Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: HOOD) ended Tuesday’s regular session lower, but ticked modestly higher after the bell as investors weighed a mix of crypto-linked sentiment, a newly filed insider-sale disclosure, and fresh commentary around retail trading’s growing influence on U.S. markets. [1]
After-hours snapshot (Tuesday, Dec. 23, 2025):
- Regular close:$120.24, down 1.74% on the day
- After-hours (as of ~5:44 p.m. ET): about $120.41, up roughly 0.14% from the close
- Day’s range:$116.75 – $121.15
- Volume: about 16.8M shares [2]
While the broader market finished in the green—helped by strong U.S. GDP data and an S&P 500 record close—crypto-linked stocks (including Robinhood) were cited among the laggards as bitcoin slipped. [3]
Why Robinhood stock moved after the bell today
1) HOOD traded like a “crypto-adjacent” stock again
Robinhood has multiple revenue streams, but its share price often reacts to crypto tape action, especially when bitcoin slides. Barron’s market recap flagged Robinhood among “crypto-linked” names down as bitcoin dipped about 1% during Tuesday’s session. [4]
That matters heading into tomorrow because crypto trades 24/7, meaning overnight moves in bitcoin and major tokens can shape sentiment in HOOD before the opening bell.
2) Insider-selling headlines hit, but the filing points to a pre-set plan
A key HOOD headline circulating late Tuesday: a Form 4 filing showing Robinhood’s Chief Technology Officer Jeffrey Tsvi Pinner sold shares.
According to the SEC filing:
- The earliest transaction date was 12/22/2025
- The filing notes the sales were made pursuant to a Rule 10b5‑1 trading plan adopted on Nov. 11, 2024
- The filing shows multiple sale lots totaling 5,864 shares, with weighted average prices around the low‑$120s, and remaining beneficial ownership listed afterward. [5]
Insider sales can spook short-term traders—especially into a holiday-thinned session—but 10b5‑1 plans are specifically designed to pre-schedule trades, which many investors treat differently from discretionary selling.
3) Cathie Wood/ARK “buy-the-dip” narrative resurfaced
Adding a counterweight to the insider-selling chatter: a widely shared note Tuesday that ARK Invest funds bought more than $30 million worth of Robinhood shares during the recent sell-off, reinforcing the idea that some growth-focused investors still view pullbacks as entry points. [6]
4) A culture/policy headline: Robinhood and “Trump accounts”
Another item in today’s Robinhood news cycle: Robinhood said it would match the federal government’s $1,000 contribution to so-called “Trump accounts” for eligible employees with newborn children, according to TipRanks’ summary of the announcement and related details. [7]
TipRanks describes the accounts as a tax-deferred savings program for children created via earlier tax and spending legislation, with government seeding for eligible children born between Jan. 1, 2025 and the end of 2028, and annual contribution limits discussed in the article. [8]
From a market perspective, this type of headline is usually not a near-term earnings driver—but it can influence brand perception and social-media attention, which Robinhood investors know can matter around the margins.
The macro backdrop matters for Robinhood—here’s what changed today
Robinhood is highly sensitive to the “risk-on/risk-off” mood because trading activity, options appetite, and crypto participation tend to rise when markets feel constructive—and contract when fear spikes.
Two major U.S. data points shaped Tuesday’s tone:
- Q3 GDP (third estimate) came in strong at 4.3% annualized, with White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett highlighting the upside surprise and arguing it supports a more optimistic outlook. [9]
- Consumer confidence fell to 89.1 in December, extending a multi-month slide, with Reuters reporting concerns around jobs and income and the Conference Board’s commentary pointing to inflation/tariffs/trade-policy worries among consumers. [10]
For HOOD investors, the takeaway isn’t just “good GDP vs. weak confidence.” It’s that the Fed-rate narrative and recession-risk chatter can whip markets around quickly—often amplifying volatility in higher-beta names like Robinhood. [11]
Analyst forecasts and price targets investors are citing tonight
Robinhood’s 2025 run has been strong enough that forecasts vary widely depending on how analysts model:
- retail trading activity,
- crypto cycles,
- interest income,
- and long-term customer asset growth.
Here’s what two major aggregators show right now:
- MarketBeat lists HOOD with a “Moderate Buy” consensus and an average 12‑month price target of about $137.30, with targets ranging from $47 to $180 (a very wide spread that highlights disagreement). [12]
- TipRanks also lists a “Moderate Buy” consensus and an average price target around $152.16, implying higher upside versus current levels (with a different analyst set/methodology). [13]
What to do with that spread:
- If you’re a short-term trader, the “average target” matters less than tomorrow’s liquidity and the direction of crypto and market beta.
