XRP Price Prediction Today, 29 November 2025: Can ETF Inflows and a ‘Supply Shock’ Push Ripple’s XRP Above $2.22?

XRP is ending November in a surprisingly pivotal spot.

After a bruising month that saw double‑digit losses from its July all‑time high near $3.65, the token is now grinding sideways just above $2.20, fighting to hold a key support band around $2.17 while a wave of new spot ETFs, shrinking exchange reserves, and crowded derivatives positions all collide at once. ^[1]

At the time of writing on 29 November 2025, XRP is trading around $2.20–$2.22, up roughly 14–15% week‑on‑week but still down sharply from its October–July peak above $3.6. ^[2]

This article rounds up the most important XRP news from 28–29 November 2025 and uses that context to outline short‑ and medium‑term price scenarios. It is informational, not investment advice — crypto is highly volatile and you should never invest money you cannot afford to lose.

XRP price today: consolidation after a rough November

Market data and today’s technical commentary paint a picture of fragile consolidation rather than a clean trend:

Spot price: CoinDesk’s dashboard shows XRP at about $2.21, up ~0.6% on the day. ^[3]
Key intraday range: In recent sessions XRP has been whipsawing between $2.17 (support) and $2.28 (resistance), with a large volume spike pushing it briefly to the top of that band before sellers stepped in. ^[4]
Weekly performance: CryptoPotato notes XRP has rallied ~14% this week and “confirmed $2 as support,” though it still trades about 50% below its all‑time high near $3.6. ^[5]
Monthly drawdown: CoinDesk estimates an ~18% drawdown in November, as XRP sold off from the $3+ zone before finding buyers in the high‑$1s and low‑$2s. ^[6]

Key levels traders are watching

Different analyses published over the last 48 hours cluster around broadly similar levels:

Immediate support:
- $2.17 – defended multiple times this week and highlighted by CoinDesk as the critical line for the current Elliott Wave “Wave‑5 breakout” setup. ^[7]
- $2.00 – psychologically important and described by CryptoPotato as the level XRP “confirmed as support” after its weekly rally. ^[8]
- $1.88–$1.90 – identified as the likely end of the latest corrective leg and a deeper support region in Elliott Wave analysis. ^[9]
Immediate resistance / pivot:
- $2.22 – CoinDesk calls a trend “pivot”: a daily close above this level would be the first convincing bullish confirmation in weeks. ^[10]
- $2.28 – recent intraday high where sellers aggressively rejected price. ^[11]
Higher resistance bands:
- $2.35–$2.40 – in CryptoPotato’s weekly outlook, bulls “must reclaim $2.35–$2.40” to restart a larger reversal. ^[12]
- $2.60 and $3.13 – flagged by CoinCentral as subsequent resistance zones if XRP can break out of its descending channel. ^[13]
- 2025 peak around $3.3–$3.6 – referenced by several analysts as the cycle high and a long‑term ceiling. ^[14]

In short: $2.17–$2.22 is the battleground. Hold above, and bulls argue a new leg higher can start. Lose that band, and bears see room back toward $2.10, $2.00 or even $1.88.

What changed on 28–29 November? XRP news you need to know

The last 48 hours have been dense for XRP. Here are the main narratives that matter for price right now.

1. XRP spot ETFs: one launch, one withdrawal

a) 21Shares TOXR spot ETF goes live

CoinCentral reports that the 21Shares XRP Spot ETF (ticker: TOXR) received regulatory approval and is launching on 29 November, offering another listed vehicle for institutions to gain XRP exposure. At the time of that report, XRP was trading near $2.20, testing the upper boundary of a descending channel around $2.22. ^[15]

The same article notes:

Binance XRP reserves have fallen from nearly 3 billion to about 2.7 billion tokens since early October – a reduction of ~300 million XRP on the world’s largest exchange. ^[16]
That drop is interpreted as a supply‑tightening (“supply shock”) dynamic, as tokens leave exchanges and are more likely being held in long‑term wallets.

Separately, AI‑generated analysis at AInvest aggregates data on multiple U.S. ETFs and estimates that new spot products for XRP have seen single‑day inflows around $35 million, with total flows into the various XRP ETFs (Rex‑Osprey, Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, Canary Capital, and now 21Shares) adding to sustained institutional demand. ^[17]

CryptoPotato’s latest XRP piece also highlights that Canary Capital’s XRPC ETF was first to market in mid‑November, followed by funds from Bitwise, Franklin Templeton and Grayscale, attracting over $660 million in net inflows within the first few weeks. ^[18]

b) CoinShares cancels its XRP ETF plan

In contrast, CoinShares has withdrawn its registration statements for several planned ETFs — including an XRP fund — as it pivots toward higher‑margin products ahead of its U.S. listing, according to Reuters. ^[19]

This doesn’t directly affect existing XRP ETFs, but it does underline a key theme: the U.S. single‑asset ETF market is getting crowded, and not every issuer believes they can compete on fees and volume.

