Dow Futures Today: U.S. Stock Futures Point Lower as Fed Rate‑Cut Hopes Fade (Nov. 14, 2025)

U.S. stock futures slipped early Friday, November 14, 2025, signaling another weak open for Wall Street after the Dow’s 800‑point reversal from record highs and fresh doubts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. ^[1]

Where Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Futures Stand This Morning

As of around 5:30 a.m. ET on Friday:

Dow Jones futures traded near 47,460, down about 87 points (-0.18%). ^[2]
S&P 500 futures hovered around 6,743, off roughly 0.25%. ^[3]
Nasdaq 100 futures were near 24,964, down about 0.5%. ^[4]

That modest pre‑market decline follows a bruising regular session on Thursday, when:

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 1.7%, nearly 800 points, just one day after it closed above 48,000for the first time. ^[5]
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also lost roughly 1.7% and 2.3%, respectively, led by heavy selling in big technology and AI names. ^[6]

In other words, Dow futures today are extending, not reversing, yesterday’s tech‑driven selloff.

Why U.S. Stock Futures Are Down Today

1. Fading December Rate‑Cut Expectations

The dominant story for markets on November 14 is the sharp repricing of rate‑cut hopes.

A series of hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials on Thursday and Friday have made investors less confident that the central bank will deliver a quarter‑point cut at its December meeting. ^[7]

According to data based on the CME FedWatch tool, markets now assign roughly a 50% chance of a December cut, down from about two‑thirds odds just a week ago. ^[8]
Fed regional presidents have stressed the need for caution, arguing that the economy remains resilient and that policy may need to stay restrictive longer to contain inflation. ^[9]

That shift is crucial for growth and tech stocks, whose rich valuations depend on lower discount rates. As rate‑cut odds fade, investors are re‑rating those sectors lower — a key reason Nasdaq futures today are underperforming Dow futures. ^[10]

2. The “Impaired Data” Problem After a Historic Shutdown

Another layer of uncertainty comes from Washington. The longest U.S. government shutdown in history — 43 days — ended Thursday after President Donald Trump signed a funding bill to reopen the government through January 30. ^[11]

But the damage to the economic‑data pipeline is lingering:

The shutdown delayed or cancelled key releases, including jobs and inflation reports that the Fed typically relies on heavily. ^[12]
Officials in the administration have indicated that some of the missed data may be “permanently impaired,”meaning economists could lack clean readings for October in several crucial series. ^[13]

Reuters notes that both Fed policymakers and traders are now effectively “flying blind” on the latest macro trends, adding to volatility around rate expectations. ^[14]

When markets can’t trust the data, risk appetite typically falls — and that’s exactly what this morning’s futures are signaling.

3. Volatility Is Picking Up

The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often called Wall Street’s fear gauge, ticked up to around 21, a one‑week high, as investors moved to hedge against deeper losses. ^[15]
Bitcoin, which had already slumped on Thursday from roughly $104,000 to near $98,000, traded around $97,000 early Friday, extending this week’s losses. ^[16]
Some coverage also highlights that gold has recently gained around 5% as investors look for safety, although futures were slightly softer in early Friday trading after those gains. ^[17]

Rising volatility and defensive flows are classic ingredients for a risk‑off session, and they help explain why U.S. stock futures are lower today despite the economy still looking reasonably solid on the surface.

Global Market Backdrop: Risk‑Off Mood Spreads

Dow futures today aren’t moving in a vacuum — global markets are under pressure too.

From early Friday quotes:

FTSE 100 futures in the U.K. were down about 1.4%.
Germany’s DAX and the Euro Stoxx 50 were both lower by roughly 0.7%–0.9%.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 dropped about 1.8%, while other Asian indices showed mixed performance. ^[18]

European traders are reacting to the same combination of dimming Fed‑cut hopes and soft global data, while U.S. futures also have to digest the unique uncertainty around American economic statistics after the shutdown. ^[19]

All of that leaves Wall Street on edge, with technical analysts warning that key support levels in the major U.S. indices are now being tested after the recent record highs. ^[20]

Sector Snapshot: Tech, AI and Chipmakers Under Pressure

Tech and AI: From Market Darlings to Main Targets

The Nasdaq’s 2%‑plus drop on Thursday was driven by selling in high‑growth technology and AI names — and Nasdaq 100 futures today are again leading the downside. ^[21]

