SharpLink Gaming, Inc. (NASDAQ: SBET) has become one of the wildest stories on the public markets in 2025: a former sports-betting tech company that turned itself into an Ethereum treasury vehicle, rocketed more than 2,600%… and then gave back roughly 86% from its peak as the “crypto treasury” boom deflated. [1]
As of midday on December 11, 2025, SBET trades around $11.36 per share, with a 52‑week range of $2.26 to $124.12, a market cap of about $2.23 billion, and a beta near 12, putting it firmly in the “strap-in-and-hold-on” category of volatility. [2]
Below is a deep dive into what’s happening with SharpLink right now, what the latest news and forecasts are saying, and how the bull and bear cases are shaping up going into 2026.
What SharpLink Gaming (SBET) Actually Is in 2025
SharpLink started life as a sports betting and iGaming affiliate marketing company, connecting sports fans and media sites to regulated sportsbooks and online casinos. That legacy business still exists and runs under its Affiliate Marketing segment. [3]
In 2025, though, the company radically repositioned itself:
- It adopted Ether (ETH) as its primary treasury reserve asset.
- It created a second segment, Ethereum Staking, deploying that ETH into staking and DeFi strategies. [4]
- It brought on Ethereum co‑founder Joseph Lubin as chairman and struck a deep strategic relationship with his company Consensys. [5]
In September, SharpLink announced that it would become the first public company to tokenize its SEC‑registered common stock directly on the Ethereum blockchain, working with Superstate’s Opening Bell platform. The goal: let investors hold tokenized SBET in on‑chain wallets and eventually explore regulated AMM-based trading of tokenized shares. [6]
In short: SBET has become a hybrid beast — part crypto-ETF‑like ETH treasury, part DeFi yield machine, part legacy iGaming affiliate marketer.
Q3 2025 Earnings: Ethereum Turns the Income Statement Upside Down
The latest full quarter, Q3 2025, is where SharpLink’s pivot really showed up in the numbers.
From the company’s November 12 earnings release and the November 13 earnings call: [7]
- Revenue: about $10.8 million, up more than 1,100% year‑over‑year (from ~$0.9M).
- Net income: roughly $104.3 million, versus a net loss of ~$0.9M a year earlier.
- EPS: about $0.62 per fully diluted share.
- The surge in profit was driven largely by unrealized gains on ETH holdings rather than traditional operating income.
On the balance sheet side, as of September 30, 2025: [8]
- ETH holdings: ~817,747 ETH, rising to 861,251 ETH as of November 9.
- Total crypto assets: around $3.0 billion.
- Cash: $11.1 million plus $26.7 million in USDC stablecoins.
SharpLink also highlighted that it has deployed nearly all its ETH into staking and yield strategies, and introduced a metric called “ETH concentration” — ETH per 1,000 assumed diluted shares — which it says has doubled from 2.0 to 4.0 since launching the treasury strategy in June. [9]
On the earnings call, Lubin described Ethereum as “mainstream global trustware” and framed SharpLink as an institutional-grade way to participate in that ecosystem, while management outlined plans to allocate $200 million of ETH to Consensys’ Linea Layer‑2 via ether.fi and EigenCloud to boost DeFi yields. [10]
ETH Treasury, Staking Rewards and the DeFi Angle
SharpLink’s weekly ETH and treasury updates make it clear the company is operating more like a crypto asset manager than a traditional gaming stock.
From the October 21 update, covering the week ending October 19: [11]
- Total ETH holdings: 859,853 ETH, made up of both native ETH and liquid-staking derivatives.
- Staking rewards: 5,671 ETH earned since launching the strategy in June.
- Average purchase price on newly acquired ETH that week: $3,892 per ETH.
- ETH concentration: 4.0 ETH per 1,000 assumed diluted shares, up 100% since June.
An AInvest analysis published December 10 ties SBET directly to the broader institutional Ethereum story, noting: [12]
- Large “whale” addresses have accumulated over 934,000 ETH (≈$3.15B) in a few weeks, highlighting institutional buying.
