Post-market (ASX close) highlights for WDS:

Close: A$23.99
Day move: -2.28%
Open / High / Low: A$24.35 / A$24.40 / A$23.92
Volume: ~2.79M shares ^[2]

Intraday commentary from Australian market coverage also pointed to Woodside as one of the weaker large-cap energy names during the session (with declines broadly in the 2% range reported during the afternoon). ^[3]

Why did Woodside (WDS) fall on 16 December 2025?

The clearest driver wasn’t company-specific—it was macro and commodity-linked.

1) Oil prices softened, dragging the energy sector

Market commentary during the session tied energy-stock weakness to crude hitting an eight-week low around US$56.40 overnight and a broader “risk-off” tone in energy equities. ^[4]

A separate Reuters-distributed market note (republished via TradingView) likewise flagged that Australian energy stocks slid as oil fell on oversupply concerns, with Woodside among the stocks trading lower intraday. ^[5]

2) Sector-wide selling pressure

Live market coverage also described a “broader energy sell-off,” with Woodside and Santos among the laggards in the ASX 20 during the afternoon. ^[6]

Bottom line: On days like this, Woodside often trades as a proxy for near-term oil/LNG pricing—even when the investment debate is really about multi-year project delivery and capital returns.

Latest Woodside ASX announcement on 16 December 2025: Appendix 3G (unquoted securities)

Woodside’s notable company-specific update dated Tuesday, 16 December 2025 was an Appendix 3G: “Notification of issue, conversion or payment up of unquoted equity securities.” ^[7]

Key points from the filing:

The notice references 23,383 unquoted securities under WDSAL (RIGHTS) with an issue date of 10/12/2025. ^[8]
The securities were associated with KMP Daniel Kalms (named in the filing). ^[9]
The document explains these were previously granted as Notional Shares intended to settle in cash, and were amended so the participant is intended to receive Woodside shares upon vesting (no cash amount payable on vesting), making them “equity securities” under ASX Listing Rules. ^[10]
The notional shares are described as due to vest in two tranches (11,183 on 7 March 2026 and 12,200 on 7 March 2028), subject to ongoing employment. ^[11]

This type of Appendix 3G is usually viewed as a governance/capital-structure disclosure rather than a fundamental earnings event—but it’s still “today’s news” in the strict ASX-announcement sense.

Other current Woodside storylines investors are tracking (context into late 2025)

While the share price move on 16 December was mostly macro-driven, Woodside enters the end of 2025 with several live themes that keep showing up in investor notes and market coverage:

Industrial relations risk at Pluto LNG 2

Reuters reported earlier this month that union members backed potential strike action at Woodside’s Pluto LNG 2 development in Western Australia, with unions seeking improved pay outcomes from contractor negotiations. Reuters also noted that disruption could affect timing, with Woodside targeting first LNG cargo from Pluto 2 in the second half of 2026. ^[12]

For equity investors, the sensitivity here is straightforward:

Any schedule slippage can push cash flows out and raise costs.
Mega-project “time and cost discipline” is often the biggest swing factor in upstream/LNG valuations.

Greater Sunrise: renewed momentum, but still complex

Reuters also highlighted a late-November agreement between Woodside and Timor-Leste to assess feasibility for developing Greater Sunrise with LNG exports from Timor-Leste potentially in the 2032–2035 window—marking a more concrete timeline than the project has had in years. ^[13]

For WDS shareholders, Greater Sunrise is best thought of as:

Material option value if commercial terms and engineering hurdles can be solved,
But still high complexity (politics, routing, capex, partners, and fiscal framework).

Capital allocation and long-term growth targets

At Woodside’s Capital Markets Day (Nov 2025), Reuters reported management expectations that sales could climb by 50% by 2032, rising to 300 million boe per year from 203.5 million boe in 2024. ^[14]

Woodside’s own Capital Markets Day materials also frame a pipeline spanning base operations plus major growth options (including Scarborough, Louisiana LNG and international growth initiatives) and discuss an indicative pathway to higher dividends over time, subject to assumptions. ^[15]

Forecasts that matter most for WDS investors right now

“Forecasts” around Woodside tend to fall into three buckets: production and near-term financial guidance, commodity-demand outlook, and project-driven medium-term growth.

