Sandisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) gains 7.6%, recouping just a quarter of last week’s decline
27 July 2026
2 mins read

Sandisk (NASDAQ:SNDK) Shares Fall 11% After Wall Street EPS Surpasses Forecasts

NEW YORK, July 27, 2026, 11:10 EDT — U.S. regular session. Sandisk shares were down 11% in U.S. regular trading after Wall Street estimates for earnings per share exceeded the company’s stated guidance.

  • At 10:54 a.m. EDT, shares were down 10.7% at $1,282.55.
  • The session shifted from a 5.3% increase to a 14.5% decline.
  • The preliminary EPS consensus stands at $33.38, which is above the management’s upper guidance limit of $33.

Sandisk Corporation dropped 10.7% to $1,282.55 as of 10:54 a.m. EDT Monday, after opening at $1,456.01.

The price climbed to $1,512.94 before falling to $1,228.11, marking a 19.8 percentage point move compared to Friday’s closing level.

The move came after shares rose 4.2% before the opening bell. Early purchases were seen, but the overall chip sector rally later lost momentum.

This development is significant as Sandisk is set to announce its fiscal fourth-quarter results on Aug. 5. Investors currently anticipate results close to the upper end of the company’s forecast.

Initial estimates may be revised ahead of the report:

Fiscal Q4 metricSandisk guidancePreliminary consensusConsensus vs midpoint
Revenue$7.75 billion-$8.25 billion$8.24 billion+3.0%
Adjusted EPS$30.00-$33.00$33.38+6.0%

Sandisk announced its range on April 30. Benzinga provided Monday’s consensus snapshot.

The EPS projection is 38 cents higher than the top end of the guidance. Revenue falls just $10 million short of the range’s upper limit.

This leaves limited scope for a straightforward beat. EPS could exceed the midpoint yet fall short of consensus.

The PHLX Semiconductor Index dropped 3.9%, after earlier climbing 1.1%. Twenty-seven out of thirty of its components were down.

CompanyPriceSession moveReported P/E
Sandisk Corporation $1,282.55down 10.7%44.6x
Micron Technology $877.34off 4.7%19.9x
Western Digital Corporation $484.57declined 6.8%29.0x

Data from the market were collected from 10:54 to 10:55 a.m. EDT.

Sandisk dropped 2.3 times more than Micron, and 1.6 times more than Western Digital. The company’s reported P/E stood roughly 125% higher than Micron’s.

The underlying performance stays robust. Revenue for the fiscal third quarter jumped 97% from the previous quarter to $5.95 billion. Adjusted earnings per share totaled $23.41.

Datacenter revenue rose 233% from the previous quarter to reach $1.47 billion. By the start of fiscal Q4, Sandisk had finalized five multiyear customer contracts.

Chief Executive David Goeckeler described Q3 as a “fundamental inflection point.” According to him, the new model is producing “structurally higher and more durable earnings power.” SEC

Motley Fool analyst Marc Guberti said Sunday, “Expect a beat-and-raise type of quarter.” Guberti pointed to Sandisk’s latest beats and robust memory demand as reasons for his outlook. The Motley Fool

A Seeking Alpha column published on July 23 presented an opposing perspective, referencing concerns about peak-cycle valuations, AI-driven memory compression, and potential demand risks.

Sandisk will hold its earnings call on Aug. 5 at 4:30 p.m. EDT. The company’s Investor Day is scheduled for Aug. 13 at 9 a.m. EDT.

Risks: Sandisk highlights unpredictable pricing, cyclical sales patterns, and the risk of inaccurate forecasts. Reduced demand or difficulties fulfilling long-term contracts may impact margins.

Monday’s session presents a difficult challenge. Buying interest may remain high even as the share price declines.

Sandisk is required to surpass expectations that are currently set higher than its stated EPS range.

What is causing SNDK to fall steeply today?