Net takeaway: ETF headlines are still net‑positive for demand, but the CoinShares decision is a reminder that growth won’t be linear and that fees, liquidity and differentiation will matter.

2. Exploding volume and shrinking exchange supply

On 29 November, analytics platform Meyka highlighted that XRP trading volume has surged by ~800% in November, with the token’s price rising about 15% over recent months as interest returned. ^[20]

In parallel:

Finbold notes that Binance’s XRP reserves are at their lowest level since January 2025 (2.7B XRP), suggesting coins are being withdrawn to longer‑term storage and reducing immediate sell‑side liquidity. ^[21]
CoinCentral’s and AInvest’s reports both tie this decline to the post‑ETF “supply shock” narrative, where regulatory clarity and institutional products drive steady bids while exchange balances trend down. ^[22]

Lower exchange supply doesn’t guarantee a rally, but it can amplify moves in either direction: with fewer coins on order books, large buys or sells have more impact on price.

3. Dangerous liquidation clusters in derivatives

Derivatives positioning is another major story this weekend.

Indonesian brokerage Pintu, citing CoinGlass data, warns that XRP is one of three altcoins with high liquidation risk this week: ^[23]

If XRP spikes to around $2.32, roughly $300 million in short positions could be liquidated.
If it falls to about $1.82, approximately $237 million in long positions are at risk.

The same report points out that:

U.S.‑listed XRP ETFs have already accumulated over $422 million in net inflows, adding a fundamental tailwind.
On‑chain whale data shows large holders recently shifting from accumulation to sizeable sell‑offs, which could add downside pressure and trigger liquidations on the long side if price slips.

In other words, the market is crowded on both sides: a push up toward $2.30+ or down toward the high‑$1.80s could cause cascade liquidations, making price action in either direction more violent than spot volumes alone would imply.

4. Mixed technical signals: Elliott Wave vs “death cross”

Over the past two days, analysts have published sharply different interpretations of XRP’s chart.

Bullish technical narratives

CoinDesk’s 29 November piece argues that XRP may have completed a corrective Elliott Wave structure, with the final leg bottoming near $1.88. A defended $2.17 support zone and consolidation above $2.18 are seen as early signs of accumulation, with a close above $2.22 flagged as the trigger for a potential “Wave‑5” breakout targeting much higher levels over time (one long‑term projection cited is near $5.85). ^[24]
CryptoPotato’s 28 November analysis notes that XRP has rallied ~14% this week, clearly reclaimed $2 as support, and is now facing a key barrier at $2.40. A move above that resistance, combined with a higher high/higher low structure, would be needed to confirm a genuine trend reversal. ^[25]
Technical analyst “Charting Guy,” writing via The Crypto Basic and further expanded in a NewsBTC article mirrored on CryptoRank, insists XRP is “not bearish in the slightest”, framing the entire 2025 price action as a Wyckoff re‑accumulation above the prior cycle high around $1.96. His roadmap envisions a final “spring” washout toward the $1.61–$1.70 region followed by a breakout that could eventually drive XRP as high as $7.50, with even more aggressive Fibonacci extension targets up to $26+ in extreme bull cases. ^[26]

Bearish / cautious technical narratives

A separate report (referenced in TheStreet’s coverage) warns that XRP may be forming a “death cross”, a classic bearish pattern where a shorter‑term moving average crosses below a longer‑term one, historically associated with deeper downside risk. ^[27]
CryptoPotato stresses that despite the recent bounce, “bears remain in the driver’s seat” until XRP can convincingly reclaim the $2.4 resistance and print a higher‑high structure. ^[28]

Taken together, the technical picture is polarized:

Short‑term: neutral‑to‑slightly‑bearish, with lower highs still defining the broader structure.
Medium‑term: bulls argue that as long as XRP holds above roughly $1.60–$2.00, the market is building a base, not topping.

