Maharashtra market holiday draws Kamath criticism; NSE, BSE closed for BMC polls
January 15, 2026, 2:26 AM EST. Maharashtra's municipal elections prompted a market holiday on Jan 15, with the NSE and BSE suspending trading. Zerodha co-founder Nithin Kamath called the move poor planning and said it shows a 'serious lack of appreciation for second-order effects' and questioned incentives behind the decision. He invoked Charlie Munger: 'Show me the incentive, and I will show you the outcome.' The exchanges said trading would resume on Jan 16 after the Municipal Corporation Elections in Maharashtra, with normal operations expected the next day. In Mumbai, security was tightened ahead of the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation (BMC) polls, as voting ran until 5.30 pm and counting was set for Jan 16. NSE's circular confirmed the holiday and settlement changes.
Lennox International Valuation: LII at $525.25; DCF fair value $402.74 vs. target near $568.93
January 15, 2026, 2:24 AM EST. Lennox International (LII) closed at $525.25 after choppy moves, as investors reassess growth and margins. The company shows a mixed picture: year-to-date gains of about 5.3%, while the 1-year total shareholder return trails 3-year strength. Analysts pencil a fair value near $568.93, with a price target of $568.73, suggesting an upside versus current levels. In a DCF view, Simply Wall St's model yields about $402.74 per share, implying investors may be pricing in more resilience or growth than the model supports. The bull case rests on margin strength, product mix and easing share count; risks include softer revenue guidance and dealer caution around refrigerant availability. The narrative highlights digital pricing tools and data analytics as contributors to premium pricing and recurring revenue.
Confluent valuation shows mild upside after $30.57 close
January 15, 2026, 2:23 AM EST. Confluent (CFLT) closed at $30.57, up 0.5% on the day and 1.3% over the week. The 90-day return rose to 35.7%, while the 1-year total shareholder return sits at 9.9%. A narrative fair value of $30.77 implies a small valuation gap and modest upside. At a P/S of 9.8x, the stock trades above the US software average (4.8x) and its implied fair multiple (7.6x). The case rests on data streaming leadership and a target of about $1B in recurring revenue, but risks include weaker cloud consumption or customers shifting to self-managed/open-source solutions. Investors can test assumptions with a custom view; upside depends on sustained growth and improving margins.
PageGroup (LON: PAGE) stock slides 14% in a week as earnings growth hopes fade
January 15, 2026, 2:22 AM EST.PageGroup plc (LON: PAGE) trimmed optimism for earnings growth as the stock fell about 14% last week. Over three years the shares are down 55%, lagging the FTSE All-Share by roughly 97 percentage points; the annual pace has remained weak, with a 32% drop in the past 12 months. EPS (earnings per share) declined at about 58% per year over the last three years, far sharper than the 23% decline in the share price, signaling investor concern about profitability. The stock trades at a high P/E of around 54, implying high expectations for a revival. TSR (total shareholder return) over three years was -46%, with dividends partially offsetting losses. If the firm can stabilize earnings, the market may re-rate; otherwise, downside risks persist.
UK stocks priced below fair value in January 2026 as FTSE 100 slides on China data
January 15, 2026, 2:20 AM EST. The FTSE 100 closed lower on weak China trade data, but a cluster of UK stocks trades below estimated fair value. Screens show discounts around 45%-49% for names such as Oxford Biomedica, Motorpoint Group, Informa, Ibstock, Hochschild Mining, Fintel, CAB Payments, Barratt Redrow, Anglo Asian Mining and Advanced Medical Solutions. In depth, ASA International Group trades at £1.95 vs a £2.20 fair value, an 11.3% discount, with earnings up 121.7% last year and forecast annual growth about 20.8%; CFO Geert Embrechts has been appointed to bolster long-term plans. Burberry is priced at £13.31 versus £19.31 fair value, a 31.1% discount, with a mid-single-digit 2026 revenue decline but expected later-year improvement and leadership changes to sharpen execution.
Australian shares end at two-month high as miners ride metals rally
January 15, 2026, 2:16 AM EST. Australian shares closed higher on Thursday, with the S&P/ASX 200 up 0.5% to 8,861.70, the strongest finish since November 3. The move was led by miners, supported by a rally in base and precious metals. Iron ore prices stayed firm on sustained Chinese demand, helping the iron ore sub-index post gains for a fourth straight session. BHP and Rio Tinto rose, with BHP near its highest close in more than two years. Financials edged up, though the bank sub-index has slipped this month as valuations weigh on sentiment and policy realignments bite. The market showed a rotation into materials as miners ride the metal rally.
