ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CHPT) is back in the spotlight after reporting third quarter fiscal 2026 results (quarter ended October 31, 2025) and unveiling a major balance sheet overhaul. The EV‑charging network operator delivered a return to revenue growth, record gross margins and a large debt reduction — prompting a sharp move in the share price and renewed debate over whether CHPT is finally turning the corner.
All figures and analyst data in this article are current as of December 4–5, 2025.
Key Takeaways for ChargePoint (CHPT) Stock
- Back to growth: Q3 FY 2026 revenue rose 6% year over year to $105.7 million, at the top of ChargePoint’s guidance range and above Wall Street estimates. [1]
- Margins improving: GAAP gross margin climbed to 31% and non‑GAAP gross margin held at a record 33%, up from 23% and 26% a year ago. [2]
- Still unprofitable, but losses shrinking: GAAP net loss narrowed 32% to $52.5 million, while adjusted EBITDA loss improved 32% to $19.4 million (‑18.4% margin vs. ‑28.7% last year). [3]
- Big balance‑sheet move: In November, ChargePoint cut its total debt by $172 million (over 50%), reduced annual interest expense by about $10 million, and pushed its main maturity out to 2030. [4]
- Stock reaction: CHPT closed December 4 at $8.52 (+2.1%) and traded around the mid‑$9 range in extended hours, roughly a 10% jump as investors digested the results and guidance. [5]
- Analysts are cautious but see upside: Wall Street’s consensus rating sits between “Reduce” and “Hold,” but average 12‑month price targets of $12.9–$13.6 still imply potential upside of 50–60% from recent prices. [6]
ChargePoint Stock Today: Volatile Rebound After a Brutal Year
After a crushing sell‑off earlier in 2025 (including a 1‑for‑20 reverse split in July), CHPT has been trading like a high‑beta speculative name rather than a sleepy infrastructure play. [7]
- Price & reaction: On December 4, 2025, ChargePoint shares closed at $8.52 and then spiked to roughly $9.4 in extended trading after the earnings release — about a double‑digit percentage move. [8]
- Valuation: With a market capitalization around $190–200 million and trailing‑12‑month revenue just under $400 million, CHPT trades at roughly 0.5× sales, a fraction of the multiples once awarded to EV‑charging stocks. [9]
- Performance: Even after the post‑earnings bounce, the stock remains down roughly 60–65% year‑to‑date, reflecting deep skepticism about the business and sector. [10]
Short sellers are still heavily involved:
- As of November 14, 2025, about 3.0 million CHPT shares were sold short — 13.4% of the public float — with a short‑interest ratio of 7.2 days to cover. [11]
That combination of low valuation, heavy short interest and big fundamental headlines helps explain why the stock can swing wildly in both directions on news.
Q3 FY 2026: A Return to Growth With Record Gross Margins
ChargePoint’s December 4 earnings release marked a crucial inflection point: the company returned to top‑line growth while continuing to improve margins and trim losses.
Revenue and Segment Mix
For the third quarter of fiscal 2026 (ended October 31, 2025):
- Total revenue:$105.7 million, up 6% year over year and ~7% sequentially. [12]
- Networked charging systems (hardware):$56.4 million, up 7% vs. the prior‑year quarter. [13]
- Subscriptions (software & services):$42.0 million, growing 15% year over year and now roughly 40% of total revenue. [14]
StockStory notes that while ChargePoint’s five‑year annualized revenue growth has been a robust 22.3%, the last two years included double‑digit annualized declines as hardware demand cooled. Over that period, hardware revenue fell an average 26.2% per year, while subscriptions grew nearly 19%, underscoring a strategic shift toward higher‑margin software and recurring revenue. [15]
Margin Expansion and Operating Leverage
The quarter’s most encouraging data came from margins and efficiency:
- GAAP gross margin:31% (up from 23% a year ago).
- Non‑GAAP gross margin:33%, matching a record high (vs. 26% last year). [16]
- GAAP operating expenses:$76.8 million, down 16% year over year.
- Non‑GAAP operating expenses:$57.5 million, down 2% vs. the prior‑year quarter. [17]
On the bottom line:
- GAAP net loss:$52.5 million, narrowed from $77.6 million a year earlier (‑32%). [18]
- Non‑GAAP adjusted EBITDA loss:$19.4 million, improving from $28.6 million last year, with margin lifting from ‑28.7% to ‑18.4%. [19]
Free cash flow also improved to ‑$23.6 million from ‑$33.4 million in the prior‑year quarter, while cash usage for the quarter was about $14 million — a notable step down from earlier periods of heavy burn. [20]
Management highlighted this as tangible progress toward its multi‑year plan to reach breakeven adjusted EBITDA.
