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CAVA stock jumps 25% as CAVA Group outlook lifts fast-casual mood
25 February 2026
1 min read

CAVA stock jumps 25% as CAVA Group outlook lifts fast-casual mood

New York, Feb 25, 2026, 14:57 (ET) — Regular session

CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) surged roughly 25% to $84.88 in afternoon trade on Wednesday. Shares kicked off at $78.99, with the session’s range running from $77.94 up to $85.62. Investing.com

The jump is notable—restaurant stocks react sharply to even minor changes in traffic or pricing leverage. Investors are watching to see if customers will continue to spend on “better-for-you” options, especially while costs remain elevated and promo activity picks up across the industry.

Cava on Tuesday projected fiscal 2026 same-restaurant sales growth of 3% to 5%, outpacing the 3.16% analysts had penciled in. The company hiked prices 1.4% on select premium items but kept staple bowls unchanged. “Consumer (is) still spending,” CEO Brett Schulman told investors. Cava pointed to commodity and import tariff pressures and set 2026 profit margin guidance at 23.7% to 24.2%. A seafood protein bowl is also on the way before the quarter wraps. Shares jumped roughly 8% in after-hours. Reuters

Cava posted a 21.2% jump in fourth-quarter revenue to $272.8 million, with net income landing at $4.9 million. Same-restaurant sales ticked up just 0.5%—price increases and menu mix offset a 1.4% pullback in guest traffic. Store-level profit margin slipped by 100 basis points to 21.4%. For the year, revenue climbed 22.5% to $1.1693 billion. “For the first time in our history, revenue surpassed $1 billion,” Schulman noted. Cava projects 74 to 76 net new restaurant openings for fiscal 2026, with adjusted EBITDA expected between $176 million and $184 million. Cava Group

The company submitted its earnings release via a Form 8‑K, according to an SEC filing from Tuesday. Chief Financial Officer Tricia Tolivar signed off on the report. SEC

Stocks moved higher Wednesday, with the S&P 500 adding roughly 0.8% and the Nasdaq climbing 1.3%, as heavyweight tech names bolstered the rally. Cava grabbed attention, drawing buyers as investors looked for names with clearer demand trends. AP News

The focus shifts now from headline revenue gains to the knottier issues: traffic and margins. Rapid new restaurant openings are pushing up costs, while customer traffic numbers can lag behind that expansion.

The setup has a flip side, too. When food costs and tariffs rise, restaurant profits can get squeezed, and if consumers pull back, pushing through price hikes gets tougher—even when the brand seems solid on paper.

Investors are eyeing whether the chain can drive more traffic as it continues to pour money into operations and accelerate new openings. Signs that the company is juicing growth with heavy discounting probably wouldn’t go down well in this tape.

Early-2026 demand is the next thing to watch, with Cava introducing new menu offerings—like the seafood bowl, on track for launch by quarter’s end. Traders are eyeing any signs of steady traffic as the impact of recent price changes becomes clearer.

Stock Market Today

  • New Strong Sell Stocks Listed by Zacks for March 18th
    March 18, 2026, 7:02 AM EDT. Zacks Investment Research has added Avanos Medical (AVNS), Cars.com (CARS), and Cable One (CABO) to its Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) list due to significant downward revisions in their earnings estimates. Avanos Medical's earnings forecast dropped by 18.5%, Cars.com's by 12.9%, and Cable One's by 12.3% over the past 60 days. The Zacks Rank #5 signals analysts' expectations of underperformance relative to the market. The report highlights these declines amid broader market uncertainty and advises caution. Investors can view the full list and access selected stock analyses through Zacks' platform.
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