5. AI and algorithmic price predictions: from +9% to $10

Several AI‑driven and model‑based forecasts for XRP have dropped since Friday:

Finbold’s AI prediction agent combines three large language models (ChatGPT, Claude Sonnet 4, Gemini 2.5) and arrives at an average end‑of‑2025 target of $2.43, implying roughly +9.6% upside from around $2.22 at the time the piece was written. However, the individual models disagree sharply — one sees XRP near $2.85, another around $2.30, and the most cautious expects a dip to $2.15. ^[29]
CryptoPotato’s AI‑assisted weekly outlook (using ChatGPT) suggests the “most likely scenario” over the next week is sideways consolidation between $2.18 and $2.35, with only a less probable push toward $2.50–$2.55 if ETF inflows and Bitcoin sentiment both improve. A break back below $2.00 remains a risk if macro conditions worsen. ^[30]
AInvest aggregates on‑chain, ETF and technical data to frame 2025–26 price bands:
- Bearish: $1.80–$2.50
- Base case: $3.00–$5.00
- Bullish: $6.00–$8.00
  These ranges are explicitly tied to macro conditions and the strength of ETF inflows. ^[31]
Cryptonews highlights China’s KIMI AI, which sketches an extreme December range between roughly $2.05 (bear scenario) and $10 (bull scenario), with the upper target contingent on continued regulatory wins and strong ETF demand. ^[32]

The common thread: models agree more on direction drivers than on exact numbers. ETF flows, supply on exchanges, and macro sentiment around Bitcoin all show up as key variables.

Short‑term XRP price outlook: December 2025 scenarios

Putting the last two days of news together, we can outline three broad short‑term paths. These are scenarios, not certainties.

1. Base case: choppy consolidation between $2.00 and $2.40

This aligns closely with both CryptoPotato’s AI‑based outlook and CoinDesk’s “wait for a close above $2.22” thesis: ^[33]

XRP holds $2.00–$2.17 on pullbacks.
Price oscillates in a $2.10–$2.35 band as traders digest ETF news, liquidations, and Bitcoin’s next move.
ETF inflows remain positive but not explosive, while whales continue to selectively take profits into strength. ^[34]

In this environment, range trading strategies tend to outperform directional bets.

2. Bullish scenario: breakout toward $2.50–$2.80

For a near‑term bullish swing, several things probably need to happen together:

A daily close above $2.22, confirming the short‑term reversal CoinDesk is watching. ^[35]
A push through the $2.35–$2.40 resistance that CryptoPotato and other analysts highlight as the first meaningful higher high. ^[36]
Continued, strong ETF inflows (with no further high‑profile cancellations like CoinShares’) and renewed risk‑on sentiment in Bitcoin, which historically performs well in December on average even after weak Novembers. ^[37]

If those catalysts line up, technical frameworks from CoinDesk and AInvest suggest an initial upside window toward roughly $2.54–$2.80, with more optimistic Wyckoff and Fibonacci roadmaps pointing to $3+ over a longer horizon. ^[38]

3. Bearish scenario: breakdown toward $1.88 or lower

On the downside, watch for:

A decisive break below $2.17, invalidating the current bullish setup and reopening support at $2.10, $2.00 and $1.88. ^[39]
Follow‑through selling from large holders (whales) and ETF outflows or further cancellations, undermining the “supply shock” narrative. ^[40]
A broader risk‑off shift in crypto if Bitcoin’s attempt to stabilise near $90,000 fails, extending November’s drawdown. ^[41]

In this case, Pintu’s liquidation map suggests an acceleration as price moves toward $1.82, where a large cluster of long positions could be force‑closed. ^[42]

Below $1.80, far more aggressive bearish interpretations – including the “death cross” narrative – would likely dominate sentiment. ^[43]

Medium‑term XRP forecast (2026–2030): what’s driving the big targets?

Longer‑term XRP forecasts vary wildly, but they largely rest on three pillars:

Regulatory clarity and the SEC settlement
A November overview from Capital.com recaps that Judge Analisa Torres ruled XRP is not a security in public (retail) sales, though certain institutional sales did violate securities laws. Ripple agreed to pay a $50 million settlement, and a permanent injunction restricts specific institutional sale practices in the U.S. ^[44] That ruling removed a major legal overhang and opened the door for U.S. exchange re‑listings and spot ETFs, which are now driving the 2025 narrative.
Ripple’s corporate strength and ecosystem expansion
European outlet Trending Topics reports that Ripple recently raised $500 million at a $40 billion valuation, framing this alongside the SEC case resolution, a new RLUSD stablecoin, and high‑profile interactions with U.S. political leaders as the company prepares for aggressive global expansion. ^[45]
ETF‑driven demand and supply dynamics
AInvest’s AI‑assisted research stresses 2025’s combination of large escrow burns (over 1.2 billion XRP in Q3 alone) and rising ETF inflows as creating a possible deflationary tailwind, where structurally shrinking supply meets institutional demand. ^[46]

