Ripple’s XRP is holding just above the crucial $2 support zone on December 8, 2025, as traders grapple with a rare mix of extreme social fear, almost $1 billion in spot ETF inflows, and sharply diverging price predictions heading into 2026. 1
Below is a deep dive into today’s key XRP headlines, what they mean for price, and how markets are now thinking about XRP’s path into next year.
XRP Price Today: $2 Support Holds After a Brutal Pullback
XRP spent much of the past 24 hours trading in a tight band roughly between $2.02 and $2.08, after a sharp two‑week swing that briefly pushed the token under the $2 psychological level. An Investing.com update late on December 7 put XRP around $2.03, noting a consolidation range of $2.02–$2.07. 2
Early on December 8, a fresh technical note from NewsBTC reported that XRP has: 3
- Bounced from the $2.00 area,
- Reclaimed the $2.05 zone,
- Moved back above the 100‑hour simple moving average,
- But is now struggling with resistance at $2.10–$2.16.
The analysis highlights a bearish trendline near $2.09, with stronger resistance stacking around $2.12–$2.22 and then $2.28–$2.35. Failure to break this cluster could open the door to:
- First support near $2.05,
- A re‑test of the $2.00 floor,
- And, in a deeper sell‑off scenario, potential moves toward $1.96–$1.92. 3
A separate intraday piece from Traders Union points out that XRP climbed to about $2.08 today, up roughly 1.6%, riding a broader crypto rebound led by Bitcoin and Ethereum. The rebound is being interpreted as a stabilization phase after several sessions of heavy volatility, with whale accumulation and a technical breakout from a short‑term consolidation band adding fuel to the move. 4
Taken together, the short‑term picture is clear: XRP is trying to build a base at $2, but every push above the low‑$2.10s is still being tested by sellers.
Social Sentiment Collapses Into “Extreme Fear”
If you looked only at the ETF flows (we’ll get to those next), you might assume XRP was in a comfortable uptrend. Social sentiment tells a very different story.
A CoinDesk market note, republished via MEXC, reports that XRP has dropped roughly 31% over the last two months, and this slide has pushed crowd mood into what analytics firm Santiment calls a “fear zone”. 5
Key points from that report: 5
- XRP’s price recently approached the $2 mark just as negative commentary about the token spiked across social channels.
- Santiment’s sentiment model shows bearish messages heavily outweighing bullish ones, a pattern that has sometimes preceded short‑term relief rallies in the past—but not always durable bottoms.
- The combination of a 31% price drawdown and souring sentiment leaves XRP vulnerable if risk appetite across major crypto assets weakens again.
A follow‑up CoinDesk piece on December 7 goes even further, saying social sentiment for XRP has “collapsed to extreme fear levels” while a TD Sequential technical indicator flashes an early potential reversal signal. The article notes that previous episodes of such extreme pessimism have occasionally been followed by short‑term rebounds, though the signal is far from foolproof. 1
In other words: the crowd is scared, almost capitulating—exactly the emotional climate in which sharp snap‑back rallies sometimes start, but also the kind of backdrop where another negative shock can accelerate selling.
ETF Inflows Near $1 Billion as Institutions Quietly Accumulate
The bearish mood on social media contrasts sharply with what’s happening in regulated markets.
A detailed piece from Investing.com highlights that U.S.-listed spot XRP ETFs have now logged 15 consecutive days of net inflows, adding about $861 million in capital and absorbing nearly 1% of XRP’s circulating supply. Assets under management are “nearing $900 million,” with daily contributions peaking around $100 million at times. 2
FXEmpire’s “XRP News Today” report on December 8 echoes that theme and adds new color: 6
- Total XRP spot ETF net inflows are approaching $900 million since launch.
- XRP has continued to close above the $2 level after recovering from a November 21 low near $1.82, suggesting a potential medium‑term floor.
- While XRP/USD is down mid‑single digits in the second half of 2025, XRP/BTC has gained over 9% in the same period, hinting at an early decoupling between the two assets.
- Fresh listings, such as Hong Kong‑regulated exchange OSL HK adding XRP for professional investors, and a Vanguard U‑turn toward offering XRP exposure, are widening global access.
Another market brief notes that one U.S. XRP ETF—XRPC—has amassed more than $336 million in assets, overtaking the combined size of all other U.S. spot XRP ETFs, underscoring how institutional demand is concentrating in a few flagship products. 7
Put simply: while retail sentiment is fearful, rule‑based institutional money is still buying, using ETFs and OTC channels to accumulate XRP quietly in the background.
Why Isn’t Price Exploding If Fundamentals Are Improving?
One of the most‑read XRP stories this week addresses the elephant in the room: if Ripple is announcing big deals and ETFs are hoovering up supply, why is the token still stuck around $2?
A BeInCrypto analysis, carried via TradingView News, notes that Ripple has spent around $4 billion in 2025 on acquisitions and ecosystem expansion, including: 8
- Buying GTreasury and other firms to build an end‑to‑end corporate payments and treasury stack,
- Integrating institutional‑grade custody and liquidity solutions,
- Rolling out its RLUSD stablecoin and securing approvals in Singapore and the UAE for regulated operations.
Despite this, the piece points out that: 8
- XRP has fallen about 31% in the last two months,
- Social metrics show extreme fear,
- Korean derivatives markets have seen elevated short interest, and
- Major exchanges hold large XRP balances that could hit the market if sentiment worsens.
