Bharti Airtel Limited’s stock continues to trade near all‑time highs as investors digest stellar Q2 FY26 results, an S&P Global credit rating upgrade, and expectations of another round of tariff hikes across the Indian telecom sector.
On 2 December 2025, Bharti Airtel closed around ₹2,108.30, up 0.89% from the previous session, with the day’s range between ₹2,089.80 and ₹2,114.80. The stock is now less than 3% below its 52‑week high of ₹2,174.50 and has delivered roughly 30–35% gains over the past year. [1]
With a market capitalization hovering around ₹12 lakh crore (₹11,99,038.71 crore as per early‑session data) Bharti Airtel is firmly entrenched among India’s most valuable companies. [2]
Bharti Airtel share price today (2 December 2025)
According to end‑of‑day data, Bharti Airtel’s key price metrics for 2 December 2025 are: [3]
- Closing price: ₹2,108.30
- Day’s open: ₹2,089.80
- Intraday high / low: ₹2,114.80 / ₹2,089.80
- Daily change: +0.89%
- Volume: ~1.86 million shares
- 52‑week high / low: ₹2,174.50 / ₹1,559.50
Intraday live updates from major financial platforms show the stock consistently trading above ₹2,100 through the morning, with returns over the last month at about +1.7% and the last week at roughly –2.9%, highlighting a short‑term consolidation inside a longer‑term uptrend. [4]
Livemint’s live tracker earlier in the day pegged the stock at around ₹2,102.80 (up 0.63% versus the previous close of ₹2,089.60), implying a market cap of ₹11,99,038.71 crore, with the stock trading on a trailing P/E of 28.23 versus a sector P/E of 18.79. [5]
Technical picture: strong trend, cautious derivatives
Airtel remains technically strong:
- The stock is trading above its 20‑day, 50‑day, 100‑day and 200‑day moving averages, indicating a positive medium‑ to long‑term trend. [6]
- It sits within roughly 3% of its 52‑week high, keeping sentiment firmly bullish. [7]
However, derivatives data hints at a more cautious near‑term tone. MarketsMojo notes heavy put option activity at the ₹2,100 strike for the 30 December 2025 expiry:
- About 2,250 contracts traded at the ₹2,100 strike on 1 December, with open interest around 2,819 contracts—substantial for a single strike.
- The underlying price was about ₹2,100.8 at the time, making the ₹2,100 puts nearly at‑the‑money. [8]
This pattern suggests active hedging or speculative bearish positioning as the stock trades near its highs. At the same time, delivery volumes on 1 December were down more than 70% versus their 5‑day average, pointing to a tilt toward intraday and short‑term trades rather than long‑term accumulation. [9]
Trading activity on 2 December: high value, close to highs
On 2 December, Bharti Airtel was among the most actively traded stocks by value on Indian exchanges: [10]
- Total traded volume: 8,77,152 shares
- Total traded value: ~₹184.72 crore
- Opening price: ₹2,089.80
- Intraday high / low: ₹2,114.80 / ₹2,087.10
- Last traded price (during session): ~₹2,107.80
- One‑day return: +0.89%
- Distance from 52‑week high: ~3.07%
The stock outperformed both the Sensex (which fell about 0.31% that day) and the broader telecom services sector, which gained around 0.73%. [11]
In short: structurally bullish trend, short‑term caution in derivatives, and heavy but somewhat more speculative trading activity.
Q2 FY26 results: revenue and profit surge, ARPU hits ₹256
Bharti Airtel’s strong price action is anchored in an excellent Q2 FY26 performance for the quarter ended 30 September 2025, announced on 3 November 2025. [12]
Key consolidated metrics (Q2 FY26 vs Q2 FY25): [13]
- Revenue from operations: ₹52,145 crore (up 25.7% YoY)
- Total income: ₹52,873 crore
- Profit before tax (PBT): ~₹12,322 crore (up ~109% YoY)
- Net profit (PAT):
- ~₹6,792 crore on an adjusted basis (up ~89% YoY)
- ~₹8,651 crore including exceptional items, compared with ₹4,153 crore a year ago
- EBITDA: ₹29,919 crore (up 35.9% YoY); EBITDA margin: 57.4% vs 53.1%
- Net debt / EBITDA (annualised): 1.63x vs 2.50x a year earlier
Operational highlights underline the “premiumisation” theme: [14]
- Total customer base: ~624 million across 15 countries
- India revenues: ₹38,690 crore (up 22.6% YoY; 2.9% QoQ)
- Mobile India: revenue up 13.2% YoY; ~5.1 million smartphone net adds in the quarter
- ARPU (Average Revenue Per User): ₹256 vs ₹233 a year ago (≈10% YoY growth)
- Post‑paid net adds: ~0.95–1.0 million, taking the base to ~27.5 million
- Homes (broadband & IPTV): 30.2% YoY revenue growth; ~951,000 net adds; total home broadband base ~11.9 million
- Digital TV: revenue of ~₹753 crore with 15.4 million subscribers
Africa operations continued to deliver strong constant‑currency growth, while India wireless margins and ARPU remained best‑in‑class among domestic peers. [15]
The board also approved acquiring up to an additional 5% stake in Indus Towers, tightening Airtel’s grip on passive infrastructure that underpins its 4G/5G roll‑out. [16]
Overall, Q2 FY26 marked the sixth consecutive quarter of profit growth, driven by higher‑value 4G/5G users, broadband expansion, and disciplined cost control. [17]
Credit story: S&P upgrades Bharti Airtel to ‘BBB’, outlook positive
One of the most important developments for institutional investors came in November 2025, when S&P Global Ratings upgraded Bharti Airtel’s long‑term issuer credit rating to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB‑’, with the outlook remaining Positive. [18]
S&P’s rationale, as summarised across regulatory filings and media reports: [19]
- Strong earnings momentum in Indian operations
- Rising ARPU, aided by prior tariff hikes and user upgrades
- Continued deleveraging, with leverage metrics expected to improve further over the next 24 months
- Robust and improving cash flows supporting capex and spectrum obligations
The agency now expects 2–4% annual subscriber additions and 6–8% ARPU growth over the next two years, assuming further upgrades to higher‑priced plans and rising data consumption. [20]
The upgrade pushes Airtel deeper into investment‑grade territory and can, over time, reduce its cost of debt and broaden its global investor base—both supportive for the equity story.