ASX 200 climbs as base metals rally; ANZ gains on Citi upgrade
January 15, 2026, 2:15 AM EST. The S&P/ASX 200 finished 41.1 points higher at 8,860, up about 0.47%. Gold and silver stocks pulled back as bullion eased, and lithium shares cooled. Yet resources and energy led gains as base metals rose on the London Metal Exchange (LME) and coking coal jumped over 5% to a 15-month high. ANZ rose about 2.6% after Citi upgraded its rating on the lender; BOQ gained about 1.4%, while CBA edged higher. Sector breadth was mixed: Health Care (+0.6%), Financials (+0.5%) and Consumer Discretionary (+0.4%) rose, XTJ (-0.2%) and XIJ (-2.2%) lagged. Fund flows were cited as tilting toward the Winner Resources vs the longer-duration, high-P/E sectors.
UK dividend stocks offer income as FTSE drifts; Bytes, Card Factory among picks
January 15, 2026, 2:02 AM EST. The FTSE 100 slipped after weak Chinese trade data underscored global links to UK markets. In volatile times, dividend stocks can offer income. A UK screener flags names such as RS Group (3.50%), MONY (6.66%), MEGP (5.98%), KLR (3.05%), IPX (8.01%), IGG (3.62%), HSP (5.69%), HSBK (5.81%), BEG (3.70%), and FOUR (4.06%). Notable picks reviewed include Bytes Technology Group (BYIT) with a 5.8% yield; dividends are supported by earnings and cash flows but have been volatile. Another option is Card Factory (CARD) at about a 7.2% yield, with strong coverage though uneven dividend growth and potential effects from buybacks. Overall, yields look attractive relative to UK earnings growth, but reliability varies.
Soybeans edge higher at midday as shipments, USDA data support prices
January 15, 2026, 2:01 AM EST. Soybeans were firmer at midday, with most contracts up 5-10 cents. Nearby cash soybeans printed $9.90 1/4 per bushel; March soybeans $10.51 1/4, May $10.65 1/2, November $10.56, and new-crop cash $9.92 1/2. Soymeal gained 90 cents per ton and soy oil added 35 points. A 10% tariff on Chinese goods takes effect Tuesday after President Trump's executive order. Weekly export inspections clocked 1.013 MMT in the week ending Jan 30, down 42.1% year over year but up 37.3% week over week, with China the top destination. Marketing year shipments total 34.066 MMT, 157% above last year. Managed money added 16,166 contracts to net long to 56,496. USDA's Fats & Oils report due later today; Brazil harvest at 9% vs 16% a year ago; Brazil crop around 174 MMT.
Is It Too Late to Consider S&P Global (SPGI) After Multi-Year Gains?
January 15, 2026, 2:00 AM EST. SPGI closed at $545 as it posts multi-year gains; investors weigh whether the move already prices in future earnings. The narrative centers on a data and index provider's valuation in a market that prizes essential financial information and benchmarks. Simply Wall St assigns a 0/6 valuation score to SPGI, signaling skepticism from some screens. In the Excess Returns model, SPGI's book value per share is about $109.21 and stable EPS near $20.60, with a cost of equity around $9.41. The model yields an intrinsic value of roughly $338.54 per share, implying the stock is about 61.0% overvalued at current levels. The analysis also introduces a P/E approach, though the excerpt ends before a conclusion. The full valuation section is promised.
Hitachi Reframes AI Strategy as GlobalLogic Names New Marketing Chief
January 15, 2026, 1:59 AM EST.GlobalLogic Inc., a Hitachi Group unit, named LuJean Smith as chief marketing officer effective Jan. 6 to lead global marketing and sharpen the brand's AI messaging within Hitachi's ecosystem. The appointment underscores Hitachi's push to frame GlobalLogic's AI strengths as part of a Lumada-led growth strategy, while risks from storage competition and legacy businesses persist. Hitachi's buyback remains in play, authorizing up to 140 million shares (about 3.06% of outstanding stock) through March 2026, adding a capital-return element to the digital story. The group targets revenue of ¥12,024.6 billion and earnings of ¥999.4 billion by 2028, implying 6.9% annual revenue growth and roughly ¥366.8 billion in incremental earnings. Analyst fair-value estimates vary, reflecting divergent views on Lumada/GlobalLogic-driven upside.
India stock markets to stay shut on January 15 as BSE/NSE observe transaction holiday for Maharashtra municipal elections
January 15, 2026, 1:47 AM EST. On January 15, 2026, the BSE and NSE will be closed for a transaction holiday tied to Maharashtra municipal elections. A transaction holiday means no trading activity on that day. The calendars add January 15 to 2026's list of holidays, bringing total trading holidays to 16 for the year (excluding weekends). The exchanges' published calendars also flag January 26 as Republic Day and list other holidays through the year, including Holi, Ganesh Chaturthi, Diwali-Balipratipada, and Christmas. In Mumbai, authorities tightened security ahead of the Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation vote, with voting scheduled 7:30 am-5:30 pm and counting set for January 16.
