AI Stock Frenzy: Growth Stocks Go Parabolic as Tech Rally Surges

AI Stock Frenzy: Growth Stocks Go Parabolic as Tech Rally Surges

  • Tech surge: U.S. indices are near record highs – Nasdaq hit ~22,680 (up ~15% YTD) and the S&P 500 around 6,664 [1] – as investors chase AI-driven growth stocks.
  • Nvidia & Microsoft: NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) is up ~60% versus last year [2] and briefly hit all-time highs (~$195 in early Oct) on booming AI demand. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) closed around $514 on Oct. 17 (market cap ~$3.8 trillion) [3], with analysts lifting its 12-month target to ~$618 (20% above current) [4] as Azure/cloud/AI sales accelerate.
  • AI chip boom: Key chipmakers are surging. AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) stock has nearly doubled in 2025 [5] after signing massive AI deals (6 GW GPU supply to OpenAI and 50,000 GPUs with Oracle) that could generate “more than $100 billion in new revenue” [6]. Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) is up ~70% YTD [7] on its own AI pivot (recent OpenAI accelerator chip deal), with Q3 sales beating estimates by +22% [8].
  • Cybersecurity strength: CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) stock is near all-time highs (~$485) and up ~56% YoY [9]. Its cloud-native, AI-powered security platform remains in high demand: Wall Street bullishness is strong (30 of 34 analysts rate CRWD a “Buy,” average 12‑month target ~$495 [10]). CEO George Kurtz sums it up: “This is how we stop breaches at the speed of AI,” highlighting how CrowdStrike uses AI for real-time threat defense [11].
  • Hot growth picks: Analysts have handpicked new names too. The Motley Fool recently named design-software maker Figma, law-enforcement tech Axon, and restaurant-platform Toast as top $1,000 growth bets [12] [13]. For example, Axon (NASDAQ: AXON) is a long-time winner – it’s been a “30-bagger” over the past decade with >20% annual revenue growth every year [14]. Toast (NYSE: TOST) now serves ~148,000 eateries (a 24% YoY jump) [15], making it “essential” software for restaurants. (In healthcare, Eli Lilly’s diabetes/weight-loss drugs drove 38% sales growth last quarter, underlining that some investors seek growth outside tech [16].)
  • Bullish forecasts vs. high valuations: Wall Street remains overwhelmingly bullish on many AI leaders. Loop Capital calls the current era the next “Golden Wave” of AI adoption, lifting NVIDIA’s price target to $250 [17]. Wedbush’s Dan Ives quips that the AI rally is an “all-night party” just getting started [18]. Yet some caution is warranted: stocks are richly valued. AMD now trades around 40× expected 2026 earnings – even higher than NVIDIA’s multiple [19] – leaving “little room for error” if growth disappoints [20]. As Citron’s Andrew Left warns of Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR), its meteoric ~360% YTD run may be “absurd” relative to fundamentals [21].

Markets & AI: Rally Amid Record Highs

U.S. markets enter the week in a buoyant mood, shrugging off recent headwinds. Major indices closed Oct. 17 near all-time peaks (Dow ~46,200, S&P 500 ~6,664) [22], buoyed by blockbuster earnings and the promise of Fed rate cuts. Technology and AI-related stocks are powering the gains: the Nasdaq, in particular, has jumped about +15% so far this year [23]. Investors point to robust corporate results (58% of S&P companies beat Q3 forecasts [24]) and cooling inflation/interest-rate pressures.

Big tech remains center stage. NVIDIA’s incredible momentum illustrates the theme: its GPUs are the backbone of the AI boom. In the latest quarter (FY Q2 2026), NVDA’s revenue surged 56% to $46.7 billion [25], driven almost entirely by data-center AI chips ($41.1 billion of sales [26]). The stock flirted with a record near $195 in October – about 58% higher than a year ago [27] – and analysts still see upside. “Loop Capital’s Ananda Baruah said we are entering the next ‘Golden Wave’ of GenAI adoption, with NVDA at the front end” [28], leading to higher price targets (consensus now in the low-to-mid $200s [29]).

