Walmart stock rises 1.2% to start 2026 — what investors are watching next for WMT
3 January 2026
1 min read

Walmart stock rises 1.2% to start 2026 — what investors are watching next for WMT

NEW YORK, Jan 2, 2026, 19:29 ET — After-hours

  • Walmart shares closed up 1.21% on the first trading day of 2026 and held steady after the bell.
  • U.S. stocks ended mixed, with gains in the Dow and S&P 500 and a slight dip in the Nasdaq.
  • Focus now shifts to next week’s U.S. jobs data and Walmart’s late-February earnings.

Walmart Inc (WMT) shares closed up $1.35, or 1.21%, at $112.76 on Friday and were unchanged in after-hours trading, the session after the 4 p.m. close when stocks can still change hands. 1

The move matters because the first session of January often sets the tone for early-year positioning, especially in large, liquid stocks. Walmart is widely used by investors as a gauge of value-focused U.S. consumer demand.

For Walmart, the near-term question is whether shoppers keep prioritizing essentials and lower prices as investors recalibrate expectations for growth and interest rates. Any shift in rate outlook can ripple quickly into retail valuations.

The Dow and S&P 500 ended higher on Friday to start 2026 by snapping a four-session losing streak, while the Nasdaq edged lower. Recent selling dashed hopes for a “Santa Claus rally” — the seasonal rise typically seen in the last five trading days of December and the first two of January — leaving investors braced for next week’s labor data and potential tariff headlines. Joe Mazzola, head of trading and derivatives strategist at Charles Schwab, said the market is seeing a “buy the dip, sell the rip” mentality — buying pullbacks and selling rebounds. 2

Walmart traded between $111.14 and $112.78 during the day, with about 14.3 million shares changing hands, according to trade data.

In retail, Walmart’s gain came alongside a 2.82% rise in Target, while Amazon fell 1.87%, underscoring the uneven appetite for consumer names at the start of the year. 3

For discount-led retailers, investors have also been balancing two competing themes: steadier demand for staples versus pressure on discretionary categories when households pull back. Freight, labor and promotional intensity remain swing factors for margins across the sector.

Policy risk is also back on the front burner for retailers that rely on global supply chains. Traders have been watching how any tariff changes might flow through to pricing and inventory strategy.

The next major scheduled catalyst for Walmart is its quarterly earnings report on Feb. 19, before the U.S. market opens, according to Nasdaq’s earnings calendar. 4

Zacks Equity Research, citing its consensus estimates, expects Walmart to report earnings of 72 cents a share on revenue of about $190.16 billion for the quarter. 5

In that report, investors will be looking for updates on holiday-quarter demand, grocery and general merchandise trends, and whether the company can sustain profit growth as it expands delivery and digital offerings.

Walmart’s shares are about 4% below their 52-week high of $117.45, leaving less tolerance for execution missteps if the economic data turn choppier in January.

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