London stocks closed firmly higher on Wednesday, 17 December 2025, after a sharper-than-expected drop in UK inflation turbocharged expectations of an imminent Bank of England (BoE) interest-rate cut and triggered a broad rally across rate-sensitive and internationally exposed sectors.
Key takeaways from UK markets today
- FTSE 100 surged to 9,847.61 (+1.68%) as hopes for looser monetary policy strengthened. [1]
- FTSE 250 rose to 22,230.76 (+0.86%), reflecting optimism that lower rates could support the domestic economy and valuations. [2]
- AIM All-Share climbed to 752.96 (+0.47%), extending the risk-on tone beyond the blue chips. [3]
- UK inflation data (released today) pushed markets to price a near-certain BoE cut on Thursday, 18 December 2025, a decision due at 12:00 UK time. [4]
Market snapshot: where UK indices finished on 17 December 2025
FTSE 100 (UK large caps)
The FTSE 100 closed at 9,847.61, up 1.68% on the day. It traded between 9,744.40 and 9,850.70, after opening at 9,762.26. [5]
FTSE 250 (UK mid caps)
The FTSE 250 ended at 22,230.76, up 0.86%. It ranged from 22,041.74 to 22,269.24 after opening at 22,041.74. [6]
AIM All-Share (growth and smaller companies)
AIM’s All-Share index closed at 752.96, up 0.47%, with an intraday range of 748.95–753.15. [7]
The big driver: UK inflation undershoots and resets the BoE narrative
Today’s rally was built around one headline: UK inflation cooled faster than economists expected, reinforcing the case for the BoE to cut rates at its next decision.
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that:
- CPI inflation fell to 3.2% in the 12 months to November 2025, down from 3.6% in October. [8]
- On the month, CPI fell by 0.2% in November 2025 (a notable shift versus the prior year’s pattern). [9]
- CPIH (CPI including owner occupiers’ housing costs) slowed to 3.5% year-on-year. [10]
- Core CPI eased to 3.2% (from 3.4%), and the CPI services annual rate edged down to 4.4% (from 4.5%). [11]
In market terms, the message investors took was simple: inflation is moving in the right direction, and the BoE now has more room to support a slowing economy—without looking like it is tolerating entrenched price pressures. Reuters described the inflation fall as “much more sharply than forecast,” pointing to lower food costs and Black Friday-related discounting as key factors. [12]
Bank of England decision ahead: what markets expect on 18 December 2025
With inflation surprising to the downside, rate markets shifted quickly toward a widely expected cut at the BoE’s final Monetary Policy Committee meeting of the year.
- The BoE’s official calendar lists Thursday, 18 December for the December MPC Summary and minutes release. [13]
- The BoE’s December page indicates the decision materials will be published at 12:00 on 18 December 2025. [14]
- Reuters reporting and market coverage on the day framed a quarter-point cut to 3.75% as effectively priced in following the inflation data. [15]
- A Reuters poll (published 11 December) also pointed to economists expecting a cut to 3.75% on 18 December, with another cut anticipated in early 2026. [16]
The broader debate is now less about “cut or hold” and more about how quickly the BoE may ease in 2026, and whether policymakers push back against market enthusiasm.
That uncertainty is why today’s rally can coexist with caution. Reuters highlighted the view that some of the inflation downside may be concentrated in volatile or discount-driven items—suggesting the drop might not be a one-way street. [17]
Why UK shares rallied: banks, commodities and a weaker pound all pulled together
London’s move was a classic “macro-to-micro” day: a major data surprise hit rates, rates moved currencies and sector leadership, and stock-specific news added fuel.
Banks led the charge
Financials were front and centre. Reuters reported that the FTSE 350 bank index hit its highest level since 2008, with heavyweight lenders powering the broader rebound. [18]
Among major names cited in market coverage:
- HSBC climbed sharply, helped by a broker upgrade noted by traders, while Barclays and Standard Chartered also advanced. [19]
Energy rebounded as oil jumped on geopolitical headlines
Energy stocks also lifted after a sharp prior-session selloff, as oil prices jumped following news that US President Donald Trump ordered a blockade targeting sanctioned oil tankers linked to Venezuela, according to Reuters. [20]
That move helped UK oil majors regain ground, with Reuters highlighting Shell and BP among notable risers in the sector. [21]
Miners gained with metals strength and a supportive macro backdrop
Miners advanced alongside broader commodities strength. Reuters flagged gains in industrial metal miners and noted record moves in precious metals markets supporting the resource trade. [22]
On the “market colour” side, Proactive Investors also pointed to strong performance among miners and highlighted record silver prices as a tailwind for London-listed names such as Fresnillo. [23]
Stock-specific stories: Serco and Bunzl in focus
Company news mattered too:
- Serco jumped after forecasting profit above analyst expectations, according to Reuters. [24]
- Bunzl was among the laggards after flagging a slight year-on-year dip in its 2026 operating margin, Reuters reported. [25]
Sterling fell as rate-cut expectations hardened—and that helped the FTSE 100
One of the most important cross-market moves for UK equities today was in the currency.
