New York, January 16, 2026, 10:20 EST — Regular session
- American Airlines shares fell early Friday, underperforming several U.S. airline rivals.
- United is boosting its Chicago O’Hare operations to hold onto its top spot at the airport.
- Investors are eyeing American’s Jan. 27 earnings for signs on pricing power and cost trends.
Shares of American Airlines Group Inc dropped roughly 1% on Friday as investors weighed a tougher battle with United Airlines at Chicago’s O’Hare. The hub’s capacity, gate availability, and corporate contracts remain key factors that could shift pricing power.
Timing is crucial. Airlines are pushing premium seating and loyalty programs to keep profits steady, but contested hubs can quickly turn that approach into a race to the bottom on prices.
American is treating Chicago as a proving ground. The airline is working to rebuild its presence there just as the U.S. airline sector approaches earnings season, a period when forecasts on demand and expenses often shift stocks more than the actual results.
American fell 1.1% to $15.55 in morning trading, after briefly touching $15.75. United dropped around 0.5%, Delta barely moved, and Southwest edged up slightly; the U.S. Global Jets ETF slipped a bit.
American Airlines calls O’Hare its third-largest hub and is rolling out its biggest spring schedule there, adding about 100 peak-day flights to top 500 daily departures and extending seasonal transatlantic service to Paris and Dublin. United plans nearly 650 daily flights to roughly 200 destinations from O’Hare this summer. “This (rivalry) is like nothing else in U.S. aviation,” said DePaul University professor Joseph Schwieterman. American’s strategy chief Steve Johnson described the gate loss as “a temporary loss for us,” while consultant Robert Mann noted, “Travelers tend to benefit in contested hubs.” (Reuters)
The key issue: can American increase flights without slashing fares? Gate access—the spots where planes dock to board—can limit scheduling and trigger cascading delays if the airline pushes too hard.
American has bolstered its position by snapping up gates and upgrading its fleet, while also targeting higher-yield travelers with premium services in Chicago. United, meanwhile, has focused on operational reliability and expanding its local footprint.
Yet the O’Hare showdown cuts both ways. If the airlines mirror each other route-for-route, customers could be the short-term winners—not the profit margins. A dip in demand might leave too many seats fighting for too few passengers.
American Airlines will report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings on Jan. 27 at 7:30 a.m. CT, the company announced. The key focus for traders will be on any updates regarding capacity discipline, cost management, and whether the Chicago expansion is driving up revenue per seat instead of pushing fares down. (American Airlines Newsroom)
