Caterpillar stock price holds near $647 as CAT heads into a holiday-shortened week — here’s what matters next

Caterpillar stock price holds near $647 as CAT heads into a holiday-shortened week — here’s what matters next

New York, Jan 17, 2026, 11:52 EST — Market closed.

  • Caterpillar shares ended Friday at $646.89, slipping 0.04%, then edged lower to $646.50 in late after-hours trading (outside the regular 9:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. ET session). 1
  • U.S. stock and bond markets will be closed Monday, Jan. 19, in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day, with trading resuming Tuesday. 2

Caterpillar Inc shares finished Friday almost flat, as investors focused on the company’s upcoming late-month earnings for fresh direction after a volatile start to the season. The stock closed at $646.89. 3

This is crucial now since Caterpillar straddles construction, mining, and major infrastructure outlays. Traders lean on its dealer insights and end-market updates for a fast gauge of whether demand is slipping or steady.

Rates are back in focus. Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson described the current policy stance as “well positioned” ahead of the Fed’s Jan. 27-28 meeting, keeping borrowing costs in the spotlight—key for heavy-equipment buying decisions. 4

Caterpillar’s shares fluctuated from $641.50 to $656.81 on Friday, with roughly 2.55 million shares traded. Deere, United Rentals, and Paccar also ended the day a bit down.

Broader U.S. indexes edged down Friday as earnings season’s opening week wrapped up, with the S&P 500 and Dow both sliding. 5

Caterpillar will report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings at 5:30 a.m. CST on Thursday, Jan. 29. An analyst call and webcast are scheduled to follow at 7:30 a.m. CST. 6

As the numbers come in, investors will zero in on familiar pressure points: pricing compared to costs, dealer inventory levels, and shifts in order trends within construction and resource sectors. Comments on engines and turbines for power generation are attracting extra attention amid growing power demand.

This week brought fresh momentum. PJM Interconnection, the largest grid operator in the U.S., unveiled a strategy to handle the rising electricity demand driven by AI data centers. The move highlights just how rapidly major power consumers are altering the supply landscape. 7

The setup works both ways. Any hint of caution on 2026 demand, or evidence that dealers are holding more iron than planned, could send the stock sharply lower — particularly with rates still elevated and customers tightening their budgets.

Data next week might shake up sentiment around cyclicals. S&P Global’s “flash” PMIs, those early-month surveys tracking business activity and growth, will be released Friday, Jan. 23. 8

Tuesday’s reopening after the holiday sets the near-term pace, but all eyes turn sharply to Jan. 29. That’s when Caterpillar releases its report and executives field questions on demand, margins, and the broader outlook.

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