Debt Reduction: $172 Million Less Debt and Lower Interest Costs
Perhaps the most dramatic piece of the ChargePoint puzzle is the company’s November 18 announcement of a major debt exchange. [21]
Key elements:
- ChargePoint exchanged $329 million of its 2028 convertible notes for a package consisting of a $157 million senior secured loan, up to $55 million in cash, and about $10 million in warrants.
- As a result, total debt fell from $340 million to $168 million, a reduction of $172 million, or just over 50%.
- The deal eliminated a 125% “change of control” repayment premium worth roughly $82 million that had been attached to the old notes.
- The new loan extends maturity to January 31, 2030 and is expected to cut annual interest expense by about $10 million. [22]
CFO Mansi Khetani called the move “a pivotal step in strengthening our financial foundation,” arguing that retiring debt at a discount effectively transfers value back to equity holders and gives the company more breathing room to focus on growth and profitability. [23]
Post‑exchange, ChargePoint ended the quarter with around $180.9 million in cash and equivalents and $848 million in total assets. [24]
Product and Platform Updates: AI‑Driven Software and New Hardware
Alongside financial engineering, ChargePoint has been busy on the product front.
Next‑Generation ChargePoint Platform
On November 13, 2025, the company unveiled a new generation of the ChargePoint Platform, a cloud‑native, AI‑enhanced software stack designed to manage “any EV charging operation,” including third‑party OCPP‑compliant chargers. [25]
Highlights include:
- AI‑driven optimization: The platform analyzes usage patterns, station health, energy prices and vehicle context to optimize charging schedules, predict maintenance, and support dynamic pricing. [26]
- Operational tools: Features like a Waitlist system, simplified station onboarding via the Installer app, and real‑time monitoring and analytics. [27]
- Energy management: Load balancing, demand‑response integration and support for renewables to help customers reduce infrastructure and energy costs. [28]
- Manage any charger: The platform can control any OCPP‑compliant charger, not just ChargePoint‑branded hardware, potentially broadening the company’s addressable market. [29]
Early adopters like Verizon report that the AI data assistant and enhanced search tools are making energy and asset management more efficient. [30]
Hardware and Contracts
Management and recent articles also point to:
- Express DC ultrafast architecture: Developed with partner Eaton, targeting commercial and fleet fast‑charging deployments. [31]
- Sourcewell contract renewal: ChargePoint secured another Sourcewell cooperative purchasing contract covering EV charging for public agencies in the U.S. and Canada — its third consecutive agreement since 2017, which simplifies procurement for municipalities and public institutions. [32]
These updates support the narrative that ChargePoint is evolving from a pure hardware provider into a vertically integrated, software‑centric infrastructure company.
What Wall Street is Saying: Ratings, Targets and Sentiment
Analysts are far from unanimous on CHPT, but the broad message is: high risk, potential upside, patience required.
Consensus Ratings and Targets
According to MarketBeat, as of December 3, 2025:
- 11 analysts cover the stock.
- Ratings: 3 Sell, 7 Hold, 1 Buy; consensus rating: “Reduce.”
- Average 12‑month target:$13.56, suggesting significant upside from recent prices. [33]
TipRanks shows a similar landscape over the last three months:
- 11 analyst ratings:2 Buy, 7 Hold, 2 Sell; consensus Hold.
- Average price target:$12.88, with a high of $20 and low of $9, implying ~63% upside from a recent reference price of $7.89. [34]
QuiverQuant’s summary of recent analyst moves lists price targets clustered between $8 and $20, including:
- UBS: $12
- TD Cowen: $11
- RBC: $10
- JPMorgan: $8
- Benchmark: $20 (buy). [35]
At the same time, retail‑oriented platform Public.com shows a more muted 2025 price prediction of $7.94, essentially flat versus recent levels, underlining how wide the range of expectations has become. [36]
Growth and Earnings Forecasts
StockStory’s model points to:
- Next‑12‑month revenue growth of about 6.2%, slightly below industrial‑sector averages but a welcome change from recent declines. [37]
- Consensus expects full‑year EPS losses to shrink from about ‑$10.33 to ‑$7.93 over the next year, reflecting continued cost controls and margin improvements but not true profitability yet. [38]
Put simply, Wall Street sees ChargePoint as an improving but still speculative turnaround story: less about hyper‑growth, more about whether the company can convert a large installed base and software platform into sustainable profits before capital becomes too scarce.
