PayPal stock slips after Fed minutes in thin year-end trade — what investors watch next

PayPal stock slips after Fed minutes in thin year-end trade — what investors watch next

NEW YORK, December 30, 2025, 19:56 ET — After-hours

  • PayPal shares were down about 0.7% late Tuesday, tracking a muted finish for U.S. stocks.
  • Fed minutes highlighted divisions over the December rate cut, keeping the 2026 policy path in focus.
  • Traders are watching Wednesday’s jobless claims and PayPal’s next earnings update in early February.

PayPal Holdings, Inc. shares dipped about 0.7% to $59.10 in after-hours trading on Tuesday, the session after the 4 p.m. close, after a quiet day for markets.

The move matters because PayPal is a rate-sensitive consumer payments name, and investors are re-pricing what “higher for longer” means heading into 2026.

It also comes in holiday-thin trading, when relatively small flows can push stocks around more than usual, especially in big, widely held fintech names.

U.S. stocks ended slightly lower as gains in communication services were offset by declines in tech and financials. “It’s just a healthy rebalancing of allocations more so than an emotionally driven sell-off (in tech),” said Mark Hackett, chief market strategist at Nationwide. 1

Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting showed deep divisions over the rate cut and a more cautious bias on what comes next. The Fed’s next policy meeting is scheduled for Jan. 27-28. 2

Payments and fintech peers were mixed, offering little sector-wide direction: Visa fell about 0.3% and Mastercard was little changed, while buy-now-pay-later lender Affirm rose about 0.5%.

PayPal’s valuation remains a key part of the debate. The company trades at roughly 13 times trailing earnings, with a market value of about $64 billion, according to market data.

In its most recent quarterly update in October, PayPal raised its full-year outlook and said it would begin a $0.14 quarterly cash dividend, alongside ongoing buybacks. 3

For investors, the near-term question is whether the company can keep growing its core checkout business while protecting profitability as competition for online checkout intensifies.

One metric in focus is “transaction margin dollars,” a company measure that broadly reflects what is left from revenue after transaction expenses. Investors also watch Venmo monetization and credit performance in pay-later products.

The next macro catalyst is Wednesday’s initial jobless claims report, with markets still operating on a holiday schedule into New Year’s Eve. 4

PayPal has said it plans to report fourth-quarter results on Feb. 3, 2026, giving traders a closer read on 2026 priorities and any changes to its outlook as the fiscal year ends. 5

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