Sandisk Shares Drop 7% Amid AI Valuation Concerns Linked to Apple-China Memory Uncertainty

Sandisk Shares Drop 7% Amid AI Valuation Concerns Linked to Apple-China Memory Uncertainty

NEW YORK, August 24, 2026, 14:00 EDT — Sandisk stock slid 7% as investors weighed the potential AI-driven premium in light of fresh risks to its Apple supply relationship and memory sales in China.

  • Sandisk was down 7.27% at $1,480 in Monday’s opening session.
  • Last week’s rally, sparked by policy, was undone by reports suggesting Apple may turn to Chinese memory suppliers.
  • By 14:00 EDT, the drop had wiped out roughly $17.0 billion in equity value.
  • Sandisk’s extended contracts help mitigate volume risk, though pricing may face pressure from Chinese supply.

Sandisk Corporation dropped 7.27% to $1,480 as of 14:00 EDT on Monday. The stock rebounded after touching an intraday low of $1,416.56 but continued to rank among the steepest fallers in the memory sector. Regular trading was underway on the Nasdaq.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:SNDK

The change came after reports indicated that the U.S. might permit Apple Inc. to obtain DRAM chips from China’s CXMT and NAND flash memory from YMTC. Such a move would restore a supply line that Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick had voiced opposition to as recently as last week. There has been no announcement of any sourcing deal.

Sandisk’s loss exceeded the drops seen at other storage peers. Tape action indicates investors targeted NAND pricing risk rather than a general pullback from tech.

CompanyPriceMoveQuote time
Sandisk $1,480.00-7.27%14:00 EDT
Micron Technology $907.68-6.11%13:38 EDT
Western Digital $433.90-5.56%13:35 EDT
Seagate Technology $793.26-6.68%13:33 EDT
Intraday prices on August 24, 2026. Sources: SNDK, MU, WDC and STX.

The hit to market capitalization was significant. Sandisk’s shares dropped $116.08, and with 146.42 million shares in circulation, roughly $17.0 billion in equity value was wiped out. Nonetheless, the stock rebounded 4.48% from its lowest point during the session.

KC Rajkumar from Lynx Equity Research described the selloff as an “overreaction.” He stated that current qualification gaps and constrained capacity reduce the immediate risk posed by Chinese suppliers. Analyst note coverage

The policy outlook is still unclear. Apple requested approval from Washington to purchase CXMT chips amid higher memory prices pressuring product margins. Reuters stated in June that Apple, the White House and CXMT all declined to comment on the request.

YMTC competes more directly with Sandisk, as both firms offer NAND flash products. The company’s parent aims to raise $4.9 billion in a Shanghai IPO, planning to invest the funds in boosting manufacturing capabilities and research. While Apple may face delays in qualifying the chips, the move highlights the future supply implications.

Sandisk metricLatest reportedComparison or outlook
Fiscal Q4 revenue$8.965 billionUp 51% from the previous quarter
Fiscal Q4 gross margin84.6%Increase of 6.2 percentage points quarter over quarter
Fiscal Q4 datacenter revenue$2.977 billionGrew 103% against the prior quarter
Fiscal Q1 2027 revenue guide$10.3-$10.8 billionMidpoint value of $10.55 billion
Fiscal Q1 2027 adjusted EPS guide$44-$46Midpoint is $45
Company-reported results and guidance, released August 5, 2026. Sandisk

The earnings foundation is notably robust. Datacenter sales in the fiscal fourth quarter rose twofold from the previous quarter, and gross margin climbed to 84.6%. The revenue outlook for the current quarter, at its midpoint, suggests sequential growth of 17.7% from $8.965 billion.

Management aims to limit the industry’s typical swings between boom and bust. Eight separate negotiated business structures account for approximately half of bit shipments projected for fiscal 2027, and close to two-thirds for fiscal 2028. The agreements feature mechanisms for both volume and pricing.