Microsoft’s rally highlights the AI shift beyond chips. MSFT stock, closing around $514 on Oct. 17, is up roughly +23% year-over-year [30], lifting its market value toward $3.8–4.0 trillion. In September-quarter results, Microsoft saw broad growth – revenue +15% to $281.7 billion and Azure cloud up 34% [31] – and CEO Satya Nadella is reorganizing the company around AI. As Nadella remarked, “We are in the midst of a tectonic AI platform shift” [32], underscoring that Microsoft is directing vast resources (e.g. $17.4B on Nvidia GPUs, cloud deals) into AI. Wall Street appears convinced: 32 of 34 analysts rate MSFT a buy, with a $618 consensus target (~20% above current) [33].

Semiconductors & AI Deals

While NVDA shines, other chipmakers are enjoying the AI lift too. AMD’s stock typifies this surge. After a relatively quiet 2024, AMD has exploded: shares have climbed ~92% YTD [34]. This run was fueled by mega AI contracts. In early October, AMD struck a multi-year deal to supply 6 GW of next-gen GPUs to OpenAI (with warrants up to 10% of AMD’s equity) and followed with Oracle’s commitment to buy 50,000 MI300-series GPUs [35]. Management forecasts these wins could translate to over $100 billion of new revenue over four years [36]. Investors cheered: AMD stock spiked 34% on Oct. 6 and briefly touched a record ~$239 [37]. Analysts have rushed to raise targets: for example, Bank of America, Jefferies, and HSBC now pencil in ~$300 per share [38] (implying roughly +25–30% upside). The market value of AMD now exceeds $350 billion, making it one of the largest chip companies after NVIDIA and Intel [39].

Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) is another standout. Its stock is up about +70% YTD [40], reflecting booming demand for both its AI-oriented chips and software. In Q3 FY2025, Broadcom reported $15.95 billion revenue (+22% YoY) and $1.69 non-GAAP EPS, handily beating forecasts [41]. Crucially, management cited surging AI-driven chip demand and a major new deal with OpenAI. On Oct. 13, Broadcom and OpenAI announced a plan for Broadcom to design 10 gigawatts of custom AI accelerator chips for OpenAI’s data centers [42]. This news alone sent AVGO stock up roughly 10% in one day. Analysts have followed suit: JPMorgan now puts a $400 price target (Piper at $375, Macquarie at $420), and most maintain “Buy” ratings [43], largely valuing Broadcom’s unique position in chips and VMware software. Broadcom is even being touted as a potential “next $2 trillion” tech giant if the AI momentum continues [44]. (For context, AVGO trades around $349 now [45], well above its 52‑week low, and far surpassing year-ago levels.)

Cybersecurity and Other High-Fliers

Not all growth is in semiconductors. Cybersecurity leader CrowdStrike is benefiting from the AI+cloud wave. CRWD stock trades around $484 (Oct. 17 close), up ~56% over the past year [46], vastly beating the S&P 500. Its Falcon platform is AI-centric (with features like “Charlotte” the AI analyst automating threat response), and demand is hot. Institutional investors (e.g. Wipro partnership, Gartner “Visionary” rating [47]) have reinforced confidence. Late last week Oppenheimer reaffirmed an Outperform on CRWD, and TD Cowen raised its target to $580 (implying ~20% upside) [48]. Most of roughly 30 analysts still say “Buy,” averaging a 12‑month target near $495 [49]. As Kurtz puts it, CrowdStrike’s vision is “autonomous cybersecurity at scale,” aiming to stop breaches “at the speed of AI” [50].

