NEW YORK, January 1, 2026, 06:57 ET — Market closed
- Transocean shares last closed unchanged at $4.13 as U.S. markets shut for New Year’s Day.
- Oil ended 2025 with a near-20% drop, keeping offshore drillers tethered to crude sentiment.
- Traders are looking to the Jan. 4 OPEC+ meeting for the next macro signal.
Transocean Ltd. shares ended Wednesday unchanged at $4.13, after trading between $4.11 and $4.21, with about 23.18 million shares changing hands, according to Investing.com data. 1
U.S. markets are closed on Thursday for New Year’s Day, leaving investors to lean on commodity signals and sector positioning for the next move in offshore drillers.
That linkage matters because contractors such as Transocean sell rig time to oil producers, and confidence in multi-year offshore projects tends to rise and fall with expectations for crude prices.
Oil ended 2025 on a weaker note, with Brent settling at $60.85 a barrel and U.S. WTI at $57.42 on Wednesday, and both benchmarks down nearly 20% on the year, Reuters reported. Morgan Stanley’s Martijn Rats said, “If the price really has a substantial fall, I would imagine you will see some cuts (from OPEC+).” 2
Shares of offshore drilling peers were also soft into year-end, with Valaris last trading around $50.40 and Noble around $28.24 late Wednesday, according to market data.
Transocean is an offshore contract driller, providing rigs and crews to drill wells at sea. The key pricing metric is the “dayrate,” the daily fee paid for a rig and its services.
Investors also track “backlog,” which is the value of contracted work not yet performed and a rough proxy for future revenue visibility.
In its most recent contract update, Transocean said on Dec. 8 it signed a six-well contract in Australia for the Deepwater Skyros, expected to start in the first quarter of 2027 and add about $130 million in backlog, excluding mobilization and demobilization payments. 3
Macro swings still matter because even long-cycle offshore plans can get repriced in equity markets when crude weakens or when producers signal tighter capital spending.
Leverage is another pressure point. Transocean reported total debt of $7.15 billion for 2024, according to Reuters company data, leaving the shares sensitive to financing conditions and any refinancing headlines. 4
Before the next session, which begins when U.S. markets reopen on Friday, traders are likely to watch whether crude stabilizes after the year-end slide and how positioning shifts ahead of the Jan. 4 OPEC+ meeting.
On the chart, Wednesday’s range leaves nearby support around $4.11 and resistance near $4.21, levels that can act as quick reference points in thin early-January trading.
