Strategists polled by Reuters see the S&P 500 at 7,490 by end-2026, implying gains of just over 9% from end-2025 as investors weigh Fed succession, election risk and the durability of the AI boom. A slim majority—56%—also forecast a market correction in the coming months. “The most under-appreciated tail risk for 2026 is that the Fed eases monetary policy more than economic conditions justify, inadvertently reigniting inflation,” said Lale Akoner, a global market strategist at eToro. Reuters