Australian shares rise as Wall Street retreats; Carma posts 746 retail units in fiscal Q2
January 15, 2026, 1:46 AM EST. Australian shares closed higher as Wall Street retreated amid easing US-Iran tensions, Reuters reported. The S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.5% to 8,861.7. Westpac economist Ryan Wells said a cautious mood persisted. Domestically, household spending rose 0.7% in December 2025, per Commonwealth Bank. Melbourne's 2026 Open is expected to inject over AU$600 million into the economy, NAB said, while inflation expectations cooled to 4.6% in January, per Melbourne Institute. Carma delivered 746 retail units in the fiscal Q2 (second quarter) ended December 2025, with AU$22 million in retail revenue; shares fell 7%. BHP rose about 3%, and Rio Tinto edged up after a plan to cooperate on iron ore at Yandicoogina and Yandi. Treasury Wine Estates slid 5% on distributor uncertainty, per AFR citing Citi's Sam Teeger.
European stocks head for higher open as Greenland, Iran headlines track markets
January 15, 2026, 1:45 AM EST. European stocks look set for a higher open as traders digest Greenland and Iran headlines. The UK's FTSE is seen up about 0.6%, Germany's DAX ~0.18% higher, France's CAC 40 ~0.2% and Italy's FTSE MIB ~0.34% stronger, according to IG. A White House meeting among U.S., Denmark and Greenland over ownership ended with a fundamental disagreement, with talks to continue. Trump has pressed for Greenland; sanctions cautions linger. In Tehran, risk sentiment wavered as Washington signaled restraint and Iran reopened airspace after a temporary closure. Richemont posted Q3 sales up 4% to €6.4 billion, with gains in the UK and Italy. Data due: UK GDP for November, Spanish and French inflation, and the EU trade balance.
Coffee prices pressured by Brazilian real weakness as arabica slips, robusta edges higher
January 15, 2026, 1:44 AM EST. March arabica futures (KCH26) closed down 4.25 cents, -1.18%, while March ICE robusta (RMH26) gained $2, +0.05%. The Brazilian real weakened, pressuring local beans and nudging exporters to sell. Vietnam's booming exports-up 17.5% y/y to 1.58 MMT-weigh on robusta prices. Minas Gerais received 26.5 mm of rain in the week ended Jan 9, easing arabica concerns. ICE inventories were at a 1.75-year low earlier, then rose to a 2.5-month high, illustrating tight but changing supplies. Conab lifted Brazil's 2025 production forecast to 56.54 million bags. The ICO reported total exports down 0.3% y/y to 138.658 million bags. USDA FAS sees 2025/26 world production up about 2%, with arabica down and robusta up; Brazil -3.1%, Vietnam +6.2%.
General Mills seen undervalued by DCF as shares sit near $45
January 15, 2026, 1:43 AM EST. General Mills shares closed at $45.62, up 6.2% in the past week but down 17.8% over the last year. The mix of short-term strength and longer-term weakness reflects shifting risk views on consumer staples. A valuation check scores GIS 5 of 6 for potential undervaluation. The DCF model, using a 2-stage free cash flow to equity approach, yields an intrinsic value of about $105.12 per share, implying the stock is about 56.6% undervalued at current prices. The latest twelve-month FCF is about $1.69 billion, with analysts seeing $2.02-$2.78 billion over the next decade. P/CF and P/E provide another frame, noting that normal multiples depend on growth prospects and risk perceptions. Investors may look for how this lines up with peers.
TSMC Q4 profit up 35% to record, beats estimates on AI chip demand
January 15, 2026, 1:28 AM EST. TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker, reported a 35% jump in fourth-quarter net profit to a record T$505.7 billion, beating the LSEG SmartEstimate of T$478.4 billion. The result reflects surging demand for semiconductors used in artificial intelligence. The Taiwan-based company counts Nvidia and Apple among its customers. The strong performance reinforces TSMC's leadership in the sector as AI workloads bolster demand for advanced process nodes.
Undervalued AI chip giant with pricing power could beat Nvidia and Broadcom in 2026
January 15, 2026, 1:27 AM EST. TSMC, the contract-manufacturing giant backing Nvidia and Broadcom, is emerging as the market's undervalued AI chip winner for 2026. The company has tightened pricing on its advanced nodes-7nm, 5nm and 3nm-with more hikes planned through 2029, as demand for leading fabs stays tight. TSMC held about 72% of last quarter's contract-manufacturing spend, underscoring its dominion. Management says capacity expansion will continue, including new facilities in Arizona to support the move to 2nm and 1.6nm processes. With higher premiums for 2nm versus 3nm and better yields on early wafers, the supply-constrained cycle could lift margins even as customers shift designs. Some investors view TSMC as a better buy than Nvidia or Broadcom in 2026.