Another sector leader is Palantir (NYSE: PLTR), a data/AI software firm with heavy government exposure. Palantir has been one of the hottest stocks: the TS2.Tech team notes PLTR is up ~360% in the past 12 months [51] (and a mind-boggling +1,800% since its 2020 IPO). Its record Q2 (July) results – first-ever $1.0 billion revenue (+48% YoY) and positive GAAP profit – plus huge contracts (e.g. up to $10 billion Army deal, £1.5 billion UK defense program) have driven the rally [52]. But recent volatility highlights risk: a leaked Army memo about a prototype network briefly knocked PLTR ~7.5% on Sept. 26, though the issues were later downplayed [53]. Wall Street’s view is split. Bulls like Wedbush’s Dan Ives see Palantir as AI’s gold standard: he called the AI boom an “all-night party” that’s “only at 10:00 p.m.,” i.e. still in early innings [54]. Others are skeptical: short-seller Andrew Left (Citron) famously calls Palantir’s valuation “absurd,” arguing its fair value is closer to $65–70 [55] (vs. ~16× Q2 sales today). The median 12-month target for PLTR is around $160 (nearly its current price) [56], suggesting investors see some ceiling without further catalysts.

Top Picks & Analyst Outlook

Beyond mega-cap names, analysts have spotlighted smaller “growth” stories. The Motley Fool’s recent list of “3 stocks to invest $1,000” included Figma (design software), Axon (law-enforcement tech), and Toast [57] [58]. These firms share explosive growth prospects but also correspondingly rich valuations. For instance, Figma (NYSE: FIG) only IPO’d in July but already grew revenue ~48% last year [59]. Axon (NASDAQ: AXON) is farther along – a leader in body cams and evidence systems – and has delivered >20% revenue growth every year for a decade [60]. Toast (NYSE: TOST) has expanded its restaurant POS and management platform into 148,000 locations (24% annual growth) [61]. (Notably, Toast isn’t profitable yet but is carving out a niche in a fragmented market.) Our roundup shows that fund managers believe a little money can go a long way with the right picks [62], though they caution these “moat” stories carry high multiples.

Overall, Wall Street remains bullish on 2025’s AI playbook. Almost all analysts rate Microsoft and Nvidia as buys [63] [64], and the community is lifting targets across the board. Loop Capital’s AI optimism for Nvidia (“Golden Wave”) justifies a ~$250 target [65]. Meanwhile, even tech underdogs get attention: this week Nasdaq’s own analysts listed CrowdStrike and Eli Lilly among their top picks. Lilly (NYSE: LLY) benefits from blockbuster diabetes and weight-loss drugs (Mounjaro/Zepbound), with Q2 revenues +38% to $15.6 B [66] and profits surging (66% of Rx growth in these new drugs). The consensus is LLY will keep growing earnings ~32–76% annually in 2025–26 [67], earning it a “long-term healthcare leader” tag.

However, the consensus narrative comes with caveats. Many growth names now trade at stratospheric valuations, making them vulnerable if sentiment sours. As TS2 points out for AMD, a ~40× forward P/E and >100× trailing P/E leave “little room for error” [68] if execution slips. Intel’s renewed competition and potential U.S.-China export curbs could also challenge chipmakers [69]. Broadcom’s stock already fetches >50× forward earnings [70]; a disappointing quarter or regulatory setback (e.g. EU antitrust probe into its VMware deal) could trim its run.

Key takeaway: The last few days of October 2025 show investors deeply embracing the AI growth story. Top picks like NVDA, AMD, AVGO and CRWD are priced for robust expansion – and analysts largely expect more gains. Yet seasoned experts remind readers that today’s “can’t-miss” stocks often carry high risk if reality falls short of hype. As Loop Capital’s Baruah enthused, NVIDIA is “at the front end of another leg of stronger-than-anticipated demand” [71]. Still, as Citi’s Ryan Detrick quipped in a market wrap, even a hot rally needs breathing room. Investors should balance the euphoria with vigilance: some growth favorites might keep surging, but others could be running up valuations where “absurd” becomes a word even bulls cannot ignore [72].

Sources: Current market and stock data from TS2.Tech [73] [74] [75] [76] and Reuters [77] [78]. Analyst picks from Motley Fool/Nasdaq [79] [80]. Expert quotes and forecasts from Reuters [81] [82] and TS2.Tech commentary [83] [84]. All citations preserved in text.

Top Five AI Stocks I'm Buying Now

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A technology and finance expert writing for TS2.tech. He analyzes developments in satellites, telecommunications, and artificial intelligence, with a focus on their impact on global markets. Author of industry reports and market commentary, often cited in tech and business media. Passionate about innovation and the digital economy.

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