1) Production guidance: the near-term anchor

In October, Reuters reported Woodside lifted its expected fiscal 2025 production range to 192–197 million barrels of oil equivalent, versus a previous outlook of 188–195 mmboe, alongside quarterly revenue reporting and consensus comparisons. ^[16]

That type of guidance matters because it shapes:

expected operating cash flow,
dividend capacity,
and tolerance for capex while maintaining balance sheet metrics.

2) LNG demand outlook: a supportive long-cycle narrative (with debate)

Reuters reported in September that Woodside expects global LNG demand to grow 50% over the next decade, with management arguing the market remains structurally supported despite concerns in some quarters about future supply. ^[17]

Investors should keep two ideas in mind simultaneously:

If LNG demand proves resilient, Woodside’s long-dated LNG projects look more valuable.
If LNG markets loosen (oversupply, weaker Asia/Europe demand, faster electrification), the market can compress valuation multiples—especially during periods of low oil.

3) 2032 growth ambition: scale vs. execution risk

The headline “sales up 50% by 2032” ambition is a big number—and a big reason Woodside can trade on multi-year optionality rather than just next quarter’s oil price. ^[18]

But it also intensifies the market’s focus on:

project delivery
capex discipline
partnering/funding structures
and industrial relations (because delays are expensive)

Dividend outlook: what Woodside’s policy says (and why it matters)

For many shareholders, Woodside is ultimately a dividend and cash-return story—and the company states that plainly in its published dividend policy.

Woodside’s dividend policy:

aims to pay a minimum of 50% of underlying NPAT (NPAT excluding non-recurring items),
with a target payout ratio between 50% and 80%, at the Board’s discretion. ^[19]

Woodside’s investor materials also highlight a longer-term pathway to higher dividends (not formal guidance), tied to project cash generation and assumptions. ^[20]

What income investors watch from here:

commodity prices (obvious, but powerful),
sustaining capex requirements,
major-project capex peaks (especially when multiple projects overlap),
and debt/credit metrics (because funding costs can quickly change the payout comfort zone).

WDS outlook: what to watch next into early 2026

With December trading often thinner and macro-heavy, Woodside’s next share price inflection points typically come from scheduled reporting and project updates.

Upcoming catalysts (calendar-driven)

Market calendars indicate Woodside’s next key scheduled events include:

Quarterly report (forecasted): 21 January 2026
Annual / prelim report (forecasted): 24 February 2026 ^[21]

Watchlist themes that can move the stock quickly

Oil and LNG pricing trends (the biggest daily driver, as seen on 16 December). ^[22]
Any escalation or resolution around Pluto LNG 2 industrial action risk. ^[23]
Greater Sunrise progress on technical/commercial feasibility and government frameworks. ^[24]
Capital allocation updates: partnering, asset sales, or financing moves that reshape capex and free cash flow. ^[25]

Key risks and bull-case drivers for Woodside (ASX: WDS)

Risks

Commodity volatility: days like 16 December show how quickly sentiment can shift when oil slides. ^[26]
Execution risk on mega-projects: cost overruns and delays can erode value even in good commodity cycles. ^[27]
Geopolitics and regulatory outcomes: especially relevant to long-dated developments like Greater Sunrise. ^[28]

Potential upside drivers

Improving oil/LNG prices (near-term earnings torque)
Clean delivery of Pluto LNG 2 and other growth projects (valuation rerating potential) ^[29]
Visible progress on Greater Sunrise with investable commercial terms ^[30]
Sustained dividend capacity within the 50–80% payout framework ^[31]

The takeaway for 16 December 2025

Woodside’s post-market close on 16 December 2025 looks less like a company-specific repricing and more like a reminder of how tightly WDS tracks the energy tape when crude weakens. ^[32]

At the same time, the investment debate around Woodside remains centered on multi-year execution—delivering major LNG growth projects, navigating labour and regulatory risks, and converting long-cycle ambitions (including the 2032 growth narrative) into durable cash flows that can support dividends through the cycle. ^[33]