TSMC Q4 profit up 35% on strong AI-chip demand; 7-nm+ share at 77%
January 15, 2026, 1:26 AM EST. TSMC posted a 35% year-on-year rise in fourth-quarter profit, beating estimates and setting a fresh record as demand for AI chips remains robust. Revenue climbed 20.5% to NT$1.046 trillion, ahead of the NT$1.034 trillion consensus; net income reached NT$505.74 billion, above NT$478.37 billion forecast. It marks eight straight quarters of earnings growth. In the quarter, revenue from 7-nanometer or smaller nodes accounted for 77% of wafer revenue, with the company guiding full-year 2025 share at 74% vs 69% in 2024. TSMC counts Nvidia and AMD among AI-chip clients. Analysts say AI demand supports solid server-chip demand, and with 2nm capacity expansion and advanced packaging, momentum could persist into 2026, though consumer-electronics demand and memory shortages pose risks.
Corn gains as ethanol output hits record on strong EIA data
January 15, 2026, 1:16 AM EST. Corn futures rose about 1 to 2.5 cents on Wednesday as the Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a record jump in ethanol production to 1.196 million barrels per day (bpd). The CmdtyView cash price sits at $3.84 3/4 per bushel, up 2.5 cents. Ethanol stocks rose 821,000 barrels to 24.473 million, led by gains in the Gulf and East Coast, hinting at near-term export capacity. Exports rose to 119,000 bpd; refiners ran 841,000 bpd of inputs, up 70,000. Separately, South Korean importers tendered for 402,000 metric tons (MT) of corn. The USDA export sales data due Thursday is expected to show 0.6-1.4 million metric tons (MMT) sold in the week to Jan 8.
Betr Entertainment: Intrinsic value AU$0.22 vs AU$0.26 share price; target AU$0.45
January 15, 2026, 1:15 AM EST. Two-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis puts Betr Entertainment's intrinsic value at AU$0.22 per share. Trading at AU$0.26 implies roughly an 18% premium to value. An analyst target of AU$0.45 sits about 106% above the estimated value. The model forecasts ten years of levered free cash flow (FCF) from 2026 onward, then a terminal value in 2035, discounted at 8.2% to today. Projected levered FCF rises from AU$1.83m in 2026 to AU$15.0m in 2035 as growth slows. Note the DCF is one valuation tool and depends on growth assumptions; other metrics or changes in fundamentals could alter the view.
Domino's Pizza Group PLC stock seen with ~33.9% upside amid mixed metrics
January 15, 2026, 1:14 AM EST. Domino's Pizza Group PLC (DOM.L) trades at 182.3 GBp, within a 52-week range of 167.20-302.80 GBp. Analysts' average target of 244.11 GBp implies about a 33.91% upside. Valuation reads as mixed: no trailing P/E, PEG, or P/B; forward P/E of 993.03 suggests lofty growth expectations and possible overvaluation. Revenue rose 1.4%; free cash flow was £55.6 million. The dividend yield is 6.12% with a payout ratio of 55.56%, supporting income investors though sustainability is a question. Analyst ratings skew to cautious optimism: 3 buys, 5 holds, 2 sells; targets span 150.00-450.00 GBp. Technically, the stock trades below the 200-day MA (220.11 GBp) but above the 50-day MA (175.13 GBp). RSI 53.24, MACD above signal.
Cotton futures ease as front-months retreat; The Seam auction and world price lift market
January 15, 2026, 1:13 AM EST. Cotton futures eased on Wednesday, with front-month contracts down 2 to 5 points after early strength faded. Crude oil futures rose about 50 cents to $61.65 a barrel, while the US dollar index edged lower to 98.86. The January 13 online auction from The Seam sold 14,042 bales at 60.08 cents per pound. The Cotlook A Index rose 55 points to 75 cents. ICE certified cotton stocks were unchanged at 11,029 bales. The Adjusted World Price increased 21 points to 50.97 cents per pound. In the futures strip, Mar 26 Cotton at 64.85, May 26 Cotton at 66.38, and Jul 26 Cotton at 67.84, each down a few points. Disclosure: the author disclosed no positions in the securities mentioned.
Freeport-McMoRan valuation flags upside as copper rally persists
January 15, 2026, 1:12 AM EST. Freeport-McMoRan trades around $60.35 as copper prices lift miners. The stock shows momentum: 7-day 8.7%, 30-day 27%, YTD 16.2%, 1-year 52.9%, 5-year 108.7%. In a checklist-based framework, FCX scores 2/6 on undervaluation. Approach 1: a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model yields an intrinsic value near $110.36 per share, about 45.3% above the price, implying the stock is undervalued on this model. Approach 2: P/E (price-to-earnings) is used to gauge earnings power against the price. The analysis notes copper exposure and long-term demand as key inputs amid a broader market reassessment of miners. Investors should weigh momentum against these signals and commodity cycles.
Cleveland-Cliffs valuation under debate after share gains
January 15, 2026, 1:02 AM EST. Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) rose about 4.5% in the latest session and roughly 16% over the past week, with a 1-year total shareholder return near 36.3%. But 3- and 5-year returns remain negative, underscoring a debate about momentum versus the longer horizon. The stock trades around $13.96, close to a $12.45 fair value in some analyst notes, yet a SWS DCF fair value of $21.27 implies a substantial discrepancy and a 34.4% discount under that framework. A recovery story rests on higher-margin stainless and specialty steels, supported by infrastructure, electrification, and clean-energy buildout, potentially widening the addressable market and lifting pricing power. Key risks: tariffs and sensitivity to automotive demand. Investors can test their view by building a Cleveland-Cliffs narrative from the available assumptions.
