New York, January 23, 2026, 10:56 EST — Regular session underway
- Enphase shares remained flat on Friday after surging the previous day.
- Citi raised its rating to Neutral, and Goldman upgraded to Buy, signaling a more optimistic near-term view.
- Investors are zeroing in on early-February results to assess demand and shape their 2026 forecasts.
Enphase Energy, Inc. shares inched up under 0.1% to $40.50 early Friday, after reaching a session peak of $42.51. Solar stocks also climbed, with Sunrun jumping nearly 5% and SolarEdge adding around 1%.
The stock jumped 12.54% Thursday, closing at $40.48, with volume more than double its 50-day average. This surge points to buyers stepping back in after a tough year. Yet, Enphase is still about 43% below its 52-week high, showing this rally is mainly a bounce.
Timing proved crucial as market mood swung to “risk-on” once President Donald Trump backed off tariff threats tied to Greenland, lifting U.S. stocks for a second consecutive day Thursday. This shift fueled gains in clean energy and other high-beta sectors, which had taken a hit earlier this week. Reuters
On Thursday, Citi’s Vikram Bagri upgraded Enphase from Sell to Neutral, raising his price target to $37 from $31. He highlighted “limited downside risk” for the stock, adding that any additional decline would likely require continued market-share losses—something he deems “unlikely.” Bagri also noted that the risks currently tilt “more skewed to the upside” at present levels. TipRanks
Goldman Sachs upgraded Enphase from Neutral to Buy, lifting its price target to $45 from $29, TipRanks reported. The firm pointed to “safe harboring activity,” with customers rushing to lock in tax credits before deadlines. This, they say, probably pushed Enphase’s fourth-quarter volume higher as buyers pulled forward their purchases. TipRanks
Jefferies held onto its Hold rating but bumped up the price target to $37 from $33, betting on Enphase to beat Q4 EBITDA estimates, boosted partly by its storage hardware segment. The firm, however, turned more cautious on 2026, forecasting a 30% drop in microinverter shipments year-on-year. That decline might be softened by a pickup in storage demand later on, fueled by changing net metering rules in Europe — where solar owners get credited for excess energy sent back to the grid.
Enphase manufactures microinverters, the devices that convert solar panel output into usable electricity, along with batteries. Its shares typically surge on hints of demand pull-forwards or inventory changes. Recent analyst upgrades have reignited debate, with traders trying to determine whether the rally is driven by genuine fundamentals or just speculative positioning.
The rally leaves little margin for missteps if upcoming results fail to support the optimistic outlook. Any forecast falling short for early 2026 or signs that demand was merely pulled forward could quickly stall the stock’s recent gains.
Enphase’s next big moment comes February 3, right after the market closes, when it will release its quarterly report. Investors expect fresh data on fourth-quarter results along with updated guidance on demand, channel inventory, and 2026 margins.
