AMD Shares Rise 4.9% on Server-CPU Outlook as Forecast Grows by $37 Billion to $201 Billion

AMD Shares Rise 4.9% on Server-CPU Outlook as Forecast Grows by $37 Billion to $201 Billion

SANTA CLARA, California, August 26, 2026, 04:53 EDT – Shares of AMD climbed 4.9% after the company’s server-CPU market forecast increased by $37 billion, lifting the total projection to $201 billion.

  • AMD finished at $479.18, rising 4.9%, following an upgrade to Strong Buy from Raymond James.
  • The company increased its target to $641 and forecast the server-CPU market will reach $201 billion by 2030.
  • The surge increased AMD’s market capitalization by approximately $37 billion on trading volume of 19.0 million shares.

Shares of Advanced Micro Devices rose on Tuesday following a Wall Street upgrade that positioned server processors as the next significant AI revenue stream. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) gained 4.9% to close at $479.18.

Stock chart for NASDAQ:AMD

Raymond James analyst Simon Leopold raised his rating on AMD to Strong Buy from Outperform and boosted his price target to $641 from $565, suggesting a potential 33.8% gain from Tuesday’s closing price.

Leopold projects that server-CPU revenue will grow at a compound annual rate of 44%. His outlook estimates the market will hit $201 billion by 2030, with $168 billion attributed to AI-related workloads. The core argument is that CPUs manage accelerators, memory, and networking within AI architectures.

The share surge was notable for being triggered by an analyst’s call. AMD added around $37.1 billion to its market value. Trading volume hit 19.0 million shares, figures from AMD’s price history show.

Operational data has improved further. AMD delivered all-time high revenue for the second quarter, reaching $11.5 billion, a 50% increase from a year earlier. Data Center revenue surged to $6.7 billion, accounting for 58% of total revenue and more than doubling compared to the prior year.

Q2 2026 metricResultInvestor signal
Total revenue$11.5 billion; up 50% from a year agoAll-time high
Data Center revenue$6.7 billion; more than twice prior yearRepresents 58% of total
Client revenue$3.1 billion; up 23% YoYRyzen sales stay firm
Gaming revenue$779 million; down 31% YoYSemi-custom weakness weighs
Embedded revenue$977 million; up 19% YoYIndicates wider rebound
Non-GAAP gross margin56%Aligned with Q3 forecast

AMD forecast third-quarter revenue at $13.0 billion, give or take $300 million. Analysts’ estimates were at $12.52 billion. The chipmaker expects an adjusted gross margin of 56%.

CPU market-share statistics back up the claims. In the first quarter, AMD captured 33.2% of x86 server unit shipments and accounted for 46.2% of server-CPU revenues. The disparity indicates that EPYC chips are being used in more premium deployments.

Analyst opinionRecommendationPrice targetPotential upside from $479.18
Raymond James, August 25Strong Buy$64133.8%
Citi, June 12Buy$57520.0%
46-analyst averageBuy$553.7215.6%

Much execution is already reflected in the valuation. Following the surge, AMD’s market capitalization stood at roughly $795 billion. Its trailing price-to-earnings multiple was near 123. The average target price of $553.72 leaves significantly less room for gains compared to the projection from Raymond James.

Intel maintains its lead in server shipments, as Nvidia steps into the CPU market with Vera. Arm-based chips are increasing competition in the x86 segment. As a result, AMD must translate its recent share increase into consistent gains in revenue and margins.

The next sector benchmark arrives with Nvidia’s results following Wednesday’s close. Elevated hyperscaler investment would reinforce AMD’s demand outlook. Stricter customer spending may reveal the extent of optimism reflected in both share prices.

Risks: The $201 billion projection from Raymond James is an estimate rather than guaranteed income. Growth could be hindered by competition, limited supply, reliance on a small group of clients, or a downturn in the gaming cycle. Additionally, AMD relies on external foundries for advanced manufacturing processes.

NASDAQ: AMD · Investor dashboard

Server CPUs become the new AI earnings lever

Raymond James' $201 billion market forecast pushed AMD 4.9% higher. The operating test is whether EPYC share gains sustain Data Center growth and a 56% gross margin.
Market data through August 25, 2026
Close 16:00 EDT · after hours 18:08 EDT
Prepared August 26, 2026, 04:57 EDT
Regular close
$479.18
+$22.38 · +4.90%
Market value
$795.0B
≈+$37.1B in one session
Volume
19.0M
August 25 regular session
After hours
$481.66
+0.52% at 18:08 EDT

What moved the stock

$400$460$520$580$640 $456.81Prior close $479.18Aug. 25 close $553.72Consensus target $641Raymond James
Price moveConsensus targetFresh bull target

Q2 revenue mix

Data Center
$6.7B
Client
$3.1B
Embedded
$977M
Gaming
$779M
Data Center generated 58% of AMD's $11.5 billion quarterly revenue. It more than doubled year over year, while Gaming fell 31%.

CPU share: volume versus value

0%10%20%30%40% 33.2%Unit share 46.2%Revenue share
Mercury Research, Q1 2026 x86 server market. Higher revenue share indicates a premium product mix.

Financial signals and expectations

MetricLatestChange / benchmarkReading
Q2 revenue$11.5B+50% YoYRecord
Data Center revenue$6.7BMore than doubledCore bull case
Q3 revenue guide$13.0B ± $0.3BConsensus was $12.52BAbove Street
Q3 adjusted gross margin56%Flat with Q2Scale must offset mix
Trailing P/E≈123×Premium valuationExecution-sensitive
Consensus target$553.72+15.6%Below Raymond James

Why it rose

The upgrade changed the revenue lens. Raymond James expects CPUs, not only AI accelerators, to capture a large share of agentic-AI infrastructure spending. AMD's 46.2% server revenue share gives the forecast an operating bridge.

What confirms it

Sustained EPYC share gains, Data Center growth above company growth, the $13 billion Q3 guide, and a gross margin holding near 56% would support the repricing.

Risks

$201 billion is an analyst estimate, not backlog. Intel, Nvidia and Arm compete for server workloads. Foundry dependence, customer concentration and weak Gaming revenue can pressure margins.
Marcin Frąckiewicz

Marcin Frąckiewicz is the founder and CEO of TS2 Space, a satellite communications company working with customers worldwide. His experience spans satellite communications, telecommunications and technology ventures. He graduated from the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH) and writes about space technology, artificial intelligence, stocks and the technology companies and industries he follows. Follow Marcin Frąckiewicz on Google News, Facebook or LinkedIn.

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