Tariff hikes and 5G monetisation: key drivers into FY27
Multiple industry analyses suggest another round of mobile tariff hikes is likely by late 2025: [21]
- Reliance Jio, Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea are widely expected to raise tariffs by 10–12%, focused on mid‑ and high‑value users.
- Analysts cited in these reports expect this cycle of hikes to push industry ARPU towards ₹300 by FY27, up from Airtel’s current ₹256.
At the same time, telecom sector data shows India is at the heart of a 5G usage boom:
- Ericsson’s November 2025 Mobility Report estimates 394 million 5G subscriptions in the India–Nepal–Bhutan region by end‑2025 (32% of all mobile subscriptions).
- Mobile data usage per active smartphone is ~36 GB/month, the highest in the world.
- Jio and Airtel together have around 12 million fixed wireless access (FWA) connections, with Jio currently the world’s largest FWA provider. [22]
However, monetising 5G remains a challenge. In Airtel’s Q2 FY26 earnings call, MD Gopal Vittal noted that globally, 5G has so far been more about cost efficiency than incremental revenue: it produces each gigabyte of data more cheaply, but has not yet delivered a clear uplift in monetisation. [23]
This tension—between soaring data usage and the struggle to charge more for it—is precisely why Indian telcos are pushing for “tariff repair”. For Airtel, the base is already premium; incremental price hikes on top of a high‑value user mix could have an outsized impact on earnings and free cash flow.
Promoter & strategic stake sales: ICIL and Singtel trim exposure
2025 has also seen significant secondary share sales by large Airtel shareholders:
- On 25 November 2025, Indian Continent Investment Ltd (ICIL), an entity led by chairman Sunil Mittal, filed to sell 34.3 million Bharti Airtel shares (about its entire 1.48% stake) through bulk deals at a floor price of ₹2,096.70, roughly a 3% discount to the then‑closing price of ₹2,161.60. The deal size is at least $806 million. [24]
- Despite the announcement, Airtel’s stock closed 0.44% higher on the day and was up about 36% year‑to‑date at that point, suggesting strong institutional demand absorbed the supply. [25]
Earlier in the year, Singapore Telecommunications (Singtel) sold about 1.2% of Airtel for US$1.54 billion at ₹1,814 per share, cutting its stake from 29.5% to 28.3% as part of a multi‑year capital‑recycling strategy. [26]
Even as some long‑term strategic holders pare exposure, domestic and foreign institutions appear to be stepping in:
- Livemint’s shareholding snapshot notes that promoters still hold a high stake of 50.27%, though their holding has declined over the last 12 months.
- Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) increased their stake by 0.70 percentage points, and mutual funds by 0.22 percentage points in the latest quarter. [27]
These flows suggest that promoter and strategic sales are so far being treated as portfolio rebalancing and profit‑taking rather than a structural loss of confidence in the business.
Fundamentals and valuation: quality at a price
On fundamental metrics, Bharti Airtel scores strongly—but the stock is not cheap.
Profit growth and balance sheet
- Five‑year profit CAGR is about 31.4%, with the company maintaining a healthy dividend payout ratio near 39%. [28]
- Net debt to EBITDA has fallen sharply to around 1.6x, reflecting sustained deleveraging and stronger cash flows. [29]
Valuation snapshot
Different data providers show similar numbers as of 1–2 December 2025:
- TTM P/E: ~28–30x (Livemint: 28.23; Smart‑Investing: 29.75) [30]
- Sector P/E: ~18.8x (communications/services peers) [31]
- Price‑to‑book (P/B): ~10–11x (Screener cites ~10.2x; Smart‑Investing 11.23x) [32]
- Price‑to‑sales (P/S): ~6.5x on trailing revenue of ~₹1.95 lakh crore [33]
- Dividend yield: ~0.77% [34]
- Debt‑to‑equity: ~1.77–1.86 (consolidated) [35]
Smart‑Investing’s intrinsic value models estimate Airtel’s “fair value” around ₹794 per share, implying the stock trades at about a 163% premium to this median estimate as of 1 December 2025. [36]
Screener, meanwhile, flags the high P/B and notes a small decline (~0.98 percentage points) in promoter holding as valuation risks, even as it highlights the company’s strong profit growth and consistent dividend policy. [37]
The message from fundamentals is clear: Airtel today is a quality compounder priced as such. Investors are paying up for growth, balance sheet repair and market structure advantages.
