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PG&E Stock Rebounds 2.4%; a $2 Billion Capex Cut Leaves the Wildfire Discount Intact

4 min read
Roman PerkowskiRoman Perkowski

OAKLAND, California, September 4, 2026, 10:57 p.m. PDT — PG&E Corporation NYSE:PCG shares rose 2.4% Friday to $14.30. The rebound still leaves the stock 20.3% below its August 27 close. A smaller capital plan eased borrowing needs, while shrinking the utility’s visible growth runway.

  • PG&E closed at $14.30 after trading between $13.74 and $14.32.
  • The 2027 capital plan fell 14.9% to $11.4 billion.
  • The $2 billion deferral cuts expected debt financing by the same amount.
  • Management kept 2027 core earnings guidance at $1.78 to $1.82 per share.

The investor trade-off is unusually clear. Less borrowing supports the balance sheet. Less investment can also restrain rate-base and earnings growth after 2027.

PG&E has stopped publishing its five-year capital and earnings-growth plans beyond next year. The strategic review may take 12 to 18 months, according to S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Friday’s bounce recovered only part of the break

PG&E closing prices, dollars per share

Seven-session pathDaily closes
PG and E shares fell from 17 dollars 95 cents on August 27 to 13 dollars 27 cents on August 31, then closed at 14 dollars 30 cents on September 4. $18.5$16.5$14.5$12.5 $17.95$14.30 Aug 27Aug 31Sep 2Sep 4 A mobile chart shows PG and E falling sharply into August 31 before recovering to 14 dollars 30 cents on September 4. 18.516.514.512.5 $17.95$14.30 Aug 27Aug 31Sep 4

Price and volume through the . Source: Yahoo Finance market data. U.S. equities are closed for the weekend.

PG&E traded between $13.74 and $14.32 Friday. Volume reached 47.0 million shares, down sharply from the three preceding sessions.

The gain outpaced Edison International NYSE:EIX, which rose 0.8%. Sempra NYSE:SRE fell 0.6%. PG&E’s move therefore carried a company-specific recovery element.

The larger move remains a selloff. The shares closed Aug. 27 at $17.95, before California’s wildfire-liability legislation disappointed utility investors.

The balance-sheet gain has a growth cost

PG&E’s 2027 capital plan, billions of dollars

Previous$13.4bn
Revised$11.4bn
INVESTMENT DEFERRED$2.0bnor 14.9% of the former plan
DEBT NEED REDUCTION$2.0bncompany estimate for 2027
STILL PLANNED$11.4bnCalifornia investment next year
PG&E says critical safety work and compliance obligations remain funded. Other work will slow, including some connections and technology upgrades.

Sources: PG&E’s Sept. 2 investor update and Reuters. Percentages are TS2 calculations.

The revised $11.4 billion plan is 14.9% below the former $13.4 billion figure. PG&E says expected debt needs will fall by the full $2 billion difference.

Critical wildfire and compliance programs remain funded, the company said. Deferred work includes some housing links, renewable connections and technology upgrades.

Large-load projects beyond an initial 1.6 gigawatts may also wait. That detail connects the financing dispute with California’s expanding electricity demand.

Management reaffirmed 2026 core earnings of $1.64 to $1.66 per share. It introduced a 2027 range of $1.78 to $1.82, matching the $1.80 LSEG consensus at midpoint.

Earnings met consensus; capital returns did not appear

Reported investor expectations versus PG&E’s announcement

BARCLAYS CAPEX EXPECTATION$3.5bn cut$2.0bn cut$1.5bn smaller
JEFFERIES BUYBACK HOPE≥$500m yearlyNone announcedUnmet in update
LSEG 2027 CORE EPS$1.80 consensus$1.80 midpointMatched
≈7.9× Friday’s $14.30 close divided by the $1.80 midpoint. This is a simple forward core-earnings multiple, not a GAAP valuation measure.

Analyst expectations reported by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Earnings consensus reported by Reuters. Multiple calculated by TS2.

The update therefore delivered earnings visibility without the capital return some investors wanted. Barclays had expected a $3.5 billion capex cut, S&P Global reported.

Jefferies had looked for a sizable payout increase or annual buybacks of at least $500 million. PG&E announced neither measure.

Friday’s close equals about 7.9 times the 2027 core-earnings midpoint. The low multiple carries a warning: wildfire rules and long-term growth remain unusually uncertain.

Chief Executive Patti Poppe said, “Something has to change so that we can better serve our customers.” The board’s review covers financial, regulatory and corporate-structure options.

Risks: A favorable policy compromise could rerate the shares quickly. Further legislative failure, a major fire or weaker credit access could deepen the discount. Deferred work may also slow new-load growth.

The next evidence arrives through quarterly review updates and California policy talks. Until then, $14.32 is Friday’s recovery high. The Aug. 27 close remains 25.5% above the stock.

Sources

Roman Perkowski

About the author

Roman Perkowski

Roman Perkowski is a senior markets reporter at TechStock² covering company news, technology shares and economic developments across global equity markets. He graduated from the Cracow University of Economics and previously worked in investment research and corporate finance. Follow him on Google News.