New York, Jan 24, 2026, 14:32 EST — Market closed.
- CAT closed Friday well below the broader market, marking a notable underperformance.
- Price-target revisions surged late in the week as investors turned their focus to upcoming earnings.
- The next checkpoint is the Fed meeting, followed by Caterpillar’s January 29 earnings and guidance.
Caterpillar Inc shares dropped 3.36% on Friday, ending the day at $626.62. The industrial heavyweight now faces a busy week with earnings reports and a U.S. Federal Reserve decision looming.
The drop carries weight since Caterpillar’s earnings often influence machinery stocks linked to construction, mining, and wider capital investment. With the share price already factoring in steady demand, investors want clear signs on orders, pricing, and margins — not merely the headline profit figure.
Strategists note that after a volatile start to the year, the focus is shifting back to earnings and interest rates. “At the end of the day, earnings are the driver,” said Chris Galipeau, senior market strategist at Franklin Templeton. Investors are also preparing for a Fed meeting where policy is widely expected to remain unchanged. 1
Caterpillar saw choppy action Friday, swinging between $623.57 and $646.50 following two consecutive gains earlier this week. The stock has slipped roughly 3% since closing on Jan. 16, according to recent data. 2
The broader market provided scant support on Friday. The Dow slipped 0.58%, while the S&P 500 ended almost unchanged, as investors processed a volatile week and braced for a packed schedule of upcoming reports. “We’re feeling pretty good, but mindful we might have some significant twists and turns,” said Jason Blackwell, chief investment strategist at Focus Partners Wealth. 3
Friday saw analysts updating price targets without changing their ratings. Barclays stuck with a “Hold” rating but bumped its target up to $610 from $555. Wells Fargo stayed bullish with a “Buy” call, raising its target to $702 from $675. Morgan Stanley held firm on a “Sell” rating, slightly increasing its target to $400 from $395, according to compiled data. 4
Several firms have raised their targets recently. MarketBeat put Citigroup at $710 and Jefferies at $700, noting a “Moderate Buy” consensus with an average price target around $637.45. 5
Caterpillar is set to drop its quarterly numbers next. The company plans to unveil fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results at 5:30 a.m. CST on Thursday, Jan. 29, followed by a conference call at 7:30 a.m. CST. 6
Still, a weak outlook could send the stock lower, even if the quarter’s results check out. Signs of cooling end-market demand, slower dealer restocking, or margin squeeze might trigger sharper drops in a stock increasingly seen as a barometer for U.S. industrial momentum.
Peers headed the same way as the weekend approached. Deere slipped 1.52% on Friday, with CNH Industrial down 1.54%. Machinery and transport-related stocks broadly took a hit during the session. 7
Next up: the Fed meets Jan. 27–28, then Caterpillar reports earnings the following morning. Investors will be zeroed in on any shifts in guidance or tone about 2026 demand as U.S. markets reopen Monday. 8