- SharpLink has staked tens of thousands of ETH in a single week via EigenLayer and other protocols, compounding yield.
- The company’s 861k+ ETH treasury sits inside a macro thesis that includes a bullish ETH price target (Standard Chartered has floated $7,500) and a 2025 environment of clearer regulation and commodity‑like treatment for Ethereum.
Whether you buy that grand narrative or not, the mechanics are clear: SharpLink’s income statement is now dominated by ETH price moves and staking yields, not by casino referral commissions.
Capital Raises at a Premium – and Why the Stock Still Sold Off
To support the ETH accumulation, SharpLink has leaned heavily on the equity markets — but in a way that bulls argue is “accretive.”
On October 16, 2025, the company announced a $76.5 million registered direct offering: [13]
- 4.5 million new shares sold at $17.00, a 12% premium to the prior day’s close of $15.15.
- The deal was also priced above the net asset value (NAV) of its 840,124 ETH holdings at the time.
- The same investor received a 90‑day Premium Purchase Contract (PPC) to buy another 4.5 million shares at $17.50, potentially raising another $78.8 million.
A CoinCentral piece on the deal noted that the stock actually fell around 3–4% on the day, despite the premium pricing — a sign that some traders worry about ongoing dilution even if issued above NAV. [14]
Just days later, SharpLink reported that ETH holdings had climbed to 859,853 ETH and that staking rewards continued to pile up, framing the raise as immediately accretive: raise cash at a premium, then buy more ETH at a lower price. [15]
Tokenized Equity and a 2x Leveraged SBET ETF
Two more developments in late 2025 show how embedded SharpLink is in the crypto‑capital‑markets experiment:
- Tokenized SBET shares on Ethereum
In September, SharpLink and Superstate announced a plan to tokenize SEC‑registered SBET equity natively on Ethereum via Superstate’s Opening Bell platform. The aim is to ultimately enable fully compliant DeFi trading of tokenized public equities on automated market makers. [16] - T‑REX 2x Long SBET Daily Target ETF (SBTU)
In October, REX Shares and Tuttle Capital launched SBTU, a U.S.-listed ETF designed to deliver 200% of the daily performance of SBET. The press release highlights SharpLink as an ETH‑focused treasury holding over $3.7 billion in Ethereum plus an iGaming affiliate business — and repeatedly warns that the product is suitable only for sophisticated traders who monitor their positions closely. [17]
Taken together, SBET now underpins on‑chain tokenized equity experiments and leveraged ETFs — essentially becoming infrastructure for people who want more volatility on top of already volcanic ETH exposure.
How SBET Is Trading Right Now
According to StockAnalysis, as of December 11, 2025 (midday): [18]
- Price: ~$11.36, down about 5.5% on the day.
- Market cap: $2.23B.
- Trailing‑12‑month revenue: $13.11M.
- Trailing‑12‑month net income: ≈–$1.0M (Q3’s huge gain hasn’t fully flipped the trailing figure yet).
- Forward P/E: ~7.4, based on analyst expectations.
- 52‑week range: $2.26 – $124.12.
- Beta: ~11.9 — extremely high.
Short‑term trading commentary has been dominated by rapid swings:
- On December 1, StocksToTrade highlighted SBET being down ~8.9% intraday, calling out its stretched price‑to‑sales ratio, hefty capital investments, and complex cash flows. [19]
- On December 9, the same outlet ran “SharpLink Gaming Stock: Ready for a Comeback?”, noting the stock was up ~8.3% intraday, citing the Q3 beat (revenue of $10.8M vs. $3.4M expected, EPS up to $0.62) and reiterating that some analysts still maintain “Buy” ratings even after cutting price targets. [20]
TradingView’s technical rating currently flags SBET as a “sell” on the daily timeframe, with both moving averages and composite indicators skewed bearish, and its FAQ explicitly warns that the signal should not be used as standalone advice. [21]
SharpLink in the Crypto Treasury Boom – and Bust
SBET’s story is part of a bigger pattern: public companies turning themselves into “digital asset treasuries” — effectively listed wrappers around large crypto holdings.