Asian Growth Stocks With High Insider Ownership Signal Strong Earnings Momentum
January 15, 2026, 1:01 AM EST. Asian growth stocks with high insider ownership are delivering together with strong earnings momentum, even as geopolitics and data surprises persist. A fast-growing Asian screener flags several names across Korea, China and Taiwan where insider stakes align manager and shareholder interests. Key figures include UTI (KOSDAQ:A179900) with 25% insider ownership and 120.7% earnings growth; Streamax Technology (SZSE:002970) at 32.5% and 33.1%; Seers Technology (KOSDAQ:A458870) 32% and 78.8%; Fulin Precision (SZSE:300432) 10.6% and 55.2%. The list also features Suzhou Hesheng Special Material (insider 29.1%, 35.7% growth) and Huatu Cendes (16.5%, 41.3%), underscoring how insider ownership can accompany outsized earnings momentum. Investors are advised to weigh governance signals and growth trajectories.
Senior plc stock analysis: 3.84% upside as aerospace and defense segments anchor growth
January 15, 2026, 1:00 AM EST. Senior plc (LON: SNR) trades near the top of its 52-week range at 225.5 GBp, with five buy ratings and no sells. The UK aerospace and defense supplier designs and sells high-tech components across Aerospace and Flexonics segments for OEMs in North America, Europe, Africa and Asia. Market cap about $932 million. The stock shows a bullish tilt: above the 50- and 200-day moving averages; RSI, a momentum gauge, at 43.75. Revenue growth 2.6%; EPS 0.07; ROE 7.12%. Free cash flow is negative (-£69.29 million). Forward P/E (price/earnings based on forward earnings) is extreme at 2,452.15. Dividend yield 1.09%, payout 32.61%. Target price on average 234.17 GBp implies about 3.84% upside. Investors should watch earnings conversion and cash flow stability as Senior plc charts a path forward.
SDCL Efficiency Income Trust PL (SEIT.L) eyed for 53% upside; oversold, 79p target
January 15, 2026, 12:59 AM EST. SDCL Efficiency Income Trust PL (SEIT.L) trades at 51.6 GBp with a roughly $560 million market cap. Analysts see a potential upside of about 53%, though the stock lacks standard valuation metrics like P/E, P/B, and PEG. The shares have traded in a 52-week range of 43.40-63.00 GBp. Technicals show a mixed picture: the 50-day moving average at 56.49 and the 200-day MA at 54.02 signal a recent downtrend, while the RSI 28.41 marks an oversold condition. The MACD is negative at -1.21 with a signal line of -1.45, suggesting bearish momentum but potential for a rebound. Analysts: 1 buy, 2 holds, target 79.00 GBp. Dividends are not disclosed, leaving income visibility unclear. Investors should weigh market conditions and risk appetite.
Fabrinet (FN) Valuation Scrutiny: DCF Implies ~54% Overvaluation After 1-Year Surge
January 15, 2026, 12:58 AM EST.Fabrinet trades at about US$477.05, up 104.1% over 12 months, leaving investors weighing growth against risk. The stock shows a strong price run but valuation checks signal concern. Our DCF model, using a 2-stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach, pegs intrinsic value at roughly US$310.27 per share, implying the stock is about 53.8% overvalued versus the current price. The P/E sits at 48.69x, well above the Electronic sector average of 26.94x and the peer average of 43.96x. The valuation score is 0 out of 6. That frame suggests upside may hinge on faster cash-flow growth or margin expansion that isn't yet reflected. Investors should examine the growth trajectory and risk factors in hardware and components supply chains before chasing the rally.
Peyto Exploration: DCF Indicates Undervalued Despite Multi-Year Price Run
January 15, 2026, 12:47 AM EST. Peyto Exploration & Development trades around CA$22.34 a share amid a mixed price path: +5.4% in the last week, -2.7% in 30 days, -1.2% year-to-date, and +41.2% over the past year. Three-year returns hover around 118%; five-year gains run roughly sevenfold. In the Canadian energy backdrop, investors weigh commodity moves against balance sheet strength and capital allocation. In our valuation screen Peyto scores 5 of 6. A two-stage DCF model, using free cash flow to equity, yields an intrinsic value of CA$68.39 per share. At CA$22.34, the stock sits about 67% below that level, suggesting it is undervalued versus this measure and potentially attractive on a cash-flow basis. The report also notes P/E and asset-based checks in context.
