New York, Feb 7, 2026, 19:31 EST — Market closed.
- Arm’s U.S.-listed shares finished Friday sharply higher after a volatile, earnings-heavy stretch.
- Traders are weighing AI data-center spending signals against a memory squeeze hitting smartphones.
- Next focus: Monday’s open and Arm’s March 24 “Arm Everywhere” event.
Arm Holdings PLC’s sponsored ADRs rose 11.6% on Friday to close at $123.70, extending a two-day rebound of about 18% after midweek turbulence. The shares traded between $112.53 and $124.31, with about 15.0 million shares changing hands. 1
The late-week burst came as chip stocks rallied on expectations they would benefit from a fresh wave of spending on AI data centers. Amazon said it planned a more than 50% jump in capital expenditures this year, following a similar announcement from Alphabet, and the semiconductors bid followed. “there’s real demand for AI products,” said Ross Mayfield, an investment strategy analyst at Baird. 2
That AI optimism is running into a separate problem in phones. “Unfortunately, I think that the whole sector is impacted by memory,” Qualcomm CEO Cristiano Amon said, as the industry wrestles with a shortage and price increases. “The results largely reflect broader industry trends rather than Qualcomm-specific issues,” said eToro analyst Zavier Wong, while Arm’s CFO Jason Child said royalty revenue over the next year could be hurt by as much as 2% because memory constraints can choke handset supply; Counterpoint Research expects shipments of advanced smartphone chips to fall 7% in 2026. 3
Earlier in the week, Arm posted fiscal third-quarter revenue of $1.24 billion, up 26%, and adjusted profit of 43 cents per share. Licensing revenue of $505 million came in slightly below FactSet estimates, while royalty revenue rose 27% to $737 million, and Arm forecast fourth-quarter revenue of $1.47 billion, above the LSEG-compiled consensus. “smartphones will have to deal with high cost of memory which will be a headwind for Arm,” said Kinngai Chan, a senior research analyst at Summit Insights; CEO Rene Haas described AI-related demand as “beyond no end in sight.” 4
Arm’s model is split between licensing and royalties. Licensing is the upfront fee customers pay to use Arm’s designs; royalties are the per-chip take Arm collects as those designs ship in phones, servers and other devices.
Investors get the next real look on March 24, when Arm plans to host its “Arm Everywhere” event in San Francisco, running from 10:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. Pacific, with a live webcast. The company has pitched it as an AI-focused day with partners and executives. 5
But the rebound has not settled the bigger argument: whether AI infrastructure demand can keep masking softer patches in consumer electronics, and how quickly any handset squeeze shows up in royalties. A few quarters of lumpy licensing or a sharper smartphone slowdown can still bite, especially when the trade is skittish.
For Monday’s session, the near-term question is simpler: can Arm hold Friday’s jump once the weekend is over, or does the stock slip back into the post-earnings chop. Beyond that, traders are circling March 24 for details that could reset expectations.
