Sydney, January 6, 2026, 18:10 AEDT — Market closed
Woolworths Group Ltd shares (WOW.AX) ended down 0.46% at A$28.84 on Tuesday, after moving between A$28.77 and A$29.20 in the session. 1
The small decline still matters now because investors are positioning for Australia’s key inflation update on Wednesday, which can quickly reset bets on interest rates and household spending. Supermarkets can look defensive in choppy markets, but their margins and volumes still respond to shifts in costs and consumer confidence.
The S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.5% as bank losses outweighed gains in miners, while attention turned to the November consumer price data due Wednesday. Interest-rate futures, which reflect trader expectations for the RBA cash rate, have pushed markets to price about a 33% chance of a February hike. “If the market starts pricing in rate increases, the ASX is likely to see more differentiated performance across sectors rather than a broad rally,” said Marc Jocum, senior product and investment strategist at Global X ETFs Australia.
Economists expect annual inflation to have eased to 3.7% in November from 3.8% a month earlier, while the trimmed mean — a measure that strips out extreme price moves to gauge underlying inflation — is expected to remain above the central bank’s 2%-3% target range.
Woolworths also outperformed rival Coles Group Ltd, whose shares closed down 2.8% at A$20.57. Investors often track the pair as a proxy for how hard the sector is leaning on discounts and price investment.
On the company front, traders had little fresh to work with on Tuesday. An ASX announcements list shows Woolworths has not posted a new release since Dec. 17. 2
The next clear catalyst is Woolworths’ first-half results on Feb. 25, followed by a third-quarter sales update on April 30, according to the company’s shareholder calendar. 3
Chart watchers will focus on Tuesday’s A$28.77 low as near-term support — a level where buyers previously stepped in — and the A$29.20 intraday high as early resistance, where selling emerged. A decisive break either way can change the tone quickly, particularly in thin early-January volumes.
But the downside case is simple. A hotter-than-expected inflation print could lift rate-hike bets, squeeze household budgets and keep supermarkets locked in margin-eroding promotions, while any sharper cost pressure would compound the strain.