Kenvue valuation nudges higher as short-term momentum improves
January 15, 2026, 12:46 AM EST. KVUE's 3-month return about 21.3% points to improving momentum, after a weak year-to-date and 1-year performance. At $17.12, the stock trades below a fair value estimate of $19.33, implying upside if execution meets forecasts. Analysts project revenue growth around 2.6% annually over three years, with margins rising from 9.4% to 13.1%. The valuation gap rests on sustained top-line growth and stronger pricing power. Risks include talc and Tylenol litigation and the Kimberly-Clark deal's execution. The analysis invites investors to stress-test assumptions and compare KVUE with peers. This piece outlines the narrative and the earnings path behind the fair value view, not financial advice.
Oberoi Realty's earnings growth lags 24% shareholder CAGR over five years
January 15, 2026, 12:45 AM EST. Oberoi Realty Limited (NSE:OBEROIRLTY) posted a solid five-year track record on earnings, with EPS growing about 32% annually. The market did not price that pace into the stock, whose share price rose roughly 23% per year over the period. By contrast, TSR over five years came in around 188%, aided by dividends. In other words, investors who counted only price appreciation would have expected about 24% annualized returns, while the dividend component boosted the total. In the latest week, the stock fell 3.5% as the market slid about 2.5%. The longer-term view remains that the earnings trajectory is intact, but near-term sentiment has cooled; investors should review the underlying fundamentals for signs of durable growth.
Three Asian penny stocks exceed US$100 million market cap with solid fundamentals
January 15, 2026, 12:44 AM EST. In a broad Asia rally, analysts spotlight three penny stocks above US$100 million in market cap that also show solid fundamentals. Asia Medical and Agricultural Laboratory and Research Center (SEHK:1346) trades at HK$1.44, with a market cap near HK$890.67 million and a Financial Health Rating of ★★★★★★. TK Group (Holdings) (SEHK:2283) sits at HK$2.58 and carries HK$2.14 billion in market cap, with a five-star financial health score. Optima Automobile Group Holdings Limited, focused on after-market automotive services in Singapore and China, has a market cap around HK$858.50 million and a five-star score. The picks come from the Simply Wall St screener, reflecting improving earnings and cash flow amid the risk profile of smaller caps.
Gold.com (GOLD) looks overvalued after lengthy rally as DCF shows $17.01 intrinsic value
January 15, 2026, 12:43 AM EST. Gold.com trades around $39.82, after a string of gains: roughly 5.1% over the past week, 25.4% in 30 days, 14.5% year-to-date, 46.3% in the last year, 18.3% over 3 years and 237.7% over 5 years. Despite the run, Simply Wall St scores 0/6 on valuation checks. A DCF model using a 2-stage FCF-to-equity approach pegs the intrinsic value at about $17.01 per share, which implies the current price is about 134.1% above value. The stock also trades at a P/E of about 132.7x, versus the Retail Distributors industry average, suggesting the shares are expensive by traditional metrics. Outlook: the valuation appears stretched; investors may need to weigh momentum against fundamentals.
OneMain Holdings (OMF) valuation after pullback: Excess Returns shows ~8.6% premium
January 15, 2026, 12:42 AM EST. OneMain Holdings trades near $66.10 after a roughly 6% weekly pullback. The stock has posted a 31% gain over 12 months and strong long-term returns, while short-term volatility persists. Valuation checks point to mixed signals. The Excess Returns model yields an intrinsic value of about $60.88 a share, implying roughly an 8.6% premium to the current price; the verdict is ABOUT RIGHT. Inputs include a $28.54 book value per share, a $6.71 stable EPS, a $4.16 cost of equity, and an average ROE around 20%. A Discounted Cash Flow view is cited as of Jan 2026. With consumer credit conditions and rate expectations in focus, funding costs and borrowing trends could affect OneMain's risk and potential.
Tech weakness drags major indices as data and Iran risk weigh on stocks
January 15, 2026, 12:41 AM EST. Stocks closed lower as tech weakness weighed on the market. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 posted 1.5-week lows, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped. E-mini S&P futures and E-mini Nasdaq futures fell. The Magnificent Seven tech names and chipmakers led losses amid rising Iran risk; WTI crude rose to a 2.5-month high, and gold, silver, and copper jumped to new all-time highs. The Fed Beige Book showed activity picking up at a 'slight to modest pace' since mid-November. On the data front, PPI (Producer Price Index) rose 3.0% y/y, retail sales and existing home sales beat expectations. The 10-year yield fell to 4.14%. Anna Paulson from the Philadelphia Fed said rate cuts are possible later this year. MBA mortgage applications jumped; average 30-year fixed rate at 6.18%.
Australian shares hover near nine-week high as miners lead fourth straight gain
January 15, 2026, 12:40 AM EST. Australian shares rose to nine-week highs, chalking up a fourth straight session of gains. Six of 11 local sectors closed higher, led by miners and commodities stocks as investors chased resource exposure.
