London, Jan 20, 2026, 08:07 GMT — Regular session
- Shares of BAE Systems slipped roughly 1.2% in early London trading
- Defence stocks jumped in January despite a shaky macroeconomic environment
- Buyback update and full-year results on Feb. 18 keep investors focused
BAE Systems (BAES.L) shares dipped 1.2% to about 2,060 pence on Tuesday, snapping a rally that had driven the defence giant to a 52-week peak. The stock fluctuated between 2,056 and 2,077 pence, after closing Monday at 2,086. 1
This shift is significant as BAE stands out in a crowded field pushing European defence stocks higher. The Financial Times notes the Stoxx Europe Aerospace and Defence index has surged almost 15% this month. Saab leads with a 32% gain, followed by Rheinmetall and BAE, both up roughly 22%. 2
Macro jitters returned to the headlines as MUFG’s Europe economist Henry Cook warned that “tariff uncertainty will remain elevated” despite any easing of tensions, following Donald Trump’s renewed threats of new levies on European allies. 3
On Saturday, Trump announced plans to slap an additional 10% tariff on imports from Britain and seven European nations starting Feb. 1, climbing to 25% by June 1 if the U.S. isn’t permitted to purchase Greenland. The move knocked the FTSE 100 down 0.4% Monday, according to Reuters. 4
BAE revealed it purchased 101,668 shares Monday as part of its share buyback program, at a volume-weighted average price of 2,104.69 pence — a figure that gives more weight to larger trades. The company said these shares will be cancelled. The prices paid ranged from 2,081 to 2,135 pence. It also reported acquiring 15,118,920 shares under the second tranche of the repurchase plan, which began July 1. 5
The stock’s sharp rise has turned it into a favored defensive pick for those betting on increased security budgets. BAE shares have jumped 71.5% in the last year, according to Yahoo Finance, while Rolls-Royce — another UK industrial with defence ties — has surged 117% over the same stretch. 6
The trade isn’t one-sided. If geopolitical tensions ease, budget delays clear up, or a tariff dispute worsens risk appetite, funds could exit quickly—especially since the stock is hovering near its recent highs.
Geopolitical tensions didn’t ease Monday: Denmark and Greenland proposed a NATO mission in Greenland and the Arctic, announced Danish Defence Minister Troels Lund Poulsen. Such news often triggers the usual market reaction — buy defense stocks, dump others — though that flips quickly when risk appetite shifts. 7
BAE’s next major event is its full-year results set for Feb. 18. Investors are focusing on cash conversion and order intake, while also monitoring if the buyback pace continues amid ongoing defence-budget updates and tariff news. 8
