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Petrobras Stock Price Rises After $450 Million Petronas Deal as $100 Oil Puts Dividends in Focus (Reuters)
17 March 2026
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Petrobras Stock Price Rises After $450 Million Petronas Deal as $100 Oil Puts Dividends in Focus (Reuters)

RIO DE JANEIRO, March 17, 2026, 19:08 BRT

Petrobras stock climbed Tuesday, boosted by its decision to buy out Petronas’s stakes in two offshore fields for $450 million. Crude’s return above $100 a barrel offered additional tailwind. The U.S.-listed shares recently traded up roughly 1.8% at $19.51. Reuters

Petrobras is doubling down on exports right as Brazil’s fuel policy gets tossed by the oil shock. Brent crude closed at $103.42 a barrel on Tuesday. That rally helps offset Brasilia’s fresh 12% tax slapped on crude exports. Reuters

Payouts are back on the table. Chief Executive Magda Chambriard called higher oil “good” for dividends. Chief Financial Officer Fernando Melgarejo said Petrobras would “love” to hand out extra dividends if prices hold up, but pulled back later, adding there’s no space for an extraordinary distribution this year at this point. Reuters

Petrobras has picked up its option to acquire Petronas’ 50% interests in both Tartaruga Verde and Espadarte Module III. The payment structure: $50 million on signing, $350 million at closing, plus two later payments of $25 million each. The deal still needs approval from Brazil’s oil regulator, ANP. Agência

The Campos Basin fields are pumping about 55,000 barrels a day via a floating production vessel. Full control could let Petrobras hook up more Tartaruga Verde wells to infrastructure it already runs, Reuters noted, making the deal look more strategic than its sale price alone might indicate. Agência

The fallout for Brava Energia is more pronounced. Back in January, Brava lined up a deal to acquire those same stakes—until Petrobras entered the picture. XP’s Regis Cardoso called the move a plus for Petrobras, but not a needle-mover; for Brava, though, it’s a much bigger deal. XP Investimentos

Petrobras’ recent numbers continue to move the tape. Fourth-quarter net profit landed at 15.6 billion reais ($2.96 billion), thanks in part to the oil giant’s record 1.2 million barrels per day in exports earlier this month. The board also signed off on 8.1 billion reais in interest on equity—a payout mechanism for Brazilian shareholders akin to dividends. Reuters

Policy’s where things get sticky. Last week, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s administration ditched federal diesel taxes and slapped on a temporary export levy lasting through year-end. The justification: after that Middle East price jolt, Brazilians needed cheaper fuel. Reuters

Petrobras bumped up diesel prices to distributors by 0.38 real per liter, though the company maintained it wasn’t passing every global price move directly to Brazilian buyers. Chambriard pushed back on concerns over the export tax, insisting higher crude prices more than made up for it. “I was exporting for $60. Now it’s at $100,” she said. Reuters

If crude rolls over and the rally fizzles, or Brasilia decides to ramp up fuel intervention in this election year, things get messier. On Tuesday, the market seemed to zero in on the prospect of more supply, firmer oversight of production, and the risk that steeper prices may stick around longer than many anticipated. Reuters

Stock Market Today

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    March 17, 2026, 9:09 PM EDT. Manulife Financial's shares trade around C$47.31, reflecting volatile recent moves with a 3.1% gain over 7 days but a 5% decline year-to-date. The insurer delivered impressive 14.6% returns in the past year and multi-year gains exceeding 100%. Excess Returns analysis shows Manulife generating returns significantly above investors' required rates, suggesting a 64% undervaluation versus intrinsic value estimates of C$132.59. Despite short-term fluctuations, valuation models highlight potential upside. Investors are reevaluating large insurers amid changing interest rates, regulation, and capital demands. Manulife scores moderately on valuation checklists but stands out on its scale and long-term profitability. This evaluation may guide those pondering whether to buy after robust share price gains.
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