Chief Financial Officer Luis Visoso stated that Sandisk plans to “return 100 percent of excess cash” following investment in the business. The company is aiming for annual revenue growth in the mid-to-high-teens range between fiscal 2028 and 2030.

BrokerRecommendationTargetDate
Bernstein SocGenBuy$3,000August 17
CitiBuy$2,100August 14
MizuhoBuy$1,900August 14
RBC CapitalHold$1,600August 14
Wells FargoHold$1,550August 14
Recent analyst recommendations and targets. Investing.com

Wall Street maintains a bullish stance, though estimates vary considerably. The consensus price target from 24 analysts stands at $2,126.17, suggesting 43.66% potential gain from Monday’s $1,480 close. The gap between recent Hold ratings and Bernstein’s $3,000 projection underscores how much hinges on ongoing strength in NAND pricing.

Risks: Chinese suppliers might qualify sooner, expand capacity, or offer lower contract pricing. A wider slowdown in AI spending could dampen demand further. Sandisk’s contracts help reduce the risk related to volume, although they may not shield all products or customers from a drop in NAND prices.

The following key point is if Sandisk remains above Monday’s $1,416.56 low. Should it finish below that mark, the day’s recovery would be nullified. Confirmation that Apple has locked in Chinese supply would refocus the market from policy developments to contract prices and client risk.

NASDAQ:SNDK • Intraday dashboard

Sandisk Stock Falls 7% as Apple-China Memory Risk Tests AI Premium

Market data observed August 24, 2026 at 14:00 EDT (20:00 Europe/Warsaw). U.S. regular session open.
Sandisk Corporation · Memory & storage
Share price
$1,480.00
−$116.08 · −7.27%
Equity value lost
≈$17.0B
Share move × 146.42M shares
Market value
$216.7B
At the 14:00 EDT snapshot
Consensus target
$2,126.17
+43.66% implied upside · 24 analysts

Session range: rebound, but still deep in the red

LOW$1,416.56 CURRENT$1,480.00 OPEN $1,494.09 HIGH$1,517.00 The stock recovered 4.48% from its low; previous close was $1,596.08.

Why the shares moved

Weekend reports said Washington may allow Apple to source DRAM from CXMT and NAND from YMTC. No supply deal has been announced.
Direct SNDK exposureNAND pricing
Near-term counterweightTight supply & qualification
Long-term threatChinese capacity growth
Visible confirmationApple supplier approval

Memory and storage peer tape

SNDKSTXMUWDC −7.27%−6.68%−6.11%−5.56% Quote times range from 13:33 to 14:00 EDT on August 24.

Recent analyst recommendations

BrokerViewTargetDate
Bernstein SocGenBUY$3,000Aug 17
CitiBUY$2,100Aug 14
MizuhoBUY$1,900Aug 14
RBC CapitalHOLD$1,600Aug 14
Wells FargoHOLD$1,550Aug 14

Q4 operating momentum versus Q3

Total revenueDatacenterEdge Q3 $5.95BQ4 $8.97BQ3 $1.47BQ4 $2.98BQ3 $3.66BQ4 $5.43B Fiscal Q3Fiscal Q4

Forward frame

Q1 FY2027 revenue guide$10.3B–$10.8B
Midpoint sequential growth+17.7%
Q1 adjusted EPS guide$44–$46
Q4 gross margin84.6%
Forward P/E6.91×
FY2028 contracted bits≈ two-thirds

Investor read-through

The selloff prices a threat to future NAND scarcity. Sandisk's contracts and qualification barriers protect the near term, but they do not remove the risk of lower market prices if YMTC expands supply.

Risk monitor

Watch for Apple supplier approval, CXMT or YMTC capacity additions, contract-price resets and a break below $1,416.56. An AI-capex slowdown would hit the demand side at the same time.
Leokadia Głogulska

Leokadia Głogulska is a financial and technology journalist at TS2.tech. Her coverage ranges from stocks and artificial intelligence to space technology and developments across global markets. She graduated from Wrocław University of Economics and Business and worked in financial analysis before becoming a business journalist.

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