Broker views and target prices
Sell‑side research remains broadly constructive on Bharti Airtel.
Consensus stance
Livemint aggregates 30 analyst ratings with an overall “Buy” consensus: [38]
- 11 × Strong Buy
- 13 × Buy
- 2 × Hold
- 4 × Sell
- 0 × Strong Sell
Recent target prices after Q2 FY26
- ICICI Securities: Buy, target price ₹2,170 per share, citing resilient India wireless performance, industry‑leading ARPU and margins, and strong execution in premiumisation. [39]
- Motilal Oswal: Buy, SoTP‑based target price ₹2,285 per share; the brokerage expects Airtel to generate about ₹1 trillion in free cash flow over FY26–FY27, enabling continued deleveraging and improved shareholder returns, especially if tariff hikes materialise. [40]
- Citigroup: Buy, target price ₹2,225 per share. Citi notes that Q2 FY26 India mobile, homes, and business segments all came in modestly above estimates, with India mobile revenue and EBITDA growing 2.5–4% QoQ, offset by higher‑than‑expected capex. [41]
These targets cluster in a narrow band between ₹2,170 and ₹2,285, implying a modest 3–8% upside from current levels, assuming forecasts hold and the broader market remains supportive.
Bharti Airtel stock forecast: key upside drivers and risks
While no forecast is guaranteed, the current data and street expectations suggest the following key drivers over the next 12–24 months:
Potential upside drivers
- Tariff hikes and ARPU growth
- Industry‑wide price increases of 10–12% by end‑2025 would likely push ARPU closer to the ₹300 mark by FY27, in line with multiple analyst and industry estimates. [42]
- Given Airtel’s already premium user mix, each incremental rupee of ARPU drops disproportionately to EBITDA and free cash flow.
- 5G and FWA scale‑up
- With India at the top of global mobile data usage and 5G adoption accelerating, Airtel is well‑positioned to monetise data‑heavy services, enterprise connectivity and fixed wireless broadband, even if 5G remains primarily a cost‑efficiency story in the near term. [43]
- Balance sheet and rating tailwinds
- The S&P upgrade to BBB, outlook Positive lowers perceived credit risk and can gradually reduce interest costs, supporting higher equity valuations—especially if further upgrades follow sustained deleveraging. [44]
- Industry structure and competitor stress
- Vodafone Idea’s financial strain and BSNL’s weaker network create a quasi‑duopolistic market with Reliance Jio, which may keep competitive intensity rational and support pricing power over time. [45]
Key risks and constraints
- Rich valuations and limited margin of safety
- Trading at nearly 30x trailing earnings and more than 10x book value, Airtel leaves little room for disappointment. Any miss on ARPU growth, tariff hikes or subscriber additions could trigger a de‑rating. [46]
- Execution risk in 5G monetisation
- As the company’s own management has acknowledged, 5G has not yet led to clear monetisation anywhere in the world. If tariffs cannot rise in line with data usage, returns on large 5G capex might be pressured. [47]
- Regulatory and policy uncertainty
- Telecom is a highly regulated sector. Changes in spectrum pricing, AGR‑style dues, or new consumer‑protection rules could affect profitability and pricing freedom.
- Macro and currency exposure (especially Africa)
- While Africa contributes strongly in constant currency terms, local currency volatility—particularly in markets like Nigeria—can distort reported earnings and cash flows. [48]
- Supply from large shareholders
- Continued stake sales by promoter entities or strategic investors like Singtel could create intermittent supply overhangs, even if underlying business fundamentals remain solid. [49]
Bottom line
As of 2 December 2025, Bharti Airtel sits at the intersection of strong fundamentals, favourable industry trends, and demanding valuations:
- Q2 FY26 earnings show powerful operating leverage, with ARPU at ₹256 and profits nearly doubling year‑on‑year. [50]
- S&P’s upgrade to BBB, outlook Positive underscores the improving balance sheet and earnings visibility. [51]
- Expected tariff hikes and rapid 5G/FWA adoption form the core of the medium‑term growth story. [52]
- At nearly 30x trailing earnings and near record highs, the stock already discounts a large part of this optimism. [53]
For investors and traders watching Bharti Airtel on Google News and Discover, this is a classic “high‑quality, high‑expectation” situation: upside from continued execution and tariff tailwinds, but with valuation and execution risk that require careful position sizing and time horizon planning.
References
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