InvestX’s December 8 analysis adds that, even after a 6% daily drop, XRP holders appear surprisingly calm. ETF and derivatives data show continued accumulation instead of mass liquidations, with funding rates staying slightly positive and only limited forced closures of leveraged positions—signs consistent with healthy consolidation rather than a full trend reversal, according to the report. 9
In essence, fundamental adoption and institutional activity are trending up, but technical headwinds, crowded positioning and fragile sentiment are keeping price action muted—for now.
Prediction Markets vs. Analysts: How High Can XRP Go Into 2026?
The third major theme around XRP right now is the standoff between prediction markets, AI models and human analysts over where the token could be trading when the calendar flips to 2026.
Polymarket’s sobering odds
A new feature at 24/7 Wall St. looks specifically at a popular Polymarket contract asking, “What price will XRP hit before 2026?” 10
Based on that market’s latest probabilities, traders assign roughly:
- 5% chance XRP hits $3.20 or higher,
- 3% for $3.50+,
- 2% for $4.00+,
- 1% for $6.00+ before the end of 2025.
That implies a 95% probability that XRP finishes 2025 below $3.20, even though it traded as high as $3.65 earlier this year. The article notes that XRP is currently about 41% below its July peak, hovering near $2.09, and that ETF assets are creeping toward the $1 billion mark despite the weak spot price. 10
The takeaway: prediction‑market participants are cautious, treating big near‑term upside scenarios more like lottery tickets than base‑case outcomes.
AI models vs. crypto analysts
Another 24/7 Wall St. piece from November 29 compares a ChatGPT‑style AI model’s December 2025 price target with human analyst forecasts. 11
- The AI model projected around $2.02 for early December—essentially flat from late‑November levels.
- A group of crypto analysts, by contrast, targeted $2.70–$2.85, arguing that oversold technicals, ETF momentum and Ripple’s growing banking footprint could fuel a year‑end rally.
That article also stresses that XRP was trading below both its 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, suggesting a still‑bearish broader trend, even as some experts argued price hadn’t yet caught up with on‑chain adoption and real‑world payments usage. 11
Outlier calls: $4…or even $50?
The spectrum of forward‑looking views has only widened since then:
- An AI‑driven piece at AInvest sketches a “path to $50” for XRP, but only under aggressive assumptions: a completed regulatory reset that firmly classifies XRP as a non‑security for retail trades, continued ETF launches, and large‑scale institutional settlement flows. The article treats this as a long‑term bullish scenario, not a base case. 12
- On the other side, a Coinpedia interview summarized by Whale Alert quotes Shardeum co‑founder Nischal Shetty arguing that double‑digit XRP purely on ETF demand is “unrealistic”. In his view, sustainable value must come from real settlement volumes, liquidity depth and clear regulation, not just new trading wrappers. 13
Put plainly: short‑term markets are cautious, models are conservative, some analysts are moderately bullish, and a few commentators remain wildly optimistic.
What Traders Are Watching Next
As December 8 unfolds, the XRP market is being pulled in opposite directions:
- Macro and Bitcoin correlation
- Bitcoin is hovering near the low‑$90,000s after a recent scare below $90K rattled broader crypto markets. XRP has often followed BTC’s directional cues, and several analysts note that macro events like the upcoming FOMC interest‑rate decision could still drive sharp cross‑asset swings. 14
- The $2.00 technical floor
- CoinDesk’s latest price‑action round‑up says buyers stepped in aggressively around $2.00, absorbing a sharp sell‑off and allowing XRP to trade between roughly $2.00 and $2.08 over the last 24 hours. 15
- Multiple NewsBTC analyses identify $2.00, $1.98 and $1.92 as key lower supports; a clean break below that zone would likely strengthen the bearish narrative. 3
- Social sentiment and whale behavior
- With Santiment’s indicators firmly in extreme fear, sentiment‑driven capitulation or, conversely, a “pain trade” short squeeze are both on the table. 5
- Several recent reports highlight whale accumulation on dips, but earlier in the year, large holders also offloaded hundreds of millions of XRP over short windows—another reminder that whale flows can quickly change direction. 4
- ETF flows and regulatory headlines
- As long as spot XRP ETFs continue to absorb supply and attract new inflows, they offer a structural tailwind to price. A sudden slowdown, or surprise regulatory pushback, could swing sentiment the other way. 6
- Real‑world adoption metrics
- Ripple’s push into treasury, stablecoins and banking infrastructure—from GTreasury to RLUSD’s billion‑dollar market cap and licenses in Singapore and the UAE—will likely be a key narrative for long‑term investors, even if it doesn’t translate into immediate price spikes. 8
Bottom Line: A Market Split Between Fear and Quiet Conviction
As of December 8, 2025, XRP sits at a crossroads:
- Technicals and sentiment are flashing caution: the token is pinned near a major support, social mood is deeply pessimistic, and prediction markets see limited odds of a spectacular year‑end run. 5
- Fundamentals and institutional behavior, however, look far more constructive, with ETFs steadily accumulating, new regulated listings going live, and Ripple doubling down on real‑world payment rails and stablecoin infrastructure. 6
For traders and investors, the message from today’s news flow is less about a guaranteed direction and more about tension:
XRP is caught between extreme short‑term fear and slow‑burn structural adoption.
Which force wins out—panic or patience—will likely decide whether XRP’s next decisive move is a break below $2 or a sustained push back toward the mid‑$2s and beyond.
