Oracle stock rebounds after a bruising week — what traders are watching next for ORCL

Oracle stock rebounds after a bruising week — what traders are watching next for ORCL

New York, Feb 6, 2026, 5:32 PM EST — After-hours

  • Oracle shares were last up about 4.6% at $142.82 in after-hours trading.
  • Recent filings detail a $25 billion bond issuance and an up to $20 billion at-the-market share-sale program.
  • Focus turns to the pace of fundraising, AI-driven cloud spending, and Oracle’s next earnings update.

Oracle Corp shares rose about 4.6% to $142.82 in after-hours trading on Friday, clawing back some of Thursday’s sharp drop. The stock traded between $135.94 and $143.11 during the session as volumes stayed heavy.

The bounce comes as investors keep a tight focus on Oracle’s funding needs for its cloud buildout, an area that has turned into a live wire for big tech. Oracle said earlier this week it expects to raise $45 billion to $50 billion in 2026 to add cloud infrastructure capacity, pointing to contracted demand from large Oracle Cloud Infrastructure customers including AMD, Meta, Nvidia, OpenAI, TikTok and xAI. 1

That matters because the market has turned sensitive to AI-related capital spending — not just how big it is, but who pays for it and when cash comes back. On Thursday, the Nasdaq slid as investors sold tech heavyweights after Alphabet said it could double AI-related capital spending; Oracle fell 7% in that session. “We’re seeing this volatility about whether this investment will translate, ultimately, into results,” said Tom Hainlin, an investment strategist at U.S. Bank Wealth Management. 2

On Friday, the mood shifted. The Dow closed above 50,000 for the first time and the S&P 500 gained 1.97%, with chipmakers rallying as markets leaned into the idea that more data-center spending could still mean more hardware demand. The S&P 500 Software & Services index rebounded, ending a seven-session losing streak, Reuters reported. 3

Oracle’s own disclosures show how much of the debate is now about capital markets mechanics, not just cloud bookings. A Feb. 2 filing said Oracle signed an equity distribution agreement to sell up to $20.0 billion of common stock through an “at-the-market” program — a structure that allows a company to sell shares into the open market over time. The same filing said Oracle completed a $25 billion bond issuance with maturities ranging from 2029 to 2066, with proceeds slated for general corporate purposes that may include capital spending and debt repayment. 4

Another filing on Feb. 5 laid out terms for Oracle’s 6.50% Series D mandatory convertible preferred stock, issued via 100 million depositary shares. The preferred pays a 6.50% dividend on a $100,000 liquidation preference and is set to convert into common stock in early 2029, with the filing detailing a conversion range tied to set rates. 5

Analysts have split the story into two parts: credit risk and equity dilution. Guggenheim analysts said Oracle is “committed to investment-grade debt,” while Barclays analysts wrote that “the combination of extra equity and the mandatory convertible will reduce the debt needs.” Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, said “Oracle’s fortunes are now heavily tied to OpenAI.” Jefferies, meanwhile, said the financing plan “buys time” but could weigh on margins, with free cash flow unlikely to turn positive until fiscal 2029, Reuters reported. 6

Next week could keep pressure on the software group even if Friday’s bounce holds. Reuters’ “Week Ahead” outlook flagged a tech and software shakeout tied to fears AI will upend business models, alongside a heavy calendar of U.S. economic data including a jobs report due Wednesday and CPI due Friday. 7

But the risk case hasn’t gone away. If funding costs rise again, or if demand for cloud capacity cools before Oracle’s spending cycle eases, the stock can swing hard in both directions — and dilution worries tend to surface quickly when companies lean on equity.

The next hard datapoint for Oracle is its next earnings report, expected on March 9, when investors will be listening for updates on cloud demand, capital spending and the pace of share sales. 8

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