Oil Prices Jump, but Europe’s Sub-30-Day Jet-Fuel Buffer Is the Hidden Market Risk

European airline shares fell on Monday as renewed U.S.-Iran strikes lifted crude, but the sharper investor signal sits in fuel inventories: Europe has less than 30 days of jet-fuel demand cover, the thinnest cushion among major markets. At the start of June it held 38 million barrels and faced a third-quarter deficit of nearly 600,000 barrels per day, or bpd, while the United States and Asia-Pacific were projected to run surpluses. “We still do expect some tightness through August at this rate,” Rystad analyst Janiv Shah said.

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Top Stock Picks

Today’s highest-ranked model selections.

#1 Strong buy

Alphabet

NASDAQ:GOOGL 92/100 • ★★★★½
#2 Strong buy

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

NYSE:TSM 89/100 • ★★★★½
#3 Buy

S&P Global

NYSE:SPGI 88/100 • ★★★★
#4 Buy on weakness

Amazon

NASDAQ:AMZN 86/100 • ★★★★
#5 Buy on weakness

Microsoft

NASDAQ:MSFT 84/100 • ★★★★
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Editorial model selection. Not personalised advice.