SINGAPORE, Jan 14, 2026, 14:50 SGT — Regular session
- UOB shares gained 0.4%, reaching S$36.32 in afternoon trading
- DBS fell 0.5%, with OCBC holding steady
- Attention shifts to UOB’s results due February 19 and its outlook on margins
Shares of United Overseas Bank Ltd nudged higher on Wednesday, holding firmer compared to DBS and OCBC as investors digested what’s next in the rate cycle. 1
This shift is significant since the major local lenders are once again reacting to the rates narrative: while expectations of looser policy can boost sentiment, they usually compress lending margins in the long run.
UOB’s shares have gained roughly 3% year-to-date, despite some volatile sessions in global markets. On Wednesday, the stock fluctuated between S$36.06 and S$36.32, with around 1.07 million shares traded. 1
Inside the group, a subtle shift emerged. UOB Asset Management, part of the bank, announced a move to “slightly overweight” equities for Q1. Their quarterly investment note, out Wednesday, summed it up: “while the music is playing, we have to keep dancing.” 2
Beyond Singapore, investors tracked the fallout from a political showdown involving the U.S. Federal Reserve—moves that ripple through bond yields and bank shares. Reuters reported that global central bank leaders released a joint statement backing Fed Chair Jerome Powell after the Trump administration threatened him with a criminal indictment. 3
UOB knows the drill well. When benchmark rates fall, the net interest margin—the difference between earnings on loans and costs on deposits—usually tightens, even if loan demand stays steady.
The margin issue is where the risk lies. UOB has already cautioned that its 2026 net interest margin might drop to between 1.75% and 1.80%. The bank took a significant hit to its quarterly profit last year after setting aside hefty credit provisions. Just to clarify, a basis point equals one-hundredth of a percentage point. 4
If global growth slows more sharply than anticipated or if credit stress emerges in certain areas, the market will shift focus from dividends to buffers. That’s when valuations can adjust rapidly.
UOB’s earnings report is set for Feb. 19, marking the next key moment. Investors will focus on margin trends, credit costs, and the strength of fee income. 5
