SYDNEY, January 16, 2026, 16:50 AEDT — After-hours
Macquarie Group Ltd (MQG.AX) shares rose 2.6% on Friday to A$211.86, after swinging between A$206.41 and A$212.07. 1
The move tracked a lift in Australian bank stocks after lenders pushed up fixed mortgage rates, a development traders often treat as a signal on funding costs and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s cash rate — its policy rate. Commonwealth Bank, Westpac, NAB and ANZ were also higher. 2
Macquarie raised fixed home loan rates by 0.25 percentage point across all fixed terms, taking its lowest rate to 5.59% for a one-year term, Canstar reported. “While the majority of borrowers are on variable rates, anyone who was considering fixing may feel like they’ve missed the boat,” Canstar data insights director Sally Tindall said. 3
For Macquarie investors, it matters because the stock sits at the intersection of domestic banking margins and global market mood. Higher fixed rates can help a lender defend margins, but they can also cool demand if borrowers balk.
Macquarie is a diversified financial group spanning asset management, retail and business banking, commodities and markets, and advisory and capital raising. That mix can smooth earnings, but it also means the shares can move quickly when rate expectations or market volatility shift. 4
Separately, an ASX notice published on Friday showed Macquarie had ceased to be a “substantial holder” in Tabcorp Holdings — Australian disclosure language that typically means a stake has fallen below 5%. 5
With the cash session done for the week, attention turns to whether the bank rally carries into Monday’s open, or fades if rate fears cool. Investors will be watching for any further moves in mortgage pricing and how they feed into expectations for the RBA’s February decision.
There is a downside case. If growth or housing activity slows, higher rates can bite, and a sharper swing in markets can wash through Macquarie’s trading and advisory businesses as well as sentiment around the stock.
The next hard catalyst on the calendar is Macquarie’s operational briefing on Feb. 10, with the full-year result due on May 8. 6
