NEW YORK, Jan 5, 2026, 07:19 ET
- Super Micro shares rose about 6% in premarket trading, but key Wall Street calls stayed cautious on profitability.
- Goldman Sachs has a Sell rating; Bank of America rates the stock Underperform with a $34 price target, a commentary said.
- The company has forecast at least $36 billion in fiscal 2026 net sales as it ramps new AI server platforms.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares were up about 6% in premarket trading on Monday, but analysts remained cautious on the server maker’s ability to protect margins as competition intensifies in AI hardware.
The company sits in the middle of a global buildout of data centers for artificial intelligence, where customers are ordering dense, power-hungry systems that require complex supply chains and new cooling designs.
That makes Super Micro a bellwether for whether the AI infrastructure boom can translate into durable profits, not just fast revenue growth. Wall Street is watching closely after a series of delivery shifts and margin pressure.
In its most recent fiscal first-quarter results, Super Micro posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.35, below expectations of $0.40, while revenue of $5.02 billion fell short of roughly $6 billion expected, according to a commentary republished by Yahoo Finance. 1
Goldman Sachs said customer deliveries were pushed into the next quarter as buyers upgraded designs, while the bank pointed to a roughly 3 percentage-point sequential decline in gross margin — the share of sales left after production costs — embedded in guidance for the following quarter, the commentary said.
Bank of America maintained an Underperform rating and a $34 price target, citing Super Micro’s manufacturing capacity and its ability to ship thousands of liquid-cooled racks a month. Liquid cooling uses circulating fluid to manage heat from high-powered chips, but larger deals can squeeze profit because pricing is often set in competitive bidding, the commentary said.
Super Micro told investors in November it expected at least $36 billion in net sales for fiscal 2026 and said its order book included more than $13 billion tied to Blackwell Ultra systems, referring to Nvidia’s next-generation AI platform. “We expect at least $36 billion in revenue for fiscal year 2026,” CEO Charles Liang said. 2
Not all commentary is bearish. A Seeking Alpha contributor argued on Dec. 30 that the stock’s selloff had reset valuation and created an asymmetric setup, while warning that margin recovery remains uncertain after management shelved earlier margin targets. 3
A separate Barron’s report late last month highlighted how Super Micro’s stock has swung sharply as the company dealt with financial reporting concerns and a crowded AI server field that includes larger enterprise hardware suppliers such as Dell and Cisco. 4