At 10:55 a.m. Eastern, SNDK was last seen at $1,277.51, down approximately 11.1%. Trading spanned a wide band between $1,228.11 and $1,512.94 for the session. The PHLX Semiconductor Index shed 3.9%, while Micron declined about 5.2%. Sandisk released no new statement on Monday, suggesting selling is sector-driven. The catalyst remains unclear. MarketWatch

What is the timing of Sandisk’s upcoming key catalyst?

Sandisk is set to announce fiscal fourth-quarter and annual results on August 5. The company’s conference call starts at 4:30 p.m. Eastern, after market close. Management has also arranged an official investor day for August 13. Earnings are scheduled for nine days from now, just outside the standard seven-day threshold. These events continue to be the primary short-term catalysts for the company. SanDisk Investor Relations

Which quarterly figures does Sandisk need to report?

Management forecasted quarterly revenue between $7.75 billion and $8.25 billion. The non-GAAP gross margin is projected at 79% to 81%. Guidance for non-GAAP diluted EPS is set between $30 and $33. At the midpoints, both revenue and EPS would see sequential gains of roughly 34.5%. Whether these targets are met will depend on pricing and the datacenter mix. SEC

How robust were Sandisk’s most recent quarterly results?

Fiscal third-quarter revenue hit $5.95 billion, marking a 97% increase over Q2. Compared to the same quarter last year, revenue surged 251%. Non-GAAP EPS stood at $23.41, compared with $6.20 in the preceding quarter. Gross margin was 78.4%. GAAP net income came in at $3.615 billion. Datacenter revenue grew 233% sequentially to $1.467 billion, while consumer revenue fell 10% from the previous quarter. SEC

Have long-term agreements helped lessen the cyclical nature of Sandisk’s NAND business?

As of April 3, remaining performance obligations stood at $41.6 billion, with about 15% anticipated to become revenue within the next twelve months. At that time, Sandisk had three executed agreements and finalized two more in fiscal Q4. Reuters noted that contract durations range from one to five years and include both financial commitments and price minimums and maximums. Details regarding the values of the more recent contracts have not been disclosed, resulting in partial visibility. Although the agreement structures provide some clarity, fluctuations in NAND demand and pricing can still be significant. SEC

How does the importance of datacenter demand compare to other business areas?

Datacenter posted $1.467 billion, accounting for nearly 25% of revenue in Q3. Edge led with $3.663 billion, making up about 62% of total sales. Consumer revenue declined 10% compared to the prior quarter, closing the quarter at $820 million. Growth responsibility has shifted more heavily to enterprise storage. A slowdown in datacenter activity would impact both product mix and pricing leverage. SEC

Is Sandisk’s balance sheet strong enough for the $6 billion repurchase?

At the end of Q3, cash and cash equivalents totaled $3.735 billion. The company reported no debt and maintained $1.5 billion in undrawn revolving credit. Operating cash flow for the quarter was $3.038 billion, and adjusted free cash flow, a non-GAAP figure, came in at $2.955 billion. The board approved a $6 billion share repurchase plan, set to be financed with operating cash flow, amounting to approximately 3% of the current $200.4 billion market capitalization. Management is not required to purchase the full amount authorized. SEC

Is SNDK considered undervalued following today’s drop?

SNDK was last at $1,277.51, putting its market value close to $200.4 billion. The trailing P/E stood at roughly 44.4, calculated from $28.76 in EPS. Shares were trading about 46% lower than their June 22 high. The decline is sharp, but the initial valuation was especially high. Trailing earnings still reflect several earlier quarters that were much weaker. The stock’s value hinges mainly on how fiscal 2027 margins hold up. investors.com

Iwona Majkowska is a financial markets journalist at TS2.tech, specializing in stocks, artificial intelligence and technology. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics, she previously worked in equity research and financial analysis before focusing on market reporting. Her daily coverage helps investors follow major developments across U.S. and global markets. Follow Iwona Majkowska on Google News.

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