Canadian Natural Resources vs Brookfield Renewable: Why income investors are watching these energy stocks this week

Canadian Natural Resources vs Brookfield Renewable: Why income investors are watching these energy stocks this week

TORONTO, Jan 5, 2026, 09:51 EST

  • Brookfield Renewable set a Jan. 30 conference call for fourth-quarter results.
  • Canadian Natural Resources is due to pay a quarterly dividend on Jan. 6.
  • Oil prices held near recent levels as traders weighed Venezuela-driven supply headlines.

Brookfield Renewable said on Monday it will release fourth-quarter 2025 results on Jan. 30 and hold a conference call at 9 a.m. ET to discuss the figures and business initiatives. GlobeNewswire

The timing matters for income-focused investors who are resetting portfolios at the start of the year and weighing cash-return stories across energy. Canadian Natural Resources offers exposure to crude-linked cash flow, while Brookfield Renewable gives investors a renewable-power angle that is more sensitive to rates and project financing.

Oil prices were steady on Monday even after the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, with Brent at about $61 a barrel and U.S. WTI near $58. JPMorgan analysts led by Natasha Kaneva wrote that “These dynamics are currently not reflected in the back end of the oil futures curve” — the prices for crude delivery years ahead — as traders debate how quickly Venezuela can lift output and add supply. Reuters

Canadian Natural Resources is due to pay a quarterly cash dividend of C$0.5875 per share on Tuesday to shareholders of record as of Dec. 12, the company said in a Nov. 6 release. The producer said 2025 marked its 25th consecutive year of dividend increases. TradingView

The Calgary-based company has forecast 2026 production of 1.59 million to 1.65 million barrels of oil equivalent per day — a standard industry measure that converts oil and gas output into a single unit — and set a C$6.43 billion capital budget, down from 2025 levels, Reuters reported in November. Reuters

Brookfield Renewable said on Jan. 2 it intends to redeem all of its Series 7 preferred units for cash on Jan. 31 at C$25 each, for an aggregate cost of C$175 million funded from available liquidity. Preferred units are securities that typically pay a set distribution and sit ahead of common equity in a company’s capital structure. Brookfield Renewable Partners

The comparison is less about which side of the energy transition wins and more about what kind of risk an investor wants to own. Canadian Natural competes with oil sands peers such as Suncor and Cenovus and tends to move with crude and natural gas, while Brookfield Renewable — alongside large renewable developers such as NextEra Energy — leans on long-term power contracts and access to capital.

Recent retail-investor commentary has also framed the trade-off in blunt terms. A Dec. 30 Motley Fool column by William Dahl flagged Canadian Natural as an income stock but argued for waiting before buying, while separate Motley Fool Canada pieces weighed Canadian Natural against Brookfield Renewable and tagged Canadian Natural as a “hold” at current levels. The Motley Fool

The risks run both ways. A sustained slide in oil prices can compress free cash flow for producers, while higher borrowing costs or weaker power pricing can pressure renewable valuations and complicate distribution-growth ambitions.

Stock Market Today

  • Oracle valuation flags overvaluation after rally; DCF shows ~17% gap
    January 6, 2026, 8:42 PM EST. Oracle closed at $193.75 after a multi-year rally. A 7-day decline of 1.8% and a 30-day drop of 11.0% frame the near term; the stock is up 1 year 20.8% with 3- and 5-year gains of 131.6% and 231.5%. In the valuation framework, Oracle scores 2/6. The analysis uses a 2-stage FCFE/DCF model, projecting free cash flow from about $2.9B to $22.7B by 2030 and deriving an intrinsic value of about $165.34 per share. At current prices, that implies ~17% overvaluation. It also notes a quick lens via the P/E ratio; the piece explains DCF (discounted cash flow) and FCF (free cash flow).
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