D-Wave Quantum Shares Surge 20% Following AT&T Agreement, Boosting Market Cap by $1.2 Billion
28 July 2026
2 mins read

D-Wave Quantum Shares Surge 20% Following AT&T Agreement, Boosting Market Cap by $1.2 Billion

NEW YORK, July 28, 2026, 04:12 EDT — U.S. premarket; regular session ended.

  • D-Wave stock ended Monday at $19.51, up 20.4% with strong trading volume.
  • AT&T reduced one of its network workloads from nearly an hour to less than 15 seconds.
  • Preliminary estimate: Monday’s surge boosted market value by approximately $1.21 billion, or about 49 times D-Wave’s projected total revenue for full-year 2025.

D-Wave Quantum Inc. surged 20.4% on Monday, finishing the session at $19.51. AT&T Inc. increased its commercial quantum-computing partnership.

The surge in the market far exceeded D-Wave’s operational scale. An early estimate values the increased equity at roughly $1.21 billion. This amounts to nearly 49 times the company’s projected revenue for 2025.

The disclosure did not include the value of the contract. Investors reacted to evidence of operations. According to AT&T, a network task was reduced from about one hour to less than 15 seconds.

This results in a reduction in elapsed time by a factor of at least 240 to one. AT&T intends to run tests related to outages, technician dispatch, network planning, and managing traffic.

“The speed we’re seeing with D-Wave challenges what’s currently possible,” Lucus Haugen, a data-science director at AT&T, said. AT&T’s current agentic tools cut customer downtime by 12 million hours during 2025. SEC

According to CEO Alan Baratz, “leading enterprises are beginning to turn to quantum computing for solving real business problems.” AT&T is among those assessing D-Wave’s upcoming gate-model systems. SEC

D-Wave switched its listing from the New York Stock Exchange on Monday. Trading on Nasdaq started with the company keeping its existing symbol, as executives rang the opening bell.

The stock declined 3.1% over the previous week, closing Friday at $16.21. On Monday, trading volume hit 48.1 million shares, roughly 3.4 times higher than the daily average from the week before.

Quantum stockLatest priceMonday moveMarket value
D-Wave Quantum $19.51up 20.4%$7.17 billion
Rigetti Computing $15.64up 10.4%$5.25 billion
IonQ $35.92up 9.4%$13.33 billion

Monday’s trading determines the most recent quoted prices, market values and session changes.

The movement among peers is significant. It indicates that investors viewed AT&T as a broader sign of commercial quantum demand, instead of an occurrence limited to D-Wave.

Benchmark analyst Gary Mobley initiated Buy ratings for each of the three firms. His price target for D-Wave is $30, representing an upside of roughly 54% from Monday’s finish.

The financial base is still modest and inconsistent. Revenue for the first quarter dropped 81% to $2.9 million, as the same period last year benefited from a significant system sale.

Demand metrics improved. The company reported bookings of $33.4 million, and remaining performance obligations stood at $42.4 million. D-Wave projected that 54% of these obligations would convert to revenue over the next 12 months.

Liquidity provides a buffer. As of March 31, cash, equivalents and short-term investments amounted to $588.4 million. The quarter saw $45 million used in operating activities.

The upcoming test is set for August 6, before markets open. Investors are expected to focus on revenue conversion, new bookings, and any details provided on AT&T economics.

The warning is evident. The contract’s value has not been revealed, revenue continues to fluctuate, and operating expenses increased significantly following the Quantum Circuits acquisition. Initial technical progress might not lead to substantial sales.

At present, Monday’s surge highlighted momentum instead of revenue. D-Wave’s August figures will need to demonstrate if registered demand can help close that divide.

What drove QBTS higher, and what is the current share price?

D-Wave finished July 27 at $19.51, gaining 20.36% as 48.3 million shares changed hands. Trading volume was around 59% higher compared to its 65-day average. The surge came after news of a broadened AT&T partnership and D-Wave’s first day of trading on Nasdaq. Benchmark initiated coverage with a Buy rating and set a $30 price target. Despite the jump, the stock is still 58% below a prior high of $46.75. Multiple triggers occurred simultaneously, making it difficult to pinpoint a single cause for the move. MarketWatch

What is the significance of the expanded AT&T agreement?