Asia stocks slip as oil slides after Trump Iran claim; U.S. futures dip
January 15, 2026, 12:27 AM EST.Asian stocks were mostly lower as oil slipped more than $2 a barrel after Trump said he'd been told Iran had halted executions, a claim Tehran signaled would be followed by fast trials. Futures are contracts reflecting near-term moves; U.S. futures edged lower. In Tokyo, the Nikkei fell 0.9% as SoftBank dropped 5.6%, Advantest 4.1% and Tokyo Electron 3.3%. Trip.com slid more than 20% after an antitrust probe. Shanghai fell 0.6%; Kospi rose 0.5%. In New York, Nvidia (-1.4%) and Broadcom (-4.2%) weighed on equities; banks also declined: Wells Fargo -4.6%, Bank of America -3.8%, Citigroup -3.3%. Exxon Mobil (+2.9%), Chevron (+2.1%). Gold fell 0.8%; the yield, or return on 10-year Treasuries, slipped to 4.14%. The dollar strengthened vs the yen; euro at $1.1636.
Ferrari (RACE) Still Demands Premium Despite Share Weakness, Valuation Clash Emerges
January 15, 2026, 12:26 AM EST. Ferrari's stock closed at $353.39, down 3.7% in the last week and 4.1% in the last 30 days, with a 5% YTD decline, though it has risen 50.6% over 3 years and 70.9% over 5 years. The debate over a fair value centers on whether the premium is justified by growth and brand strength. Simply Wall St assigns a valuation score of 1/6. Ferrari's DCF model uses a two-stage free cash flow approach, with €1,279 million FCF in the trailing year and €2,094.67 million projected for 2030, yielding an intrinsic value of $105.35 per share – about 235% below the current price of $353.39, i.e., an implied overvaluation of 235.5%. A P/E lens is also discussed, weighing earnings against growth potential and risk. The piece urges a holistic view beyond headlines.
ASX 200 recovers, eyes 8,950-9,000 as support holds
January 15, 2026, 12:25 AM EST. ASX 200, Australia's benchmark stock index tracking the 200 largest listed shares, rose back from a November trough after an all-time high of 9115 in October. The index fell to 8383 on 21 November for a 7.7% pullback (a retreat from a recent high) before rebounding 497 points (5.9%) into today's high, in line with seasonal strength from mid-December into mid-January. Traders say the chart remains constructive as long as prices hold above support at 8700-8675, derived from December highs and January lows. If that floor holds, the next upside target sits near 8950-9000, with the path shaped by the uptrend.
Saudia Dairy leads Middle East dividend plays as markets retreat
January 15, 2026, 12:14 AM EST. Middle Eastern markets edged lower as geopolitical tensions weighed on sentiment, even as U.S. data provided some resilience. In this environment, dividend stocks offer income and relative ballast. Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff stands out with a roughly 7.07% yield, but faces earnings coverage concerns: a payout ratio around 104.5% and a cash payout ratio near 201.1%. Other high-yield names on the screener span banks and insurers, including National General Insurance at about 7.68%, Emaar Properties at 6.92%, Riyad Bank at 6.34%, Banque Saudi Fransi at 6.19%, and Arab National Bank at 6.02%. The spread of yields ranges from about 5% to near 8%, with ratings varying. Investors will monitor payout sustainability amid regional volatility and evolving macro data.
Middle East Undiscovered Gems: Small-Cap Stocks Edge Forward as Gulf Markets Retreat in Jan 2026
January 15, 2026, 12:13 AM EST. Geopolitical tensions weigh on Gulf markets in January 2026 as oil moves and U.S. rate bets shift. Investors seek small-cap opportunities with strong fundamentals and reform-driven growth. A screener of Middle Eastern Undiscovered Gems flags several names with top Health Ratings: Nofoth Food Products (Revenue Growth 21.36%, Earnings Growth 25.28%), Sure Global Tech (10.11%, 15.42%), Saudi Azm for IT (Debt 3.26%, 17.17% rev, 23.30% earnings); MOBI Industry (Debt 13.81%, 5.67%, 19.69%); C. Mer Industries (Debt 76.92%, 13.56%, 68.93%); Amanat Holdings (Debt 10.86%, 27.51%, -0.92%); Ajman Bank (Debt 53.89%, 16.11%, 18.02%). Adra Gayrimenkul Yatirim Ortakligi in Turkey shows zero debt, a TRY251.9m one-off gain, 26.5% earnings growth, and nine-month revenue of TRY612.99m. Fourth Milling Company in Saudi Arabia has SAR1.90b market cap and SAR646.51m revenue, with notable gross-margin trends. The screener covers 185 stocks; this piece highlights a few top picks.
Undiscovered Gems in Asia: Small-Cap Opportunities to Watch in January 2026
January 15, 2026, 12:12 AM EST. Asia's small-cap rally extends into January 2026 as investors chase earnings resilience. A screener of 2,480 Asian undiscovered gems highlights firms across machinery, materials, and tech. Highlights include Shanxi Huaxiang Group Co., Ltd. with a CN¥10.48 billion market cap, a 12.5% net profit margin and 19.3% earnings growth last year; and Beijing InHand Networks Technology Co., Ltd. with a CN¥5.06 billion market cap and 37.5% earnings growth in the last year. The data show mixed risk profiles, with debt-to-equity ratios (D/E) and health ratings varying across companies. Analysts caution small caps can swing on demand and liquidity, but some firms show robust cash flow as they expand.
