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SAP Stock Skyrockets on Cloud Boom – Analysts Eye New Highs?
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SAP Stock Skyrockets on Cloud Boom – Analysts Eye New Highs?

by
22 October 2025
  • Cloud Growth Fuels Earnings: SAP reported a 12% jump in Q3 profit, led by a surge in cloud demand [1]. The company’s cloud backlog hit €18.8 billion (up 27% at constant currencies) and cloud revenue rose 22% year-over-year [2]. CEO Christian Klein hailed “strong cloud revenue growth” and said SAP is “confident in our accelerating total revenue growth ambition for 2026” [3].
  • Outlook Raised: Management noted disciplined cost control amid macro uncertainty. CFO Dominik Asam emphasized “disciplined execution and a sharp focus on profitability and cash flow” and an “improved outlook for operating profit and free cash flow” [4]. SAP updated its 2025 guidance higher, reflecting confidence in sustaining growth. [5]
  • Share Price & Targets: SAP shares (ticker SAPG.DE) closed around €236.85 on Oct 22 [6] (roughly $275), near the top of their 52-week range. Analysts are mostly bullish: 15 Wall Street firms rate SAP a “Buy,” with an average 12-month target of about $281 [7] (≈€265), implying only modest upside. Major brokerages set targets broadly in the €270–€316 range [8] (Goldman Sachs at €310 [9], Deutsche Bank €270, BofA €316 [10]).
  • Strategic Wins & AI: SAP is expanding its AI and cloud portfolio: it announced an “OpenAI for Germany” sovereign cloud service (in partnership with OpenAI) and plans to acquire SmartRecruiters for its HR suite [11]. These moves underline SAP’s push into cloud AI and could drive long-term growth.

SAP’s in-depth report shows the company gaining market share in enterprise software. The Q3 2025 earnings release (Oct 22) highlighted broad growth across cloud segments [12]. Total revenue rose 7% (11% cc), and IFRS operating profit was up 12% [13] [14]. By segment, the cloud ERP suite grew 31% (cc) – a sign customers are migrating to SAP’s newer cloud products. (SAP’s legacy software licenses continued to decline, a known trend as customers shift to subscriptions.)

Management was upbeat. In a press release, Klein said “we are gaining market share as our customers are adopting solutions across the entire Business Suite,” including AI and data-cloud offerings [15]. He added SAP saw a “great Q3” and is executing against a “strong pipeline.” Asam noted the company “maintained forward momentum despite an uncertain macro backdrop,” keeping costs in check while raising guidance [16]. Indeed, SAP confirmed it has raised its full-year outlook for cloud revenue, operating profit and free cash flow [17], underscoring confidence in hitting 2025 targets.

Stock reaction: Despite the strong report, SAP shares were modestly lower on Oct 22. (By end-of-day Oct 22 SAPG.DE was down about 1.5% at €236.85 [18].) This reflects cautious investor mood: after a big run-up year-to-date, expectations were high. SAP is now one of the largest components of Germany’s DAX, and its stock has roughly doubled over the past 12 months (a ~75% gain) [19], partly due to the cloud/AI growth narrative. With shares near multi-year highs, upside is not guaranteed absent future beats.

Analyst commentary: Wall Street remains generally optimistic. Goldman Sachs reiterated a Buy on SAP ahead of Q3, citing durable backlog growth and AI upsides [20]. Goldman notes SAP’s S/4HANA migration momentum is strong (helping bookings) and that the Q3 “pipeline conversions have remained broadly unchanged” with backlog booked more in Q4 seasonally [21]. At the same time, analysts are tempering targets: Deutsche Bank trimmed its price target to €270 (from €300) citing a sector-wide derating, while BofA cut its target to €316 [22]. On average, 12-month targets imply only ~2% upside from current levels [23].

Outlook: Looking ahead, SAP’s growth depends on continuing cloud adoption and new AI features. The “OpenAI for Germany” initiative and the SmartRecruiters deal [24] show SAP leveraging AI and expanding its cloud ecosystem, which experts say should bolster long-term prospects. “SAP offers more durable backlog and cloud revenue growth over the mid-term” compared to peers [25], notes Goldman. However, investors will be watching the Q4 results and 2026 forecasts closely. If SAP again exceeds its own targets, the stock could retest its highs; if not, expectations may need resetting.

Sources: SAP’s official Q3 2025 release [26] [27], Reuters news [28], market data and analyst reports [29] [30] [31]. These provide the facts and expert commentary above.

References

1. www.reuters.com, 2. news.sap.com, 3. news.sap.com, 4. news.sap.com, 5. news.sap.com, 6. www.reuters.com, 7. www.marketbeat.com, 8. www.investing.com, 9. www.investing.com, 10. www.investing.com, 11. www.investing.com, 12. news.sap.com, 13. news.sap.com, 14. www.reuters.com, 15. news.sap.com, 16. news.sap.com, 17. news.sap.com, 18. www.reuters.com, 19. www.ainvest.com, 20. www.investing.com, 21. www.investing.com, 22. www.investing.com, 23. www.marketbeat.com, 24. www.investing.com, 25. www.investing.com, 26. news.sap.com, 27. news.sap.com, 28. www.reuters.com, 29. www.marketbeat.com, 30. www.investing.com, 31. www.investing.com

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Marcin Frąckiewicz Latest posts

CEO of TS2 Space and founder of TS2.tech. Expert in satellites, telecommunications, and emerging technologies, covering trends in space, AI, and connectivity.

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