
Japanese equities spent much of Tuesday in “wait and see” mode as global investors braced for a closely watched U.S. Federal Reserve meeting where a 25-basis‑point rate cut is now widely anticipated. Major houses including Nomura, J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley have shifted to expecting easing, even as they warn about a potentially divided Fed and a slower cutting cycle in 2026. Reuters+1
The catalysts most likely to move markets.
Policy tone can move rates, USD, equities, gold and crypto simultaneously.
A weak final reading or elevated inflation expectations could pressure risk assets.
A surprise versus 58.0 may alter the near-term manufacturing-growth narrative.