ZTO Express Valuation Under Scrutiny as Margin Strength Draws Value Investors
January 15, 2026, 12:10 AM EST. ZTO Express (NYSE: ZTO) trades around $22.50 after a 90-day gain of 18.6% and a 12-month total return of about 26.9%. The shares sit near an inferred fair value of $23.87, suggesting a modest valuation gap. Observers point to strong operating margins and high returns on invested capital as the core drivers of renewed value investor interest. The latest note highlights cost-saving moves-automation, digitization, and AI tools, including remote 3D models, autonomous vehicles, and AI customer service-that have reduced unit costs and headcount. Yet the setup carries risk: intensified price competition and slower parcel growth could compress margins and cast earnings forecasts in a more favorable light. The piece reflects Simply Wall St's own analysis and cautions on buybacks and growth assumptions.
Nordex Valuation Mixed as Momentum Persists; DCF Signals Higher Fair Value
January 15, 2026, 12:06 AM EST. Nordex (NDX1) trades at €32.08 as momentum persists. One-day -2.2%; seven-day -3.08%; 30-day +8.6%; 90-day +35.93%; 1-year +157.05%. The stock sits near an analyst target yet shows an intrinsic discount of about 19.9% to a fair value of €27.75, using a 6.94% discount rate. A separate DCF model puts fair value at €40.06, implying the shares are undervalued at current levels. Backlogs are growing and project delivery is improving, with EBITDA up 64% YoY in Q2 and management guiding for margins near 8%, boosting free cash flow. Risks include softer European onshore demand and pricing pressure from newer turbine technology. Read the full narrative to understand the mix of signals and what might drive the fair value path.
Confluent (CFLT) valuation under scrutiny after share-price strength; DCF signals overvaluation
January 15, 2026, 12:05 AM EST. Confluent's shares hover near $30.57 after a stretch of modest gains, up about 1.3% in the past week and 9.9% over the last year. The valuation is contested. Simply Wall St scores a 0/6 on its valuation checklist. A two-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model puts the intrinsic value at about $25.58 per share, implying a roughly 19.5% premium to fair value and designating the stock as overvalued in this framework. Forecasts suggest growing free cash flow toward 2030, supporting higher revenue, but those projections still back a price below the current level. Investors should weigh growth prospects against the price already priced in. Bottom line: near-term upside looks limited, with meaningful downside risk if multiples contract.
Old National Bancorp Appears Undervalued Despite Price Softness
January 15, 2026, 12:04 AM EST. Old National Bancorp (ONB) trades at $22.85, with a 1.3% year-to-date return and a 3.0% 1-year gain, after small declines over 7 and 30 days. It carries a valuation score of 3/6, indicating the stock is undervalued on roughly half of the checks. The standout is the Excess Returns framework: starting book value of $20.67 per share, stable earnings of $2.85, and a weighted ROE of 11.70% versus a cost of equity of $1.84 per share. The model yields an excess return of $1.02 per share and an intrinsic value of about $48.13, well above the current price. A separate discounted cash flow view and a traditional P/E lens also point to value, though investors should weigh regional-bank risk and cyclicality.
News Corp fair value check: DCF implies slight overvaluation at $26.79
January 15, 2026, 12:03 AM EST. News Corp (NWSA) closed at $26.79, with 7- and 30-day gains as investors weigh print, digital and subscription momentum. The stock scores 1/6 on our valuation checks, signaling limited upside on one metric and questions on others. The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model projects future cash flows and discounts them to today, yielding an intrinsic value of about $25.62 per share-roughly 4.6% below the current price, i.e., the shares appear slightly overvalued. The P/E ratio ties price to earnings and depends on growth and risk expectations. In sum, News looks fair valued to slightly overvalued, with the outlook sensitive to advertising trends and monetization across formats.
Global Payments (GPN) at $77.48; Excess Returns model signals about 64% undervaluation
January 15, 2026, 12:02 AM EST. Global Payments trades near $77.48 after a 28.1% slide over the past year and a 57.6% drop over five years. The stock's move mirrors scrutiny of Global Payments as a leading player in merchant acquiring and digital payments, with long-term trends supportive even as sentiment stays cautious. In valuation terms, the stock scores 5 of 6 on checks. The Excess Returns framework starts from equity value and yields an intrinsic value near $214 per share, implying the current price is about a 63.8% discount. Inputs include a Book Value of ~$95.80, Stable EPS ~$15.28, ROE ~15.02% and Cost of Equity $9.00, producing an excess return of ~$6.28 per share. The result: the stock appears undervalued by roughly 64% versus the price, according to this model, with the P/E lens noted as a common shorthand.
