XRP price action is staying surprisingly active for Christmas Day, even as many markets are operating with thinner liquidity and lighter participation. As of the latest available data on December 25, 2025, XRP is trading around $1.87, modestly higher on the day after dipping and rebounding back into the mid‑$1.80s. [1]
The bigger story isn’t a sudden breakout—it’s the growing tension between institutional-style demand (via newly launched U.S. spot XRP ETFs) and a spot price that remains stuck in a narrow range, with multiple outlets pointing to key levels around $1.77 (support) and $1.98 (resistance) as the near-term “decision zone.” [2]
Below is a full roundup of today’s (25.12.2025) XRP news, forecasts, and market analyses, plus what they imply for the next few sessions.
XRP Price Today: Where XRP Is Trading on Christmas Day
Market pricing late on Dec. 25 shows XRP hovering around $1.87, after an intraday move that included a pullback and quick recovery. [3]
Trading coverage on the day described XRP spending much of the session around the $1.86 area, dipping, and then being pushed back toward $1.87—a “green on Christmas” narrative driven more by a rebound than by a trend change. [4]
One important nuance: some same-day analyses referenced XRP closer to the $1.80 region (often because they’re framing a support test rather than the latest tick). That difference is typical on volatile days, and it underscores why traders are treating the current tape as a range market, not a breakout. [5]
What’s Driving XRP Price on Dec. 25, 2025
Across the day’s reporting and analysis, three themes keep repeating:
1) XRP ETFs keep absorbing capital—yet price is still ranging
Multiple Dec. 25 writeups point to continued ETF demand as a supportive backdrop, with combined inflows reported around $1.13B and assets under management above $1.2B (figures cited in market commentary). [6]
At least one widely circulated headline framing today is blunt: ETF assets have climbed toward/above ~$1.25B, but XRP price has “stalled” in its trading range. [7]
That divergence matters because it suggests one (or more) of the following may be happening simultaneously:
- ETF inflows are being offset by profit-taking elsewhere in the market.
- Liquidity conditions (holiday trading) are muting follow-through.
- Traders are waiting for a catalyst strong enough to force a directional move.
2) Short-term market structure: liquidations show a “dip then snapback”
One of today’s most concrete micro-signals came from liquidation data cited in market coverage: in a one-hour window, liquidations skewed heavily toward shorts, consistent with a quick dip being bought and sellers getting squeezed out. [8]
This doesn’t automatically translate into a sustained rally—but it helps explain why XRP can look “flat” on the day while still producing tradable intraday swings.
3) Sentiment is ugly—contrarians are watching that closely
A Dec. 25 analysis piece highlighted “fear zone” conditions for XRP sentiment (attributed to Santiment) and argued that extreme negativity has historically coincided with stabilization and rebounds in some instances. [9]
That same analysis also cited on-chain exchange supply dynamics: XRP balances on Binance were described as falling to their lowest level since July 2024, which—if accurate—can reduce immediate sell pressure and amplify price sensitivity to incremental demand. [10]
Spot XRP ETFs: The Institutional Pipeline That’s Reshaping the Narrative
Whether you’re bullish or bearish, it’s hard to cover XRP in late 2025 without acknowledging that U.S. spot XRP ETF launches changed the market structure—creating a regulated on-ramp for allocators who won’t custody tokens directly.
A quick snapshot of the key products and launches frequently referenced in XRP coverage:
- Canary Capital’s spot XRP ETF (XRPC) launched on Nasdaq (announced Nov. 13, 2025). [11]
- Bitwise XRP ETF (ticker: XRP) announced with trading start in late Nov. 2025 on NYSE. [12]
- Franklin Templeton’s Franklin XRP ETF (XRPZ) launched Nov. 24, 2025 on NYSE Arca. [13]
- Grayscale XRP Trust ETF (GXRP) is listed on NYSE Arca, with public quotation and ETP listing date shown as Nov. 24, 2025 on its product page. [14]
- 21Shares XRP ETF (TOXR) shows an inception date of Dec. 11, 2025, and the issuer’s product page lists AUM around $255M (as of Dec. 23, 2025). [15]
The market’s immediate takeaway from today’s coverage: ETFs can generate steady demand without instantly “fixing” price action—especially when broader crypto sentiment is weak and technical overhead resistance remains heavy. [16]
XRP Technical Analysis Today: Key Levels Traders Are Watching
While exact levels vary by analyst and timeframe, today’s most repeated zones are remarkably consistent across outlets:
Levels highlighted in Dec. 25 analysis
- $1.77: widely cited as a critical structural support; a daily close below it is framed as a bearish signal by at least one technical analysis outlet. [17]
- $1.92: cited as a trendline / recovery hurdle in one analysis focused on resistance stacking overhead. [18]
- $1.96–$2.00: a dense resistance pocket cited alongside holder concentration data in one report. [19]
- $1.98: repeatedly framed as the breakout trigger—the level that has capped upside attempts since mid‑December. [20]
- $2.12 (then $2.23): cited as potential follow-through zones if $1.98 breaks with strength. [21]
- $1.61: framed as a deeper “must-defend” support zone in a separate channel-based outlook. [22]
What this technical map implies
Put simply, today’s technical commentary paints a market where:
- Bulls want to see $1.98 reclaimed to argue the downtrend is easing. [23]
- Bears focus on whether XRP loses $1.77, which could open the door to lower tests. [24]
On-Chain and Whale Activity: Accumulation, But Not a Frenzy
One of the more detailed Dec. 25 analyses pointed to cautious whale adding across two large-holder cohorts, estimating roughly $200 million worth of net additions based on changes in wallet cohort balances over the prior few days. [25]
The tone of that analysis is important: it does not claim aggressive accumulation. Instead, it frames whale behavior as a supportive “tailwind” that could help a reversal if price confirms by clearing resistance levels. [26]
Separately, the “exchange reserves down” angle—especially focused on Binance balances—has been used today as an argument that sell-side supply may be tightening. [27]
Ripple/XRP Fundamentals in Today’s News Cycle: Adoption vs. Token Price
A recurring debate in XRP coverage today is the gap between Ripple’s ecosystem milestones and XRP’s token performance.