Market Structure: Short Interest, Volatility and Ownership
CHPT’s trading profile reinforces its “high‑risk, high‑volatility” reputation:
- Short interest: 13.4% of float (3.02 million shares), with 7.2 days to cover as of mid‑November 2025 — elevated, but down from the extreme levels seen before the reverse split. [39]
- Implied volatility: Options data providers such as OptionSlam show elevated implied volatility, with the market pricing in double‑digit percentage swings over short timeframes. [40]
- Institutional flows: QuiverQuant’s latest reading notes 114 institutions adding to CHPT positions and 46 reducing stakes in their most recent quarter, including increased holdings by Vanguard, BlackRock and other large asset managers. [41]
Heavy short interest means positive surprises (like the Q3 beat plus debt reduction) can fuel sharp rallies, but it also signals that a meaningful portion of the market is still betting against the company’s long‑term prospects.
Strategic and Sector Context: Tailwinds and Headwinds
ChargePoint continues to position itself as a leading EV‑charging network in North America and Europe, with over 1.3 million public and private charging ports connected to its network and more than 16 billion electric miles delivered to date. [42]
Potential Tailwinds
- Policy support: Government programs such as U.S. federal and state infrastructure funding, along with European decarbonization mandates, continue to underpin long‑term demand for charging infrastructure. ChargePoint’s Sourcewell contract and participation in public programs help it tap into this funding. [43]
- Software‑driven model: Growing subscription revenue and record subscription margins (~63%) suggest a more “asset‑light” earnings base over time, with higher recurring revenue and better visibility. [44]
- Interoperability and partnerships: Support for OCPP chargers and collaborations with hardware partners like Eaton may allow ChargePoint to play more of a “platform” role across mixed hardware fleets rather than relying solely on its own stations. [45]
Key Risks
That said, the company’s own filings and recent commentary flag important risks: [46]
- Ongoing losses: Even with improving margins, ChargePoint is still burning cash and posting sizable net losses, which could force future capital raises if conditions worsen.
- Competitive intensity: The EV‑charging landscape is crowded, including oil majors, utilities, automakers and other pure‑play networks. Price competition, land access and reliability will all matter.
- Policy and subsidy reliance: Slower EV adoption, delays in public infrastructure rollouts or changes in government incentives could materially impact demand.
- Execution and technology risk: Rapid evolution in charging standards, software, and grid integration means ChargePoint must continue to innovate just to keep pace.
- Leverage: Even after the exchange, the company still carries meaningful debt and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, and its new senior secured loan comes with covenants and a relatively high interest rate. [47]
Is ChargePoint (CHPT) Stock a Buy, Sell or Hold After Q3 2026?
From a purely fundamental standpoint, the story after December 4, 2025 looks notably better than it did just a few quarters ago:
Positives:
- Revenue growth has resumed, with hardware stabilizing and subscriptions accelerating. [48]
- Gross margin and adjusted EBITDA are moving in the right direction, showing real operating leverage. [49]
- The $172 million debt reduction and lower interest burden meaningfully de‑risk the balance sheet. [50]
- New software and platform capabilities broaden ChargePoint’s addressable market beyond its own hardware. [51]
Negatives and uncertainties:
- The company is still loss‑making with negative free cash flow, and the path to true profitability remains uncertain. [52]
- The stock, though cheap on sales, reflects significant execution risk, competitive threats and potential macro/EV‑cycle headwinds.
- Short interest and options activity indicate that a substantial portion of the market remains skeptical, which can amplify volatility in both directions. [53]
How Investors Might Frame It
- Speculative, long‑term EV believers: May view CHPT as a high‑risk turnaround with asymmetric upside if management can sustain mid‑single‑digit growth, push gross margins further into the 30s, and drive adjusted EBITDA toward break‑even.
- Conservative or income‑oriented investors: Are more likely to stay on the sidelines until the company demonstrates consistent positive cash flow, further deleveraging, or multiple profitable quarters.
Wall Street’s “Reduce/Hold” consensus and mid‑teens price targets capture this balance: there is upside potential from today’s depressed valuation, but it comes with material downside risk if growth stalls or capital markets tighten. [54]
Important: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, a recommendation to buy or sell any security, or an assessment tailored to your personal financial situation. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
References
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