Compass stock jumps as Q4 outlook lifts and $750 million notes plan lines up for Anywhere deal

Compass stock jumps as Q4 outlook lifts and $750 million notes plan lines up for Anywhere deal

NEW YORK, Jan 7, 2026, 14:24 (ET) — Regular session

Compass, Inc. (NYSE: COMP) shares jumped 13.4% to $12.28 in afternoon trading on Wednesday after swinging between $9.90 and $12.54, with about 68 million shares changing hands. The real estate brokerage lifted its fourth-quarter outlook, projecting revenue at the high end of its $1.59 billion to $1.69 billion range and adjusted EBITDA — a profit metric that strips out interest, taxes and some non-cash costs — at or slightly above the high end of its $35 million to $49 million range. It also reported adding more than 800 principal agents in the quarter and said the update was based on preliminary results.

The timing matters. Compass is hours away from shareholder votes on its proposed takeover of rival Anywhere Real Estate, which would leave Anywhere as a wholly owned unit of Compass. A filing showed the federal antitrust waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act expired on Jan. 2, leaving stockholder approvals and other closing conditions. 1

Compass also announced plans for a $750 million private offering of convertible senior notes due 2031 — debt that can be swapped for shares later — with an option for buyers to take up to an additional $112.5 million. The company said it would use the proceeds for general corporate purposes, including repaying certain Anywhere debt and merger costs at closing, and funding “capped call” hedges meant to reduce potential dilution; it added that dealers’ hedging activity could move the stock around pricing. 2

For traders watching the deal math, Compass also filed unaudited pro forma financials that assume each Anywhere share converts into 1.436 Compass Class A shares, with cash paid for fractional shares. The pro forma disclosure also shows Anywhere’s revolving credit facility would be repaid at closing because it contains a change-in-control provision. 3

Compass plans to terminate remaining commitments under a $750 million senior secured bridge loan facility once the convertible offering is completed, switching toward longer-dated unsecured financing, according to a summary of the filing. That pushes the next question onto pricing: the coupon, the conversion premium and how much effective dilution the market sees. 4

Compass describes itself as a tech-enabled real estate services company and the largest U.S. residential brokerage by sales volume, founded in 2012 and based in New York City. It said the platform includes cloud-based software tools for customer relationship management, marketing and brokerage services. 5

But the rally could fade if the notes price with a low conversion premium — implying more share issuance later — or if hedging flows add pressure in the market. And despite the antitrust clearance, the merger still depends on shareholder approvals and the ability to knit two large broker networks together without disrupting agent retention.

Investors will watch for the outcome of the Jan. 7 shareholder votes and for final terms on the convertible notes, including the coupon and conversion price. Any fresh SEC filing on vote results or note pricing is likely to set the next move.

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