A recent Los Angeles Times / Bloomberg feature on the crypto treasury bubble singled out SharpLink: [22]
- The stock soared more than 2,600% in days after announcing its ETH treasury pivot.
- It is now down roughly 86% from its peak, even though the company is still one of the largest corporate ETH holders.
- The article noted that SharpLink trades at around 0.9x the value of its Ether holdings, implying the market values the company at a discount to its crypto treasury.
That deep discount aligns with Seeking Alpha analyses that describe SBET as an “underpriced Ethereum wrapper”, trading at about 0.83x “mNAV” (a market‑based NAV metric) and offering a mid‑teens percentage discount to the ETH it holds. [23]
Of course, discounts exist for a reason. In Q2 2025, The Block reported that SharpLink posted a $103 million GAAP loss and saw its stock fall about 10% on the day — a reminder that mark‑to‑market accounting on a giant crypto balance sheet cuts both ways when ETH prices move down. [24]
Institutional Money Is Circling – Carefully
Despite (or because of) the volatility, institutional investors have begun to build positions.
A December 8 MarketBeat piece reported that hedge fund Marshall Wace LLP acquired about 2.7 million SBET shares, roughly 2.71% of the company, in Q2. Other institutional holders mentioned include XTX Topco, Thames Capital, and JPMorgan, with overall institutional ownership estimated around 13.75%. [25]
On the analyst side, the picture is bifurcated:
- StockAnalysis aggregates 3 analysts with a “Strong Buy” consensus and a 12‑month price target of $31, implying roughly 170–180% upside from current levels. [26]
- MarketBeat tallies six analysts (four Buys, one Hold, one Sell) and a higher average target around $38.20, but also notes that at least one firm (B. Riley) has cut its target from $32 to $19 while retaining a Buy rating. [27]
In other words: Wall Street’s published models are still very bullish on paper, but target cuts and mixed ratings suggest growing discomfort with the volatility and the broader digital‑asset‑treasury drawdown.
Near‑Term Controversies: ETH Transfers and Treasury Moves
A key flashpoint in the last month was a large ETH transfer:
- On November 7, CoinCentral reported that SharpLink moved 4,364 ETH (≈$14.5M) to the OKX exchange, part of a total wallet withdrawal of 5,284 ETH just before the Q3 earnings call. The stock fell 7.9% that day, and the article flagged market concern that the transfer could signal a potential sell‑off or tactical repositioning of the treasury. [28]
CoinCentral and other coverage also stress that, despite periodic drawdowns, SharpLink’s Ethereum strategy has generated thousands of ETH in staking rewards, with cumulative rewards potentially translating into tens or even hundreds of millions of dollars in annualized revenue depending on ETH prices and staking yields. [29]
That dynamic — high recurring yield vs. opaque treasury moves — is central to how traders interpret each new on‑chain data point.
The Bull Case for SBET Going Into 2026
Supporters of SharpLink tend to emphasize a few core points:
- Pure‑play, yield‑bearing ETH exposure in stock form
SBET is effectively a listed proxy for a huge Ethereum position — but one that also earns staking yield, which traditional ETH spot ETFs generally cannot distribute directly in the same way. [30] - Discount to ETH net asset value
Both mainstream finance coverage and equity research note that SBET trades below the value of its underlying ETH holdings, with discounts in the 10–20% range depending on the metric used (simple NAV vs. “mNAV”). [31] - Strategic Ethereum ecosystem positioning
- Chairman Joseph Lubin brings unparalleled Ethereum credentials and a deep relationship with Consensys. [32]
- The company is deploying capital into Linea, EigenLayer, ether.fi and similar protocols at scale, potentially capturing multi‑layer DeFi yields. [33]
- Tokenized equity and on‑chain capital markets experiments may give SBET first‑mover advantages if compliant DeFi trading of public equities becomes mainstream. [34]
- Shareholder‑friendly framing: buybacks plus premium equity raises
SharpLink’s board authorized a $1.5 billion buyback program, and the company has already repurchased nearly 2 million shares while simultaneously issuing new stock at premiums to both market and NAV. Management argues this raises ETH‑per‑share over time, even with dilution. [35] - Macro tailwinds for Ethereum
If ETH’s institutionalization continues — including regulatory clarity and adoption by big financial institutions — then a large, unlevered ETH treasury with aggressive staking may become a very valuable asset base. [36]
Put simply: bulls see SBET as a levered bet on Ethereum’s long‑term success, wrapped in a vehicle that can potentially trade at a premium to ETH NAV if sentiment turns.