- If you’re a position investor, the dispersion itself is the signal: the Street still debates what Robinhood should be worth after a huge year.
Technical levels to watch into Wednesday’s open
Based on Tuesday’s tape, traders will likely focus on:
- Near-term support: the $116.75 intraday low (a level that acted like “capitulation” support today) [14]
- Near-term resistance: the $121–$122 zone, including Tuesday’s high ($121.15) and Monday’s close ($122.37) [15]
If HOOD opens above that resistance band on Dec. 24, it can shift the conversation back toward “dip buyers in control.” If it loses the $116–$117 area early, the next move often becomes more momentum-driven—especially in a thin holiday session.
Critical calendar note: the U.S. market is open tomorrow—but it’s a Christmas Eve half-day
Before you set alarms for premarket, keep the schedule straight:
- NYSE: early close at 1:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Dec. 24, 2025 (1:15 p.m. ET for eligible options) [16]
- Nasdaq: early close at 1:00 p.m. ET on Dec. 24, 2025 [17]
- Bond market: recommended early close at 2:00 p.m. ET on Dec. 24, 2025 [18]
- Markets are closed Thursday, Dec. 25 and reopen Friday, Dec. 26. [19]
Why this matters specifically for HOOD:
- Liquidity often gets patchy on half-days.
- Spreads can widen.
- Moves driven by headlines (or crypto volatility) can look larger than they “should” because fewer participants are active.
If you trade HOOD in extended hours, read this risk language first
Robinhood’s own Extended Hours Trading Disclosure highlights several risks that become especially important into a holiday half-day—lower liquidity, higher volatility, changing prices, unlinked markets, and wider spreads, among others. [20]
The same document also outlines timing nuances for Robinhood’s 24 Hour Market availability, including different execution windows on half-days compared with full sessions. [21]
Practical implication: if you plan to trade HOOD premarket/after-hours or overnight, use limit orders and expect noisier prints than normal—particularly with a shortened session looming.
What to watch before the opening bell on Dec. 24
Here’s the pre-market checklist most likely to matter for Robinhood stock tomorrow:
- Bitcoin and majors (overnight direction + volatility)
HOOD has been trading in sympathy with crypto-linked peers on down days. A sharp overnight move in bitcoin can set the tone for HOOD at 9:30 a.m. [22] - Any follow-through headlines on insider selling
The SEC filing is explicit about a 10b5‑1 plan, but headlines can still influence sentiment in thin trading. [23] - Holiday liquidity and early-close dynamics
Half-days can exaggerate moves—up or down—because fewer institutions are actively participating and many desks are lightly staffed. [24] - Rate-cut narrative vs. growth surprise
Today’s strong GDP and weaker confidence readings can push and pull on interest-rate expectations—an important macro input for risk assets broadly and trading activity specifically. [25] - Street framing: “still a buy” vs. “too far, too fast”
The wide range of price targets (and mixed consensus math across aggregators) suggests the market is still deciding what Robinhood should be worth after its outsized 2025. [26]
Bottom line: Robinhood stock ended Dec. 23 down on the day but steadied after hours, with the tape dominated by crypto sensitivity, a new insider-sale filing (under a pre-set plan), and an ongoing debate about valuation after a huge year. Tomorrow’s Christmas Eve half-day is likely to put liquidity—not long-term fundamentals—at the center of the trading setup. [27]
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
References
1. stockanalysis.com, 2. stockanalysis.com, 3. www.investors.com, 4. www.barrons.com, 5. www.sec.gov, 6. www.fool.com, 7. www.tipranks.com, 8. www.tipranks.com, 9. www.reuters.com, 10. www.reuters.com, 11. www.reuters.com, 12. www.marketbeat.com, 13. www.tipranks.com, 14. stockanalysis.com, 15. stockanalysis.com, 16. www.nyse.com, 17. www.nasdaqtrader.com, 18. www.sifma.org, 19. www.nasdaqtrader.com, 20. cdn.robinhood.com, 21. cdn.robinhood.com, 22. www.barrons.com, 23. www.sec.gov, 24. www.nyse.com, 25. www.reuters.com, 26. www.marketbeat.com, 27. stockanalysis.com
