New York, Jan 28, 2026, 10:50 EST — Regular session underway.
- American Airlines shares climbed roughly 1%, bouncing back after sliding 7% the day before.
- The airline projected adjusted profits for 2026 that exceed Wall Street’s estimates, though it warned that first-quarter revenue will take a hit from the storm.
- Investors are focused on how quickly operations bounce back and await the Federal Reserve’s policy decision set for Wednesday.
Shares of American Airlines Group Inc. climbed 0.9% to $13.68 in early trading Wednesday, rebounding after a 7% drop the previous day. The decline came as investors reacted to a quarterly profit miss and new weather-related disruptions. 1
This move is crucial as American aims to prove its premium strategy can boost earnings this year, despite ongoing disruptions from severe weather and staffing issues that continue to throw daily operations off course.
On Tuesday, the airline projected adjusted earnings for full-year 2026 between $1.70 and $2.70 per share, surpassing analysts’ consensus of $1.97. However, it cautioned that Winter Storm Fern could slash first-quarter revenue by $150 million to $200 million and reduce capacity by roughly 1.5 percentage points, based on available seat miles—a key industry metric. “This impact of this storm is greater than any storm in the history of our company,” CFO Devon May told Reuters. 2
American highlighted longer-term gains with a record fourth-quarter revenue of $14.0 billion and a full-year high of $54.6 billion. The airline also plans to cut debt by $2.1 billion in 2025 and expects free cash flow to top $2 billion in 2026. CEO Robert Isom said the company is “positioned for significant upside in 2026 and beyond,” focusing on customer experience, fleet upgrades, partnerships, and loyalty programs. 3
Investors in airlines swiftly react to any hint that disruptions might erode profit margins, particularly as the revenue mix increasingly depends on higher-paying passengers, while the economy cabin shows more volatility.
One clear risk: if cancellations and delays drag on beyond the company’s forecasts, first-quarter revenue could take a bigger hit and cost pressures might intensify. Investors tend to lose patience quickly with “later in the year” promises, especially when trading shifts to a risk-off mode.
Risk appetite remains solid, with the S&P 500 topping 7,000 for the first time Wednesday. Yet airline stocks haven’t followed the broader market’s lead amid this volatile stretch. 4
Traders will zero in on the Fed’s policy update Wednesday, looking for clues as they assess whether America’s network is stabilizing ahead of Thursday. Management expects operations to be nearly back to normal by then.
