London, Jan 27, 2026, 09:30 GMT — Regular session.
- Babcock shares slipped 0.34% in early London trading, staying just under their recent 52-week peak
- Company revealed an additional tranche of share buybacks as the programme continues
- On Monday, Jefferies and JPMorgan raised their target prices as investors focus on the upcoming June board handover milestone
Shares of Britain’s Babcock International Group (BAB.L) slipped 0.34% to 1,449 pence by 0930 GMT, following the defence contractor’s announcement of another modest buyback. The stock fluctuated between 1,443p and 1,468p, still trailing its 52-week peak of 1,527p touched on Jan. 14. 1
The drift is significant since the stock has turned into a crowded bet within segments of the UK defence sector, where even minor news can trigger sharp moves. Buybacks — where a company repurchases its own shares and keeps them in treasury — can boost earnings per share by cutting down the share count, though the impact varies based on how large and fast the buybacks are.
On Tuesday, Babcock disclosed a purchase of 6,746 shares on Jan. 26 via J.P. Morgan Securities, averaging 1,457.9094 pence each, with prices ranging from 1,443p to 1,483p. Since July 24, 2025, the company has bought back 7,916,177 shares totaling £88.25 million and plans to keep the shares in treasury. 2
On Jan. 23, Babcock disclosed it purchased 34,839 shares via Jefferies at a volume-weighted average price of £14.6425 each, with individual trades ranging between £14.27 and £14.84. (Volume-weighted average price reflects the average paid, adjusted for trade size.) 3
Broker updates rolled in this week. Jefferies stuck with a Buy rating, boosting its target price to 1,670 pence from 1,400. JPMorgan Cazenove maintained an Overweight rating and nudged its target up to 1,700 from 1,600. 4
Price targets reflect what analysts see as fair value, but they can shift rapidly with changing earnings forecasts. They’re not promises, and often trail the stock price during sharp rallies.
Investors are weighing last week’s leadership shake-up. Chair Ruth Cairnie described outgoing CEO David Lockwood as an “exceptional Chief Executive.” His successor, Harry Holt, said he was “deeply honoured” by the appointment. Babcock confirmed Holt will join the board in June. 5
On Jan. 23, Babcock reaffirmed its FY26 outlook in its third-quarter update, expressing confidence in hitting the 8% margin target for the year ending March 31, 2026. The company noted that most of the year’s forecast revenue is already contracted. It also highlighted potential upside from Indonesian Arrowhead licence deliveries “in year.” Additionally, on Jan. 20, Babcock signed a letter of intent detailing the goals of its Indonesia maritime programme, along with an agreement to sell two more Arrowhead 140 licences, expected to be delivered within the next few months. 6
The stock is now moving more on execution than on surprise headlines: contract ramp-ups, delivery schedules, and cash conversion drive the action. The buyback programme offers consistent support, though the daily volumes reported so far are modest compared to its roughly £7.2 billion market value.
Timing cuts both ways. If Indonesia-related work arrives later than anticipated—or if delivery slips in other programs—the upside mentioned in the trading update quickly evaporates. Then all eyes return to whether the 8% margin target can stand on its own.
Investors will be eyeing any follow-through moves after Monday’s targeted hikes and additional buyback announcements for the remainder of the week. The next major checkpoint arrives in June, when Holt is set to join the board just before the CEO transition.