On top of this foundation, different analysts project very different numbers:

Conservative to moderate:
- AInvest: $1.80–$2.50 (bearish) and $3.00–$5.00 (base case) over the coming cycle. ^[47]
- Several multi‑year outlooks (e.g., CryptoNews’ XRP prediction series) cluster around single‑digit dollar targets by 2030 in their more optimistic scenarios. ^[48]
Aggressive bull cases:
- Charting Guy’s Fibonacci roadmap includes extensions at $8.29, $13.38 and $26.6 as theoretical “full cycle” upside if XRP completes a perfect Wyckoff re‑accumulation and the broader market enters a euphoric phase. ^[49]
- KIMI AI’s December‑focused analysis contemplates XRP moving toward $10 under highly favourable sentiment and continued ETF‑led demand. ^[50]

These upper‑end numbers make for attention‑grabbing headlines, but they rely on a long chain of favourable assumptions: sustained ETF inflows, continued legal and regulatory wins, macro tailwinds, and real‑world adoption of Ripple’s technology.

Practical checklist: what XRP traders and investors should watch now

Whether you’re short‑term trading or thinking multi‑year, the news from 28–29 November points to a clear set of indicators to monitor.

1. Price levels

Hold above: $2.17, $2.00, $1.88
Flip to support: $2.22, then $2.35–$2.40
Major resistance: $2.60, ~$3.30–$3.65
Deeper support (reaccumulation thesis): $1.61–$1.70 ^[51]

2. ETF and fund flows

Net inflows or outflows from U.S. XRP ETFs (Rex‑Osprey, Bitwise, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, Canary, 21Shares TOXR). ^[52]
New filings vs withdrawals (like CoinShares’ cancellation). ^[53]

Consistent inflows strengthen the bullish case; large, persistent outflows or more cancellations would do the opposite.

3. Exchange reserves and whale behaviour

Ongoing declines in exchange balances (e.g., Binance at 2.7B XRP, lowest since January) support the “supply shock” thesis — as long as coins aren’t simply rotating to other venues. ^[54]
Whale accumulation vs distribution: recent data highlighted by Pintu suggests whales have been selling into strength, increasing the risk of downside liquidations. ^[55]

4. Derivatives positioning and liquidation maps

Liquidation clusters around $2.32 (shorts) and $1.82 (longs) indicate where moves can accelerate. ^[56]
Funding rates and open interest – not covered in detail here, but closely linked to the liquidation risk narrative.

5. Macro and Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s behaviour after a 16.5% November decline — its worst month since early 2025 — is crucial. A stabilising or recovering BTC often gives altcoins breathing room; renewed BTC stress tends to drag everything lower, including XRP. ^[57]

Final thoughts: a pivotal but uncertain moment for XRP

The news from 28–29 November 2025 leaves XRP at a knife‑edge:

Bullish forces:
- Fresh spot ETF launches, notably 21Shares’ TOXR. ^[58]
- Shrinking exchange supply and an 800% spike in trading volume through November. ^[59]
- Technical frameworks that see the recent drop as a re‑accumulation phase above prior cycle highs, not a topping pattern. ^[60]
Bearish forces:
- A potential death cross and still‑dominant downtrend from the $3.6 high. ^[61]
- Whale selling and heavily leveraged derivatives positioning that could trigger painful liquidations in either direction. ^[62]
- Macro uncertainty, with Bitcoin only tentatively rebounding from its worst month of 2025. ^[63]

Most credible analyses published over the last two days converge on a simple conclusion:

XRP is neither clearly bullish nor clearly broken — it’s range‑bound at a critical inflection point.

For now, the market seems to be waiting for confirmation:

A strong close above $2.22, then $2.35–$2.40, supported by ETF inflows and healthy spot demand, would tilt the balance toward the bullish breakout scenarios. ^[64]
A loss of $2.17 with rising liquidations and ETF disappointment would argue for a deeper retrace back toward the high‑$1s. ^[65]

If you choose to trade or invest around these levels, treat all of this as context, not a signal. Do your own research, size positions conservatively, assume that both sharp rallies and sharp crashes are possible, and consider speaking to a qualified financial adviser if you’re unsure.

IS XRP REALLY ABOUT TO RALLY?🚨 | RIPPLE (XRP) PRICE PREDICTION & NEWS 2025!