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Inflation 19 June 2026 - 11 August 2026

RBA Keeps Rate Steady at 4.35% with Brighter Inflation View, Lower Jobs Projection
U.S. CPI’s housing slowdown, not gasoline slide, is June’s key Fed signal

U.S. CPI’s housing slowdown, not gasoline slide, is June’s key Fed signal

U.S. consumer prices posted their largest monthly fall since April 2020 in June, but the more durable signal for investors came from housing: shelter costs rose just 0.1%, their weakest increase in more than five years. Because housing makes up more than one-third of the index, its slowdown does more to ease underlying inflation pressure than the headline decline alone. Housing is the stickier signal.
14 July 2026
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Peso steady as oil slides almost 14% before U.S. CPI data

Peso steady as oil slides almost 14% before U.S. CPI data

Peso hovered close to 17.50 per dollar in early Tuesday trade after slipping 0.26% on Monday, even while Brent crude surged about 13.6% over two sessions. The currency’s drop was just over a third the 0.71% average fall for eight other emerging-market units, local market data show. Mexico’s yield spread seems to be protecting the peso from wider geopolitical fallout.
14 July 2026
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Oil up 13% as AI stocks, Fed and CPI all in play

Oil up 13% as AI stocks, Fed and CPI all in play

Brent crude jumped about 13% in two days, raising worries that higher oil prices could pinch AI-linked stocks just as rate hike odds are rising. S&P 500 futures added 0.1% before the start of Tuesday’s U.S. session. Traders now see a 43.3% chance of a 0.25-point Fed rate hike at the July 28-29 meeting, up from 34.2% Friday. “The prospect of tighter monetary policy into a potential energy shock is rarely supportive for risk assets,” said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone.
14 July 2026
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CPI Data Could Make or Break Wall Street’s Next Rally

CPI Data Could Make or Break Wall Street’s Next Rally

Traders are watching if Tuesday’s June CPI print lets the Fed hold rates steady, but a soft headline probably won’t be enough. Barclays sees headline CPI dropping to 3.8% from 4.2% on lower gas prices, but expects core CPI—excluding food and energy—to rise another 0.26% month over month. Economist Pooja Sriram said core services inflation is in the driver’s seat. That annualizes to roughly 3.2%, still above the Fed’s 2% target. So, cheaper gas alone won’t settle the rate debate.
12 July 2026
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US Stocks This Week: PCE Inflation, Micron Earnings in Focus as AI Rally Hovers Near Records

US Stocks This Week: PCE Inflation, Micron Earnings in Focus as AI Rally Hovers Near Records

Stocks go into the last full week of June with AI leaders still leading, but there’s less margin for error now as investors look ahead to an important inflation print and Micron Technology’s results. Last week was shortened by the Juneteenth holiday—NYSE closed on Friday, June 19. Thursday’s session was the last cash close.
21 June 2026
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AI PORTFOLIO

Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 STRONG BUY

Taiwan Semiconductor

NYSE: TSM 96 / 100
#2 BUY

AerCap

NYSE: AER 95 / 100
#3 BUY ON PULLBACK

Constellation Energy

NASDAQ: CEG 93 / 100
#4 BUY

Walt Disney

NYSE: DIS 90 / 100
#5 ACCUMULATE

American International Group

NYSE: AIG 87 / 100
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