WASHINGTON, Jan 7, 2026, 16:04 EST
- Lockheed Martin shares fell about 4.5% after Trump threatened to block dividends and buybacks for defense firms
- Lockheed and the U.S. Department of War struck a seven-year framework to lift PAC-3 MSE interceptor capacity to about 2,000 a year
- Goldman Sachs reiterated a Sell rating with a $430 price target, pointing to higher contractor risk under newer deal structures
Lockheed Martin shares slid about 4.5% in afternoon trading on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump said he would block dividends and share buybacks for defense contractors until they speed up weapons production. Trump also urged new production plants and called defense executive pay “exorbitant,” while offering no details on enforcement; Northrop Grumman, RTX and General Dynamics shares were also lower. 1
The threat lands as Washington pushes the industry to build more capacity, faster, after years of tight stockpiles and long delivery times. It also risks jolting a sector many investors buy for predictable cash returns, not political surprises.
A day earlier, Lockheed said it had reached a seven-year agreement with the U.S. Department of War to lift annual production capacity of its PAC-3 interceptors to 2,000 units from about 600. PAC-3, short for Patriot Advanced Capability, is a missile interceptor used for air defense; demand has surged as the U.S. and allies step up defenses, including support for Ukraine, Reuters reported. 2
The Department of War said the framework is meant to give “long-term demand certainty” and set the basis for negotiating a seven-year supply contract, subject to congressional authorization and appropriations. Under Secretary Michael Duffey called it “a fundamental shift” in how the government expands munitions output, while Secretary Pete Hegseth said the department will “stabilize demand signals” with bigger, longer contracts. 3
Lockheed Chairman and CEO Jim Taiclet said the approach would bring commercial practices into major acquisition programs and create “unprecedented capacity for PAC-3 MSE production.” The company said it has increased PAC-3 MSE output by more than 60% over the past two years and expects the ramp to add thousands of jobs across its supply chain. 4
Goldman Sachs reiterated a Sell rating on Lockheed on Wednesday with a $430 price target — the level it expects the stock to trade at over the next year — even as demand for interceptors rises. The bank flagged “overbought” signals in the relative strength index (RSI), a trader-used momentum gauge, and warned that more “outcomes-based” and risk-sharing contract terms can leave contractors exposed if they miss targets, according to Investing.com. 5
Lockheed’s shares had been firmer earlier in the week. The stock rose 2.9% on Monday to about $511.55, with roughly 1.98 million shares traded, and carried a consensus “Hold” rating with a $506.67 average price target, MarketBeat data showed. 6
But the missile pact is a framework, not a full contract, and Lockheed said it is still working toward an initial award expected in final fiscal 2026 congressional appropriations. The deal is designed to be cash-neutral upfront, yet it leans on strict delivery accountability — and any delays, funding fights or tougher enforcement could flip the economics. 7
For investors, the next question is whether Trump’s payout threat turns into policy and how widely it spreads across the sector. The second is simpler: whether the Pentagon’s push for faster missiles shows up in funded orders, on time, at margins companies can live with.