Coverage from several outlets highlights:

Mega‑cap tech and AI leaders like Nvidia and other chip‑related names are facing valuation pressure as investors question how sustainable recent gains are in a higher‑for‑longer rate environment. ^[22]
Tesla, Palantir and a cluster of quantum‑computing and high‑beta tech stocks were among the notable pre‑market laggards, reflecting a broad pullback in speculative growth. ^[23]

Chipmakers: Applied Materials in Focus

One of the morning’s most closely watched movers is Applied Materials:

Shares were down nearly 5% pre‑market after the company warned about softer spending from China next year due to tighter U.S. export controls. ^[24]
The news weighed on other chipmakers, with Nvidia, Broadcom, Intel and AMD also trading lower in early action. ^[25]

Given how heavily semiconductors and AI have contributed to the market’s rally in 2025, any sign of demand or regulatory headwinds is being punished quickly.

Defensive Rotation

At the same time, money is trickling into defensive sectors:

Utilities, consumer staples and other low‑volatility areas outperformed on Thursday and are holding up better than tech in pre‑market trade, as investors look to cushion portfolios from swings in growth names. ^[26]

This rotation helps explain why Dow futures today are down less than Nasdaq futures — the Dow’s mix is somewhat more tilted toward financials, industrials and defensive names compared with the tech‑heavy Nasdaq 100. ^[27]

Individual Stocks to Watch as U.S. Markets Open

A few single‑name stories are standing out in Friday’s pre‑market session:

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)
- Shares are up roughly 3–4% in early trade on reports that Comcast, Netflix and Paramount are exploring bids for the company. ^[28]
Cidara Therapeutics (CDTX)
- The biotech stock surged nearly 90% pre‑market after reports that Merck is nearing a deal to acquire the company. ^[29]
Nu Holdings (NU) and other financial names
- Featured prominently in pre‑market coverage as traders look for pockets of relative strength outside of mega‑cap tech. ^[30]

On the earnings front, it’s a busy morning for small‑ and mid‑cap names, especially in biotech and utilities. According to Nasdaq’s pre‑market earnings calendar, companies such as Spire (SR), Scholar Rock (SRRK), Twist Bioscience (TWST), Bit Digital (BTBT), Sigma Lithium (SGML) and others are set to report before the opening bell. ^[31]

While these stocks won’t move the Dow or S&P 500 on their own, earnings surprises can amplify volatility in niche corners of the market and feed into the broader risk mood.

What Dow Futures Today Are Telling Investors

Putting it all together, Dow futures for November 14, 2025 are sending a clear message:

The easy part of the rally is over. After the Dow’s push above 48,000, the market is finally reacting to the reality of higher‑for‑longer interest rates and data uncertainty. ^[32]
Policy uncertainty is back at center stage. With the Fed signaling caution and the government’s data pipeline disrupted by the shutdown, traders are less willing to pay peak multiples for growth. ^[33]
Leadership is rotating. Tech and AI, the big winners of 2025, are now the main source of downside pressure, while defensives and select value names hold up relatively better. ^[34]

For day‑to‑day traders, that could mean choppy intraday moves, sharp sector rotations and an elevated VIX. For longer‑term investors, the message is more subtle: the macro backdrop is shifting, and future gains may depend more on earnings delivery than on central‑bank support.

What to Watch for the Rest of the Day

Market participants will be tracking several key themes as the cash session unfolds:

Further Fed commentary – Any additional speeches or interviews from policymakers could nudge December rate‑cut expectations again. ^[35]
Upcoming economic data – Investors are watching how agencies rebuild the data calendar post‑shutdown and whether any revisions or missing releases meaningfully change the growth and inflation narrative. ^[36]
Earnings and guidance – Forward‑looking commentary from companies like Applied Materials and the smaller firms reporting pre‑market will be scrutinized for signs of slowing demand or tightening financial conditions. ^[37]
Whether dip‑buyers return – After Thursday’s selloff and today’s weaker futures, traders will watch closely to see if buyers step in near support levels or if selling accelerates. ^[38]

For now, the message from Dow futures today is straightforward: Wall Street is bracing for another cautious, volatility‑filled session as 2025’s record‑setting rally collides with a more uncertain rate and data outlook.

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research or consult a licensed financial adviser before making trading or investing decisions.

Dow Futures React as Big Tech Earnings & Fed Decision Loom!