Sterling dropped sharply after the inflation release as investors increased bets on a near-term BoE cut; Reuters described it as sterling’s biggest one-day fall in weeks and reported a move of roughly 0.7% against the US dollar in the immediate reaction. [26]
A softer pound often boosts the FTSE 100 because many constituents earn a large share of revenues overseas. IG’s market commentary underlined this dynamic, noting that roughly 70% of FTSE 100 revenues are generated overseas, making currency weakness a potential tailwind for headline index earnings in sterling terms. [27]
Forecasts and analysis: what strategists are saying after the inflation surprise
Today’s coverage wasn’t just about what happened—it was also about what the inflation print might set in motion.
Rate path debate shifts toward 2026
- Reuters noted markets moved to price a near-certain cut and increased the perceived probability of additional easing in 2026. [28]
- IG’s analysis said markets moved closer to fully pricing a BoE cut and described a material repricing of rate expectations, alongside a drop in gilt yields. [29]
- Proactive Investors reported trader and strategist commentary pointing to the possibility of deeper and swifter rate cuts next year, reflecting how quickly sentiment changed after the CPI miss. [30]
But some economists warn the inflation drop may not be “clean”
The key counterpoint is that part of the downside surprise may be driven by discounting and volatile components, which can reverse. Reuters carried commentary stressing that a portion of the inflation surprise may unwind in subsequent months. [31]
UK equities into year-end: strong 2025 run meets a major policy catalyst
London’s rally also lands in the context of a strong year for UK large caps. Reuters reported the FTSE 100 was up around 20% year-to-date and on track for its best year since 2009, outperforming the S&P 500’s 2025 gain at the time of reporting. [32]
That said, with a major central-bank decision imminent, Thursday’s BoE communication will matter almost as much as the cut itself—particularly any guidance on whether policymakers see the economy as slowing enough to justify a faster easing cycle.
What to watch next for UK markets
With Wednesday’s inflation surprise now in the price, investors’ attention pivots quickly:
- Bank of England rate decision (Thursday, 18 December 2025, 12:00 UK time)
The decision timing is clear on the BoE’s schedule, and markets are heavily focused on the vote split and guidance beyond December. [33] - Sterling and gilt yields
If the BoE validates market pricing, sterling could remain soft; if it pushes back, today’s currency move could partially retrace. Reuters highlighted how fast sterling repriced on the CPI data. [34] - Global macro and commodities
European shares moved higher alongside London as banks and commodities led the broader advance, keeping UK stocks tied to wider risk sentiment as well as domestic policy. [35]
This article reflects market moves and reporting from Wednesday, 17 December 2025. It is not investment advice.
References
1. www.investing.com, 2. www.investing.com, 3. www.investing.com, 4. www.ons.gov.uk, 5. www.investing.com, 6. www.investing.com, 7. www.investing.com, 8. www.ons.gov.uk, 9. www.ons.gov.uk, 10. www.ons.gov.uk, 11. www.ons.gov.uk, 12. www.reuters.com, 13. www.bankofengland.co.uk, 14. www.bankofengland.co.uk, 15. www.reuters.com, 16. www.reuters.com, 17. www.reuters.com, 18. www.reuters.com, 19. www.reuters.com, 20. www.reuters.com, 21. www.reuters.com, 22. www.reuters.com, 23. www.proactiveinvestors.com, 24. www.reuters.com, 25. www.reuters.com, 26. www.reuters.com, 27. www.ig.com, 28. www.reuters.com, 29. www.ig.com, 30. www.proactiveinvestors.com, 31. www.reuters.com, 32. www.reuters.com, 33. www.bankofengland.co.uk, 34. www.reuters.com, 35. www.reuters.com
