Sydney, January 12, 2026, 17:46 AEDT — Post-market update
- Woodside Energy gained 0.6%, hitting levels not seen in almost a month
- Oil prices held steady, balanced between worries over Iranian supply and discussions about Venezuelan barrels coming back
- Investors are now eyeing Woodside’s Jan. 28 quarterly update for clues on production and future outlook
Shares of Woodside Energy Group Ltd closed Monday up 0.6% at A$23.72, having earlier hit A$24.08—their best price in roughly four weeks. Trading volume reached 2.23 million shares, according to data. 1
The move is significant since Woodside is right in the thick of daily crude price swings: supply concerns can send energy stocks soaring, only for any relief to pull them back just as swiftly. For investors, this directly impacts near-term cash flow forecasts for a company dealing in oil and liquefied natural gas.
Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 climbed 0.5% to close at 8,759.40, marking its highest level since Dec. 24. Banks led the gains. Energy stocks also rallied, hitting their best close since mid-December, with Woodside reaching a near one-month high, according to a Reuters report. 2
Oil prices inched up Monday as unrest in Iran stirred supply concerns, though hopes for Venezuelan shipments returning capped gains. Brent hovered near $63.39 a barrel, with U.S. West Texas Intermediate around $59.16 in early Asian trading. Saul Kavonic, head of energy research at MST Marquee, noted, “The market is saying show me the disruption to supply before materially responding.” ANZ analysts, led by Daniel Hynes, put about 1.9 million barrels a day of Iranian exports at risk. At the same time, Phillip Nova’s Priyanka Sachdeva cautioned that prices might stay range-bound without a clear demand rebound or a “meaningful supply disruption.” 3
Energy stocks have swung back into favor as a macro play. Woodside usually tracks oil and LNG prices closely, and Monday’s jump was driven more by crude than by any company-specific news.
However, the bullish outlook quickly grows murky if the market swings back toward surplus concerns. Goldman Sachs noted that rising supply might tip the oil market into a large surplus in 2026, sticking with its average price forecast of $56 for Brent and $52 for WTI. The bank cautioned that prices could have to drop further to restore balance. 4
Looking ahead, Woodside has a key date coming up: its Q4 2025 earnings report lands on Jan. 28, then the full-year 2025 annual report drops Feb. 24. 5
Traders are eyeing the usual markers: production and sales volumes, comments on costs and capex, plus any shifts in guidance that could impact payouts or balance-sheet focus. In a market driven by headline swings, even minor tweaks could sway sentiment.
The downside is clear: if supply disruptions in the Middle East fail to materialise and more barrels flood the market, oil prices could fall, dragging energy stocks down with them. Woodside would then face a tougher pricing environment right as reporting season kicks off.