The Bear Case and Key Risks
The bear side, and the broader market’s behavior in Q4 2025, reminds everyone that this is not a sleepy blue‑chip.
Key concerns include:
- Extreme ETH price sensitivity and earnings volatility
SharpLink’s Q3 profit was mostly driven by unrealized ETH gains; a comparable move down in ETH would generate equally dramatic accounting losses. Q2 already showed how this can translate into a nine‑figure GAAP loss and a double‑digit single‑day drop in the stock. [37] - The “crypto treasury bubble” narrative
The LA Times/Bloomberg coverage frames SBET as part of a trade that became crowded, then collapsed, with many digital‑asset‑treasury stocks now worth less than the coins they hold. That context makes it harder for SBET to regain a sustained premium to NAV unless it proves durable, differentiated earnings power beyond simple “number go up” token exposure. [38] - Equity issuance and structural complexity
Even when equity raises happen at a premium, investors worry that SBET will need repeated capital inflows to continue scaling — through ATMs, registered direct offerings, or structured deals (like the PPC). StocksToTrade’s December 1 analysis also flagged the high price‑to‑sales ratio, aggressive investments, and negative operating cash flow even as EBITDA and GAAP net income look impressive. [39] - Regulatory and policy risk
Crypto regulation in the U.S. is evolving, not finished. While some commentators point to commodity‑like treatment of ETH as positive, there is still substantial uncertainty around long‑term rules for staking, DeFi yields, tokenized securities, and bank‑style ETH collateralization — all of which are right in SharpLink’s wheelhouse. [40] - Speculation amplified by leverage products
The launch of 2x leveraged SBET ETFs and the constant appearance of SBET on day‑trading watchlists means the share price is heavily influenced by short‑term momentum traders, not just fundamentals. That can create feedback loops where volatility begets more volatility. [41] - Technical signals skewing bearish
TradingView’s technical composite currently rates SBET as a sell, and recent coverage from Crypto and macro outlets highlights that crypto‑linked stocks broadly are in a sharp risk‑off phase, even as underlying tokens hold up better. [42]
So Is SharpLink Gaming Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?
From a purely structural point of view, SBET is now:
An extremely volatile, equity‑wrapped Ethereum treasury and DeFi yield strategy, trading at a discount to its estimated ETH net asset value, with strong insider and ecosystem credentials — and a risk profile that sits somewhere between “crypto ETF” and “speculative structured product.”
As of December 11, 2025:
- Fundamental and NAV‑based research (Seeking Alpha, AInvest, some Wall Street analysts) leans bullish, citing the NAV discount, ETH‑per‑share growth, and strategic positioning. [43]
- Technical and sentiment indicators tilt bearish or cautious, noting the post‑bubble drawdown, daily volatility, and the broader pull‑back in digital asset treasury stocks. [44]
For risk‑tolerant investors who already understand Ethereum and DeFi, SBET is effectively a high‑beta, actively managed ETH exposure with optional upside from tokenized equity experiments and potential multiple expansion back toward or above NAV.
For conservative investors or those new to crypto, the combination of:
- huge day‑to‑day swings,
- heavy dependence on ETH prices,
- ongoing capital markets engineering, and
- still‑murky regulatory terrain
will make SBET feel closer to a speculative trading vehicle than a core portfolio holding.
References
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