Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) shares fall ahead of earnings amid rising capex outpacing revenue gains

Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Shares Slip as $200 Billion AI Push Challenges Cash Flow

NEW YORK, July 23, 2026, 04:22 EDT — Premarket trading has begun in the U.S., with standard cash trading set to start at 09:30 EDT.

  • Alphabet Class A stock was set to open down 3.4% at $330.48 in premarket trading.
  • The capital expenditure forecast for 2026 increased to a range of $195 billion to $205 billion.
  • Of the reported $9.11 diluted EPS, $6.26 came from equity gains.

Shares of Alphabet Inc. fell 3.4% in early premarket activity as investors reacted to the growing expenses involved in monetising AI demand.

Alphabet increased the midpoint of its 2026 capital spending by $15 billion, setting it at $200 billion. This figure is higher than the $185.7 billion in trailing operating cash.

This is a scale comparison rather than a projection. Quarterly free cash flow dropped to a negative $5.9 billion.

Headline profit was less consistent. Equity-security gains contributed $6.26 per diluted share, representing roughly 69% of the $9.11 overall total.

Reuters reported adjusted earnings of $2.85 per share, falling short of the LSEG forecast of $2.89 by around 1%.

Performance remained robust. Revenue climbed 24% to $119.8 billion. Google Cloud revenue surged 82% to $24.8 billion.

MetricQ2 2026Q2 2025Change
Revenue$119.8$96.4Up 24%
Google Cloud revenue$24.8$13.6Rose 82%
Cloud operating margin35.6%20.7%Increase of 14.9 points
Capital spending$44.9$22.4Doubled
Operating cash flow$39.1$27.7Climbed 41%
Free cash flow-$5.9$5.3Reversal of $11.2
Capital spending/revenue37.5%23.3%Gain of 14.2 points

Based on Alphabet’s published data. Figures are in billions of dollars and may include rounding.

Operating margin at Google Cloud climbed significantly, but its annual profit increase represented just 27% of the growth in Alphabet’s overall capital expenditures.

The comparison is not exact since infrastructure also supports Search and additional products. However, it does shed light on why cash conversion influenced the share movement.

CFO Anat Ashkenazi told analysts that “The demand still outpaces that investment.” The outlook for spending rose as a result of more rapid capacity delivery. Reuters

Search continued to provide support, with search and other revenue up 17% to $63.3 billion. YouTube advertising revenue increased by 13% to $11.1 billion.

Emarketer analyst Nate Elliott described the results as “impressive.” He noted that the increase in search backs Alphabet’s position that AI enhances search. AP News

Google continues as the third-biggest cloud player, trailing Amazon.com Inc. and Microsoft Corp. . The latter two are set to report results next week, providing a wider gauge of capital outlays.

Thomas Monteiro, a senior analyst at Investing.com, commented that “the room for error is shrinking every quarter.” He noted that after negative cash flow, the cost of capital is increasing. Reuters

Risks: The release of Gemini 3.5 Pro has been pushed back. Lower demand or more spending could lengthen the cash crunch.

Investors are set to focus on third-quarter operating cash flow and projections for spending in 2027. Ashkenazi has indicated that a further substantial rise is planned for next year.

Shan Ahmed Khan is a senior markets reporter at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, technology and macroeconomic trends. A graduate of the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS), he previously worked in investment research and market analysis. His coverage helps readers understand the key developments influencing global financial markets and emerging industries.

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