NEW YORK, January 1, 2026, 20:23 ET — Market closed
- American Airlines shares last closed flat at $15.33 in the final session of 2025.
- Oil finished 2025 sharply lower, keeping airline fuel costs in focus as trading resumes Friday.
- Traders are watching Friday’s U.S. data slate and a late-January earnings window for fresh guidance.
American Airlines Group Inc (AAL.O) shares last closed unchanged at $15.33 in the year’s final trading session on Dec. 31, before the New Year’s Day holiday shuttered U.S. stock markets on Thursday. The stock traded about 27.7 million shares that day, the company’s historical price data show. 1
With trading set to resume on Friday, investors are taking fresh cues from energy markets. Fuel is a major, fast-moving cost for airlines because jet fuel prices tend to move with crude oil and refining conditions.
The other near-term question is pricing power — how much airlines can charge relative to capacity, or the number of seats they put into the market. American’s next quarterly update should also shed light on unit revenue, a key measure of revenue per seat mile.
Oil prices finished 2025 with an annual drop of nearly 20%, with Brent settling at $60.85 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate at $57.42 on Dec. 31. “U.S. shale producers were able to hedge at high levels,” BNP Paribas commodities analyst Jason Ying said. The next OPEC+ meeting is on Jan. 4, keeping supply policy — and by extension airline fuel costs — on traders’ radar. 2
U.S. stocks ended the final session of 2025 lower, with the S&P 500 down 0.74% and the Nasdaq off 0.76% on Dec. 31. Despite that late pullback, both indexes posted double-digit gains for 2025. 3
Airline shares often move with expectations for consumer demand and with swings in energy prices. American competes mainly with Delta Air Lines and United Airlines on many routes, where premium demand and pricing discipline have been recurring industry themes.
Separately, American has said it will begin an expanded partnership that makes Citigroup the exclusive issuer of its AAdvantage co-branded credit cards starting in January 2026, a company filing showed. Co-branded cards let customers earn miles on everyday spending, feeding the airline’s loyalty ecosystem.
Loyalty revenue matters to airlines because banks typically buy miles in bulk to reward cardholders, providing cash that can be steadier than ticket sales. Investors will watch for any early read on the program’s economics and customer uptake.
Before Friday’s open, traders will parse weekly initial jobless claims due at 8:30 a.m. ET and U.S. construction spending at 10:00 a.m., according to the New York Fed’s national economic calendar. Data that reshapes rate expectations can quickly ripple into travel and transport shares. 4
Next week brings higher-stakes U.S. releases, including the December employment report on Jan. 9 and the December consumer price index on Jan. 13, the Bureau of Labor Statistics schedule shows. Those reports could influence views on growth and discretionary spending in early 2026. 5
For American, the next major catalyst is fourth-quarter results, which market calendars currently estimate around Jan. 22, though the company has not confirmed a date. Investors will look for guidance on capacity, unit costs and unit revenue heading into 2026. 6
Technically, AAL traded between $15.23 and $15.41 in the Dec. 31 session and closed at $15.33, market data showed. Holding above the recent low keeps the stock in its late-year range, while a break higher would likely need support from earnings.
For now, crude remains the immediate swing factor because jet fuel prices tend to follow it, even if not line-for-line. Supply headlines can move oil quickly, and airlines often react in tandem.
The bigger test comes later in January, when American details what it sees in bookings and fares after the holiday travel rush. That outlook will help investors judge whether lower fuel costs translate into stronger margins in 2026.
