Marvell Shares Drop 6.9% as Google AI Revenue Timeline Pushes Out to 2029

Marvell Shares Drop 6.9% as Google AI Revenue Timeline Pushes Out to 2029

SANTA CLARA, California, August 28, 2026, 07:21 (EDT) — Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) fell 6.9% as investors reacted to Google’s adjusted forecast, placing significant AI-related revenue gains further out to 2029.

  • Shares of Marvell dropped 6.9% to $224.77 during premarket trading as of 06:57 EDT.
  • Revenue for the fiscal second quarter increased by 37%, reaching an all-time high of $2.739 billion.
  • Data-center revenue increased by 46%, with yearly forecasts rising as well.
  • Significant Google-related revenue is expected to be concentrated in fiscal 2029.

Marvell Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRVL) shares dropped 6.9% ahead of the opening bell on Friday, cutting about $14.6 billion from the company’s implied market capitalization.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:MRVL

Timing, rather than demand, proved decisive. Investors discovered that the largest revenue boost from Marvell’s collaboration with Google on custom chips might not materialize until fiscal 2029.

The premarket price of $224.77 came after Thursday’s closing level of $241.45. By 06:57 EDT, roughly 1.22 million shares had traded MarketWatch quote.

Marvell posted record revenue of $2.739 billion in its fiscal second quarter. The company’s sales increased by 37% and surpassed the midpoint of its guidance by $39 million company release.

MetricFiscal Q2 2027Comparison
Revenue$2.739 billionup 37% from prior year
Adjusted EPS$0.94$0.93 expected
Data-center revenue$2.17 billionup 46% from prior year
GAAP net income$308 million$194.8 million in the same period last year
Operating cash flow$605.5 million22.1% of revenue

Adjusted earnings totaled $0.94 per share, slightly above the Wall Street forecast of $0.93. GAAP diluted earnings increased to $0.33.

Revenue from data centers increased by 46% to approximately $2.17 billion. The segment accounted for nearly 80% of sales for the quarter and continues to drive the company’s valuation.

Management increased its fiscal 2027 revenue outlook to about $12 billion, up from $11.5 billion. The forecast for fiscal 2028 revenue was also raised to approximately $18 billion, compared with $16.5 billion previously.

Revenue for the third quarter is projected at $3.15 billion, with a margin of error of 5%. Adjusted earnings per share are forecast at $1.10.

However, the agreement with Google shifted the benchmark. Chief Executive Matt Murphy stated that current goals already account for some associated revenue, and a significantly greater impact is projected for fiscal 2029.

The timeline defied predictions set by last week’s deal. The custom-chip alliance holds the potential to bring in up to $120 billion by fiscal 2033 Reuters report.

Following the results, at least five brokerages lifted their price targets. The LSEG median target stood at $275, around 22% higher than the premarket quote.

Valuation continues to require rapid action. Marvell was valued at 58.4 times forward earnings, in contrast to Broadcom’s 32.2 times, following a 184% increase this year.

Risks: Revenue timing could be affected by concentrated customer base, supply limitations for advanced chips, and delays in program launches. The elevated valuation further increases the impact of any misses to long-term AI projections.

NASDAQ: MRVL · Fiscal Q2 2027

Record quarter, delayed payoff

The market discounted strong results because Google-linked revenue is weighted toward fiscal 2029.
Market data: Aug. 28, 2026, 06:57 EDT
Financials: quarter ended Aug. 1, 2026
Premarket price
$224.77
−6.91% vs. $241.45 close
Implied value erased
≈$14.6B
$16.68 per share × 875.8M shares
Quarterly revenue
$2.739B
Record; +37% year over year
Data-center revenue
$2.17B
+46%; about 79% of sales

Revenue scale and forward targets

FY26 actualFY27 targetFY28 target≈$8.3B≈$12B≈$18B

Management lifted fiscal 2027 guidance by about $500 million and fiscal 2028 guidance by about $1.5 billion.

Quarterly scorecard

MetricQ2 FY27Signal
Revenue$2.739B+37%
Adjusted EPS$0.94$0.93 est.
GAAP net income$308M+58%
Operating cash flow$605.5M22.1% margin
Non-GAAP gross margin58.9%Profitable scale

Guidance and timing

SignalCurrent viewInvestor meaning
Q3 revenue$3.15B ±5%More than 50% growth implied
Q3 adjusted EPS$1.10 ±$0.05Above Q2 run-rate
Google contributionSome through FY28Larger in FY29
Investor DayOct. 6, 2026Next major detail point

Valuation and analyst frame

Premarket price
$224.77
Median target
$275
52-week high
$329.88

The median target offers roughly 22% upside from premarket. Forward P/E is 58.4×, versus 32.2× for Broadcom.

Sources: Marvell investor relations; Reuters/LSEG; MarketWatch/FactSet. Extended-hours quotes can move sharply on lower liquidity.
Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company working with customers worldwide. His experience spans satellite communications, telecommunications and technology ventures. He graduated from the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and writes about space technology, artificial intelligence, stocks and the technology companies and industries he follows. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook or LinkedIn.

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