One widely distributed finance piece noted that Ripple has processed $95B in payments, while also arguing that XRP’s 2025 price performance shows adoption metrics and token price don’t always move in lockstep. [28]
This line of thinking matches a broader theme you’ll see in many XRP discussions: even if Ripple’s payments and infrastructure business expands, XRP’s price still depends on market structure, liquidity, regulatory framing, and how much of that activity meaningfully translates into sustained XRP demand.
XRP Price Forecasts and Predictions Published/Updated on Dec. 25, 2025
Forecasts are not guarantees—especially in crypto—but today’s “prediction stack” is useful because it shows where expectations cluster.
Short-term: “mostly flat” predictions dominate
- A Binance-hosted price prediction page listed XRP around $1.8725 for Dec. 25, 2025, implying a largely stable day rather than a major directional move. [29]
- CoinCodex’s near-term outlook referenced XRP around $1.86 for this date (again, broadly consistent with a tight range). [30]
End of December 2025: tight band forecasts
One widely referenced monthly forecast projected XRP could end December 2025 around $1.87, with a band near $1.82–$1.87. [31]
This is notable because it aligns with what traders are seeing on the chart: price action compressing near a decision area, with neither side convincingly breaking control.
Scenario-Based Bull Cases Trending Today: Japan and Pension Funds
Some of today’s most viral XRP content isn’t classic technical analysis—it’s scenario modeling based on institutional adoption narratives.
“Japan as a full-scale use case” scenario
A Dec. 25 commentary framed Japan as a potential first “full-scale institutional use case” for XRP due to FX volatility and existing Ripple-linked relationships (notably SBI). It laid out scenario ranges such as $3–$5 (base), $8–$12 (optimistic), and $15+ (aggressive)—explicitly presented as modeled paths, not forecasts. [32]
“Pension fund interest in XRP ETFs” scenario
Another Dec. 25 piece suggested that after retail-driven ETF demand, the “next phase” could involve pension funds and insurers, and it included chatbot-based scenario math (for example, hypothetical $10B–$20B incremental inflows and “multiplier effect” logic). This is inherently speculative, but it’s clearly part of today’s XRP discourse. [33]
For a Google News–style framing, the key takeaway is: the narrative bid for XRP is increasingly institutional, but the market still wants confirmation in the form of price reclaiming major resistance levels.
The Regulatory Backdrop Still Matters (Even When Today Is Quiet)
Even on a holiday, XRP’s price is trading inside a 2025 context shaped by regulation and market access.
Earlier in 2025, Reuters reported the SEC dropped its appeal in the long-running Ripple case, following a district court decision (a milestone frequently cited as part of the “regulatory clarity” arc around XRP). [34]
And Reuters also covered Ripple-backed Evernorth’s plan to raise over $1B via a Nasdaq listing to build an XRP-focused treasury strategy—another example of crypto’s growing integration with public-market structures. [35]
Those aren’t “Dec. 25 breaking news” items, but they help explain why spot XRP ETFs exist in late 2025 and why institutional flows are now a daily part of the XRP market conversation.
What to Watch Next for XRP Price
If you’re tracking XRP into the final days of 2025, today’s coverage suggests a practical checklist:
- Does XRP hold $1.77 on a daily close? Several analysts treat that as the line between “base building” and “breakdown risk.” [36]
- Can XRP reclaim $1.98 with volume? Multiple Dec. 25 analyses frame this as the breakout trigger. [37]
- Do ETF inflows remain uninterrupted? Reports circulating today emphasize the streak effect and the psychological signal of consistent demand. [38]
- Are exchange balances continuing to fall? The “supply leaving exchanges” narrative is being used today as a potential bullish ingredient—but it needs price confirmation. [39]
- Do macro conditions and broader crypto risk appetite improve after the holiday? Thin liquidity can distort signals; the first full trading sessions after major holidays often provide cleaner confirmation.
Bottom Line: XRP’s Christmas Tape Is Calm on the Surface—But the Setup Is Active
On Dec. 25, 2025, XRP is not “doing nothing.” It’s compressing—with price near $1.87, sentiment described as deeply negative in parts of the market, and a steady flow of ETF-driven institutional interest building underneath the chart. [40]
That combination is exactly what fuels the current debate: whether XRP is quietly building a base ahead of a reclaim of the $2 handle—or whether overhead resistance and weak risk appetite keep it trapped (or push it lower) into year-end.
The next decisive move likely hinges less on Christmas-day candles and more on whether XRP can defend $1.77 and break $1.98 in the sessions that follow. [41]
References
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