An initial AT&T workload that previously took about an hour was reduced to under 15 seconds. Assuming 15 seconds, this suggests a performance boost of around 240-fold. AT&T intends to broaden testing to include outages, routing, network planning and traffic management. The company is also assessing future gate-model systems for potential use in quantum security. Financial details were not provided, making it difficult to judge any immediate revenue effects. Business Wire

What is the upcoming key catalyst for QBTS?

D-Wave is set to release its second-quarter earnings on August 6, prior to the opening of U.S. markets. The company will hold its conference call that day at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time. Consensus forecasts point to approximately $4.04 million in revenue with a per-share loss of $0.10, but these projections are based on limited data and could shift rapidly. Analysts may place greater emphasis on bookings, remaining performance obligations, cash usage and guidance. D-Wave Investor Relations

Is robust booking activity resulting in actual revenue generation?

The conversion pace has yet to catch up with headline bookings. Bookings in the first quarter totaled $33.4 million, while reported revenue stood at $2.86 million. As of March 31, remaining performance obligations on customer contracts amounted to $42.4 million. Management anticipated that 54%, or approximately $22.9 million, would convert within the next twelve months. Revenue can experience significant quarter-to-quarter variation due to large system deliveries. The August update is expected to clarify whether the planned conversion schedule is still achievable. SEC

Is D-Wave’s cash position sufficient, or could shareholders face further dilution?

As of March 31, cash and marketable securities stood at $588.4 million. Operating cash burn for the first quarter was $45.0 million, more than twice the same period a year ago. Maintaining this rate, current liquidity would last approximately 3.3 years. This projection does not account for changes in expenses, customer payments, or capital spending. D-Wave completed the acquisition of Quantum Circuits with a $250 million cash payment and the issuance of 10.43 million shares. The pending $100 million CHIPS award has not closed and would need $100 million in shares. Short-term liquidity remains solid, though there is still a risk of dilution. SEC

Does the current valuation reflect expectations of significant commercial achievement?

D-Wave closed at $19.51 on Monday, giving the company a market value near $7.2 billion. Its revenue for the last four reported quarters totals about $12.5 million. This values the stock at nearly 575 times its trailing sales, an unusually high ratio. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was a loss of $32.8 million, not a gain. The valuation is therefore based on anticipated future growth, not current profitability. QBTS shares can react significantly even to small shifts in revenue projections. Investing.com

Will switching from NYSE to Nasdaq affect the investment rationale?

Shares started trading on Nasdaq on July 27, retaining the QBTS ticker. The move replaced the previous NYSE listing, with no alterations to the security itself. Decisions on Nasdaq listing and index inclusion are handled separately. Monday’s rise of 20.36% followed AT&T developments and a rating from Benchmark. The switch in listing alone does not impact revenue or cash flow. NASDAQ Trader

What is the reliability of the gate-model roadmap following Quantum Circuits?

D-Wave spent $250 million in cash and issued 10.43 million shares to complete its purchase of Quantum Circuits. The company’s roadmap outlines an aim for roughly 175 physical qubits by the end of 2028. Plans then include reaching 1,000 physical qubits and 10 logical qubits by 2030. Management has set a goal of achieving a 100-logical-qubit system before 2032 concludes. These milestones are set by the company and are not independently validated or guaranteed. Significant delays would undermine the acquisition’s strategic rationale and valuation. SEC

What are the key downside risks ahead of earnings?

Revenue remains uneven as large system sales can skew quarterly results. First-quarter revenue dropped 81% year over year to $2.86 million. Operating expenses increased 125% to $56.5 million amid higher development and transaction costs. One customer contributed 29% of first-quarter revenue, underscoring concentration risk. AT&T’s contract terms and deployment timeline have not been disclosed. A revenue shortfall, slower bookings or accelerated cash burn could swiftly erase Monday’s gains. SEC

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company serving customers around the world. A graduate of the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), he has more than two decades of experience in telecommunications, satellite services and technology ventures. He writes about satellite communications, space technology, artificial intelligence and the stock market, with a particular focus on technology companies, semiconductors, emerging industries and the trends shaping global innovation. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook. or Linkedin.

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